Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Elche
Alaves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Elche
38 matches
Alaves
39 matches
| Elche | Statistic | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 13 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 15 | Losses | 17 |
| 53 | Goals For | 55 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.76 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 10.59 | Total Shots | 11.69 |
| 3.76 | Corners | 4.92 |
| 56.2% | Ball Possession | 48.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Alaves. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Elche expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Alaves in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alaves having the stronger overall control.
Elche approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 38 points from 34 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 45:53, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Andre Silva (10 goals), R. Mir (8 goals), A. Rodriguez (5 goals), with creative support from A. Rodriguez (5 assists), M. Neto (5 assists), G. Valera (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Alaves sit 18 with 36 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 40:53, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Boye (11 goals), T. Martinez (11 goals), C. Vicente (5 goals), with creative support from C. Alena (4 assists), T. Martinez (3 assists), A. Perez (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Elche won 3 times, Alaves won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Elche's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Elche
5
4
7
5
4
3
Lineups
Elche
Girona
Elche
Getafe
Elche
Real Betis
Elche
Celta Vigo
Elche
Oviedo
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Elche
Valencia
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Aston Villa
Elche
Mallorca
Elche
Real Madrid
Elche
Villarreal
Elche
Espanyol
Elche
Athletic Club
Elche
Osasuna
Elche
Real Sociedad
Elche
Barcelona
Elche
Levante
Elche
Sevilla
Elche
Real Betis
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Oviedo
Alaves
Barcelona
Alaves
Athletic Club
Alaves
Mallorca
Alaves
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Osasuna
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
Valencia
Alaves
Levante
Alaves
Girona
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Espanyol
Alaves
Real Betis
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Getafe
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Elche
Valencia
Elche
Mallorca
Elche
Espanyol
Elche
Osasuna
Elche
Barcelona
Elche
Sevilla
Elche
Villarreal
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Girona
Elche
Real Madrid
Elche
Real Sociedad
Elche
Athletic Club
Elche
Celta Vigo
Elche
Oviedo
Elche
Levante
Elche
Real Betis
Alaves
Oviedo
Alaves
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Valencia
Alaves
Levante
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Espanyol
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
Osasuna
Alaves
Portugalete
Alaves
Barcelona
Alaves
Girona
Alaves
Deportivo Getxo
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Mallorca
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
Athletic Club
Alaves
Real Betis
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
Alaves
Away
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 15 |
Elche
Home
|
38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|