Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
47.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Arsenal
Burnley
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arsenal
54 matches
Burnley
38 matches
| Arsenal | Statistic | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | Wins | 5 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 6 | Losses | 24 |
| 108 | Goals For | 43 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 76 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 28 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 5.31 | Shots On Goal | 3.18 |
| 14.91 | Total Shots | 9.79 |
| 5.81 | Corners | 3.71 |
| 55.9% | Ball Possession | 42.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Arsenal's more proactive style and Burnley's more cautious structure. Arsenal appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Burnley. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Burnley. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Burnley arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Arsenal arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 79 points compared to Burnley in 19 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Arsenal come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 79 points after 36 matches. The return of 24 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 68:26, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through V. Gyokeres (14 goals), B. Saka (7 goals), E. Eze (7 goals), with creative support from L. Trossard (6 assists), D. Rice (6 assists), M. Odegaard (6 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 14 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Merino, J. Timber, R. Calafiori unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 21 points from 36 games and a place of 19, Burnley still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 37:73 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Z. Flemming (10 goals), J. Anthony (8 goals), J. Cullen (3 goals), with creative support from Quilindschy Hartman (5 assists), Hannibal Mejbri (4 assists), M. Edwards (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without J. Beyer, J. Cullen, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 11 times, Burnley won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:7 from Arsenal's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Arsenal
3
0
7
4
3
1
Lineups
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
West Ham
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Fulham
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Newcastle
Arsenal
Manchester City
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Southampton
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Everton
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
Arsenal
Brighton
Arsenal
Chelsea
Arsenal
Tottenham
Arsenal
Wolves
Burnley
Wolves
Burnley
Aston Villa
Burnley
Leeds
Burnley
Manchester City
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
Brighton
Burnley
Fulham
Burnley
Bournemouth
Burnley
Everton
Burnley
Brentford
Burnley
Chelsea
Burnley
Mansfield Town
Burnley
Crystal Palace
Burnley
West Ham
Burnley
Sunderland
Burnley
Tottenham
Burnley
Liverpool
Burnley
Millwall
Burnley
Manchester United
Burnley
Brighton
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Fulham
Arsenal
Newcastle
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Everton
Arsenal
Chelsea
Arsenal
Wigan
Arsenal
Sunderland
Arsenal
Kairat Almaty
Arsenal
Manchester United
Arsenal
Liverpool
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Brighton
Arsenal
Wolves
Arsenal
Brentford
Arsenal
Bayern München
Arsenal
Tottenham
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
Burnley
Leeds
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
Fulham
Burnley
Everton
Burnley
Chelsea
Burnley
Crystal Palace
Burnley
Sunderland
Burnley
Liverpool
Burnley
Brighton
Burnley
Bournemouth
Burnley
Newcastle
Burnley
Brentford
Burnley
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves
Burnley
Aston Villa
Burnley
Manchester City
Burnley
Manchester United
Burnley
Tottenham
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
Home
|
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
Burnley
Away
|
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|