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SPAIN › LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Villarreal
FT
2 - 1
Celta Vigo
Estadio de la Ceramica
Referee: A. Quintero
Villarreal
Match Timeline
Celta Vigo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
G. Moreno
Villarreal
🟨
14'
Marcos Alonso
Celta Vigo
🟨
18'
Alfonso Pedraza
Villarreal
🟨
29'
Ionuț Radu
Celta Vigo
⚽
29'
N. Pepe · Assist: A. Pedraza
Villarreal
🟨
42'
Nicolas Pépé
Villarreal
🟨
45+3'
Pablo Durán
Celta Vigo
🔄
46'
P. Duran ↔ F. Jutgla
Celta Vigo
🟨
70'
Pape Gueye
Villarreal
⚽
73'
B. Iglesias
Celta Vigo
🟨
74'
Borja Iglesias
Celta Vigo
🔄
76'
M. Alonso ↔ I. Aspas
Celta Vigo
🔄
76'
H. Alvarez ↔ A. Nunez
Celta Vigo
🔄
76'
H. Sotelo ↔ F. Lopez
Celta Vigo
🔄
78'
P. Gueye ↔ D. Parejo
Villarreal
🔄
78'
A. Pedraza ↔ S. Cardona
Villarreal
🔄
78'
N. Pepe ↔ A. Gonzalez
Villarreal
🔄
83'
B. Iglesias ↔ H. Gonzalez
Celta Vigo
🔄
85'
G. Mikautadze ↔ A. Perez
Villarreal
🟨
90+5'
Iago Aspas
Celta Vigo
🟨
90+4'
Ilaix Moriba
Celta Vigo
🔄
90+2'
A. Moleiro ↔ T. Partey
Villarreal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.7%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Villarreal Win 64.9%
Draw 4.6%
Celta Vigo Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal1.47
Celta Vigo1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villarreal Villarreal
WWDLW
69 GF / 57 GA
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WLDWL
70 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
23
BTTS Yes
31
25
Over 2.5
25
4.72
Shots on Goal
4.12

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villarreal Villarreal 43 matches
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 49 matches
Villarreal Statistic Celta Vigo
20 Wins 19
7 Draws 15
16 Losses 15
69 Goals For 70
57 Goals Against 62
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
23 BTTS Yes 31
37 Over 1.5 41
25 Over 2.5 25
15 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 8
4.72 Shots On Goal 4.12
13.4 Total Shots 10.76
4.21 Corners 3.92
44.9% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 7 times, Celta Vigo won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:26 from Villarreal's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Villarreal 4-4-2 / Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Villarreal 5, Celta Vigo 4
H2H summary: Villarreal wins 7, draws 3, Celta Vigo wins 5
Stats
Villarreal Villarreal
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 5
13 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 2
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
484 Total passes 544
438 Passes accurate 484
1.72 expected_goals 2.08
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Villarreal
Formation
Celta Vigo
A. Tenas
A. Tenas
A. Freeman
A. Freeman
R. Marin
R. Marin
R. Veiga
R. Veiga
A. Pedraza
🎯 ↓
A. Pedraza
N. Pepe
⚽ ↓
N. Pepe
S. Comesana
S. Comesana
P. Gueye
↓
P. Gueye
A. Moleiro
↓
A. Moleiro
G. Moreno
⚽
G. Moreno
G. Mikautadze
↓
G. Mikautadze
I. Radu
I. Radu
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
Y. Lago
Y. Lago
M. Alonso
↓
M. Alonso
O. Mingueza
O. Mingueza
H. Sotelo
↓
H. Sotelo
I. Moriba
I. Moriba
S. Carreira
S. Carreira
P. Duran
↓
P. Duran
H. Alvarez
↓
H. Alvarez
B. Iglesias
⚽ ↓
B. Iglesias
Villarreal 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
A. Tenas
G
3
A. Freeman
D
4
R. Marin
D
12
R. Veiga
D
24
A. Pedraza
🎯 29' ↓ 78' 🟨 18'
D
19
N. Pepe
⚽ 29' ↓ 78' 🟨 42'
M
14
S. Comesana
M
18
P. Gueye
↓ 78' 🟨 70'
M
20
A. Moleiro
↓ 90+2'
M
7
G. Moreno
⚽ 2'
F
9
G. Mikautadze
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
1
Luiz Junior
G
10
D. Parejo
↑ 78'
M
2
L. Costa
D
23
S. Cardona
↑ 78'
D
5
W. Kambwala
D
16
T. Partey
↑ 90+2'
M
22
A. Perez
↑ 85'
F
11
A. Gonzalez
↑ 78'
F
21
T. Oluwaseyi
F
6
P. Navarro
D
32
H. Lopez
F
Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
13
I. Radu
🟨 29'
G
32
J. Rodriguez
D
29
Y. Lago
D
20
M. Alonso
↓ 76' 🟨 14'
D
3
O. Mingueza
M
22
H. Sotelo
↓ 76'
M
6
I. Moriba
🟨 90+4'
M
5
S. Carreira
M
18
P. Duran
↓ 46' 🟨 45+3'
F
23
H. Alvarez
↓ 76'
F
7
B. Iglesias
⚽ 73' ↓ 83' 🟨 74'
F
Substitutes
1
I. Villar
G
30
H. Gonzalez
↑ 83'
F
39
J. El Abdellaoui
F
12
M. Fernandez
D
36
A. Antanon
M
10
I. Aspas
↑ 76' 🟨 90+5'
F
21
M. Ristic
D
9
F. Jutgla
↑ 46'
F
17
J. Rueda
D
14
A. Nunez
↑ 76'
D
24
C. Dominguez
D
8
F. Lopez
↑ 76'
M
Last matches: Villarreal
08.08.26
Fri
Villarreal
Galatasaray
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Villarreal
Levante
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Villarreal
PSV Eindhoven
3
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Villarreal
Benfica
0
2
L
24.05.26
La
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
5
1
W
17.05.26
La
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
L
13.05.26
La
Villarreal
Sevilla
2
3
L
10.05.26
La
Villarreal
Mallorca
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Villarreal
Levante
5
1
W
23.04.26
La
Villarreal
Oviedo
1
1
D
12.04.26
La
Villarreal
Athletic Club
2
1
W
06.04.26
La
Villarreal
Girona
0
1
L
20.03.26
La
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
13.03.26
La
Villarreal
Alaves
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Villarreal
Elche
2
1
W
28.02.26
La
Villarreal
Barcelona
1
4
L
22.02.26
La
Villarreal
Valencia
2
1
W
18.02.26
La
Villarreal
Levante
1
0
W
14.02.26
La
Villarreal
Getafe
1
2
L
09.02.26
La
Villarreal
Espanyol
4
1
W
Last matches: Celta Vigo
08.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Napoli
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Sassuolo
4
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Academico Viseu
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Sporting Gijon
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
SC Braga
2
2
D
23.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1
0
W
17.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
1
1
D
12.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Levante
2
3
L
09.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Elche
3
1
W
22.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
0
1
L
16.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
0
3
L
09.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
0
3
L
05.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Valencia
3
2
W
22.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Alaves
3
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
2
0
W
15.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
1
1
D
12.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
1
1
D
06.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1
2
L
H2H: Villarreal vs Celta Vigo
26.04.26
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
31.08.25
H2H
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
1
1
D
23.04.25
H2H
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
3
0
L
26.08.24
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
05.05.24
H2H
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
3
2
L
20.12.23
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
3
2
W
30.04.23
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
3
1
W
13.01.23
H2H
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
1
1
D
12.03.22
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
20.11.21
H2H
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
1
1
D
09.05.21
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
4
L
08.01.21
H2H
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
0
4
W
13.06.20
H2H
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
0
1
W
24.11.19
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
1
3
L
30.03.19
H2H
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
3
2
L
Last matches: Villarreal
05.08.26
Fri
Villarreal
Levante
1
0
W
24.05.26
La
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
5
1
W
13.05.26
La
Villarreal
Sevilla
2
3
L
02.05.26
La
Villarreal
Levante
5
1
W
20.03.26
La
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
08.03.26
La
Villarreal
Elche
2
1
W
22.02.26
La
Villarreal
Valencia
2
1
W
09.02.26
La
Villarreal
Espanyol
4
1
W
24.01.26
La
Villarreal
Real Madrid
0
2
L
20.01.26
UEF
Villarreal
Ajax
1
2
L
10.01.26
La
Villarreal
Alaves
3
1
W
21.12.25
La
Villarreal
Barcelona
0
2
L
10.12.25
UEF
Villarreal
FC Copenhagen
2
3
L
06.12.25
La
Villarreal
Getafe
2
0
W
22.11.25
La
Villarreal
Mallorca
2
1
W
01.11.25
La
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
4
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Villarreal
Manchester City
0
2
L
18.10.25
La
Villarreal
Real Betis
2
2
D
01.10.25
UEF
Villarreal
Juventus
2
2
D
27.09.25
La
Villarreal
Athletic Club
1
0
W
H2H at home: Villarreal
26.04.26
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
26.08.24
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
20.12.23
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
3
2
W
30.04.23
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
3
1
W
12.03.22
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
09.05.21
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
4
L
24.11.19
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
1
3
L
Last matches: Celta Vigo
08.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Napoli
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Sassuolo
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
SC Braga
2
2
D
17.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
1
1
D
09.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
22.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
0
1
L
09.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
0
3
L
05.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Valencia
3
2
W
19.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
2
0
W
15.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
1
1
D
01.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Girona
2
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
PAOK
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Celta Vigo
Espanyol
2
2
D
01.02.26
La
Celta Vigo
Getafe
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
1
D
25.01.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
1
3
L
12.01.26
La
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1
0
W
20.12.25
La
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
0
0
D
17.12.25
Cop
Celta Vigo
Albacete
2
2
D
07.12.25
La
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
2
0
W
H2H away: Celta Vigo
26.04.26
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
1
L
26.08.24
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
4
3
L
20.12.23
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
3
2
L
30.04.23
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
3
1
L
12.03.22
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
1
0
L
09.05.21
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
4
W
24.11.19
H2H
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
1
3
W

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Barcelona
38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2
Real Madrid
38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3
Villarreal Home
38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4
Atletico Madrid
38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5
Real Betis
38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6
Celta Vigo Away
38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7
Getafe
38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8
Rayo Vallecano
38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9
Valencia
38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10
Real Sociedad
38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11
Espanyol
38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12
Athletic Club
38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13
Sevilla
38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14
Alaves
38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15
Elche
38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16
Levante
38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17
Osasuna
38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18
Mallorca
38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19
Girona
38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20
Oviedo
38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Villarreal 5 missing
-
P. Cabanes
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Costa
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Foyth
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
S. Mourino
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
T. Buchanan
Questionable Injury
OUT
Celta Vigo 4 missing
-
M. Roman
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
M. Vecino
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
C. Starfelt
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
W. Swedberg
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT