Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
64.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75%
|
- |
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rayo Vallecano
47 matches
Espanyol
33 matches
| Rayo Vallecano | Statistic | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 11 |
| 12 | Draws | 8 |
| 16 | Losses | 14 |
| 65 | Goals For | 39 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.6 | Shots On Goal | 3.91 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 12.36 |
| 6.21 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 53.8% | Ball Possession | 41.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Rayo Vallecano appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Espanyol. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Espanyol. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rayo Vallecano expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Espanyol in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Espanyol having the stronger overall control. Espanyol arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
From their first 31 matches, Rayo Vallecano have collected 35 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 29:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. de Frutos (10 goals), A. Garcia (4 goals), I. Palazon (3 goals), with creative support from A. Garcia (5 assists), I. Palazon (3 assists), Andrei Rațiu (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with D. Mendez, N. Mendy, F. Perez, F. Lejeune unavailable.
With 38 points from 31 games and a place of 10, Espanyol still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 37:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Garcia (6 goals), P. Milla (6 goals), R. Fernandez Jaen (6 goals), with creative support from Exposito (6 assists), T. Dolan (4 assists), R. Fernandez Jaen (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with J. Puado, U. Gonzalez unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 8 times, Espanyol won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Rayo Vallecano's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Rayo Vallecano
6
4
9
6
2
5
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano
Ipswich
Rayo Vallecano
Charleroi
Rayo Vallecano
Feyenoord
Rayo Vallecano
Heart Of Midlothian
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
Espanyol
Coventry
Espanyol
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
Burnley
Espanyol
Sabadell
Espanyol
PAU
Espanyol
Olot
Espanyol
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Osasuna
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Espanyol
Sevilla
Espanyol
Real Madrid
Espanyol
Levante
Espanyol
Barcelona
Espanyol
Real Betis
Espanyol
Getafe
Espanyol
Mallorca
Espanyol
Oviedo
Espanyol
Elche
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
Espanyol
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Drita
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Lech Poznan
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Espanyol
Coventry
Espanyol
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
Burnley
Espanyol
Olot
Espanyol
Osasuna
Espanyol
Sevilla
Espanyol
Barcelona
Espanyol
Real Betis
Espanyol
Mallorca
Espanyol
Elche
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
Espanyol
Villarreal
Espanyol
Valencia
Espanyol
Levante
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Espanyol
Getafe
Espanyol
Atlético Baleares
Espanyol
Celta Vigo
Espanyol
Alaves
Espanyol
Atlètic Lleida
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Rayo Vallecano
Home
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Espanyol
Away
|
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|