Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Brighton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.44
Brighton1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa
WWDLW
52 GF / 34 GA
Brighton
WLDWL
36 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
18
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
13
4.91
Shots on Goal
4.27
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aston Villa
34 matches
Brighton
26 matches
| Aston Villa | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 10 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 52 | Goals For | 36 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.91 | Shots On Goal | 4.27 |
| 12.65 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 5.29 | Corners | 4.77 |
| 54.6% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 9 times, Brighton won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:15 from Aston Villa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Brighton 4-3-3
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 9, draws 4, Brighton wins 2
Stats
Aston Villa
Brighton
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
10
10
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Aston Villa
Formation
Brighton
E. Martinez
L. Bogarde
E. Konsa
T. Mings
I. Maatsen
A. Onana
Douglas Luiz
J. Sancho
M. Rogers
E. Buendia
O. Watkins
B. Verbruggen
J. Veltman
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
F. Kadioglu
P. Gross
C. Baleba
J. Hinshelwood
D. Gomez
D. Welbeck
K. Mitoma
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
G
🟨 41'
26
L. Bogarde
D
4
E. Konsa
D
5
T. Mings
D
22
I. Maatsen
D
24
A. Onana
M
↓ 75'
21
Douglas Luiz
M
↓ 84'
19
J. Sancho
M
↓ 60'
27
M. Rogers
M
🟨 50'
10
E. Buendia
M
↓ 60'
11
O. Watkins
F
↓ 74'
Substitutes
40
M. Bizot
G
64
J. Wright
G
6
R. Barkley
M
↑ 60'
3
V. Lindelof
D
↑ 84'
31
L. Bailey
M
↑ 60'
14
P. Torres
D
47
Alysson
F
↑ 74'
12
L. Digne
D
18
T. Abraham
F
↑ 75'
Brighton
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
34
J. Veltman
D
🟨 23'
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
↓ 61'
🟨 41'
5
L. Dunk
D
24
F. Kadioglu
D
30
P. Gross
M
17
C. Baleba
M
↓ 22'
🟨 2'
13
J. Hinshelwood
M
⚽ 86'
25
D. Gomez
F
↓ 81'
18
D. Welbeck
F
↓ 81'
22
K. Mitoma
F
↓ 81'
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
20
J. Milner
M
↑ 22'
21
O. Boscagli
D
↑ 61'
33
M. O'Riley
M
19
C. Kostoulas
F
↑ 81'
10
G. Rutter
F
29
M. De Cuyper
D
11
Y. Minteh
F
↑ 81'
53
H. Howell
M
↑ 81'
Last matches: Aston Villa
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
Last matches: Brighton
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
H2H: Aston Villa vs Brighton
11.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
W
03.12.25
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
W
02.04.25
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
3
W
30.12.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
2
D
05.05.24
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
0
L
30.09.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
6
1
W
28.05.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
1
W
08.12.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
2
D
13.11.22
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
2
W
26.02.22
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
2
W
20.11.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
0
W
13.02.21
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
0
D
21.11.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
2
L
18.01.20
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
1
D
19.10.19
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
1
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
01.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brentford
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
3
2
W
18.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Everton
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Aston Villa
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
H2H at home: Aston Villa
11.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
W
30.12.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
2
D
30.09.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
6
1
W
28.05.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
1
W
08.12.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
2
D
20.11.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
0
W
21.11.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
2
L
19.10.19
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
1
W
Last matches: Brighton
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
2
4
L
05.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Everton
0
2
L
H2H away: Brighton
11.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
L
30.12.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
2
D
30.09.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
6
1
L
28.05.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
1
L
08.12.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
2
D
20.11.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
0
L
21.11.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
2
W
19.10.19
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
1
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aston Villa
Home
|
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Away
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship