FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Keskuskentta
Rops
Match Timeline
KuPS Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
R. Cato
Rops
🟨
37'
R. Tikkanen
KuPS Akatemia
45'
O. Suutari
Rops
56'
T. Varhi
Rops
🔄
60'
V. Mutlu ↔ D. Huttunen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
60'
P. Hautakangas ↔ E. Tanninen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
66'
L. Paasisalo ↔ R. Tahkola
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
66'
V. Lahtela ↔ A. Baseme
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
67'
O. Balde
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
73'
T. Varhi ↔ S. Roiha
Rops
🔄
84'
A. Mekki ↔ J. Koistinen
Rops
🔄
84'
K. Isometsa ↔ T. Katermaa
Rops
🔄
88'
P. Tuomainen ↔ E. Karkkainen
KuPS Akatemia
88'
D. Huttunen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
90+4'
T. Katermaa
Rops
🔄
90+5'
O. Suutari ↔ M. Korhonen
Rops

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rops Win 69.9%
Draw 8.2%
KuPS Akatemia Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rops2.2
KuPS Akatemia1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rops Rops
WWDLW
41 GF / 25 GA
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WLDWL
29 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
2.16
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
2.26
11
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rops Rops 19 matches
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 19 matches
Rops Statistic KuPS Akatemia
9 Wins 2
7 Draws 5
3 Losses 12
41 Goals For 29
25 Goals Against 43
2.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 2.26
11 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rops's more proactive style and KuPS Akatemia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KuPS Akatemia. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KuPS Akatemia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Rops arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 32 points compared to KuPS Akatemia in 12 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Rops Analysis

Rops approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 32 points after 17 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a 38:22 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

From their first 17 matches, KuPS Akatemia have collected 11 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, while the 29:41 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Rops won 4 times, KuPS Akatemia won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Rops's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
H2H summary: Rops wins 4, draws 3, KuPS Akatemia wins 1

Lineups

Rops
Formation
KuPS Akatemia
D. Berry
D. Berry
A. Oinas
A. Oinas
K. Isometsa
K. Isometsa
O. Suutari
O. Suutari
A. Mekki
A. Mekki
T. Varhi
T. Varhi
R. Cato
R. Cato
A. Leppanen
A. Leppanen
B. Nijgh
B. Nijgh
V. Mantymaki
V. Mantymaki
S. McLeod
S. McLeod
J. Aimola
J. Aimola
R. Tikkanen
R. Tikkanen
O. Balde
O. Balde
L. Paasisalo
L. Paasisalo
V. Mutlu
V. Mutlu
P. Tuomainen
P. Tuomainen
P. Hautakangas
P. Hautakangas
V. Lahtela
V. Lahtela
K. Prince Ume
K. Prince Ume
E. Erguner
E. Erguner
N. Mattila
N. Mattila
Rops 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
D. Berry
2
A. Oinas
8
K. Isometsa
↓ 84'
9
O. Suutari
⚽ 45' ↓ 90+5'
10
A. Mekki
↓ 84'
11
T. Varhi
⚽ 56' ↓ 73'
14
R. Cato
🟨 16'
25
A. Leppanen
34
B. Nijgh
35
V. Mantymaki
77
S. McLeod
Substitutes
1
T. Korhonen
4
J. Koistinen
↑ 84'
13
T. Listo
16
J. Niska
19
T. Katermaa
↑ 84' 🟨 90+4'
20
S. Roiha
↑ 73'
29
M. Korhonen
↑ 90+5'
KuPS Akatemia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
J. Aimola
3
R. Tikkanen
🟨 37'
6
O. Balde
🟨 67'
7
L. Paasisalo
↓ 66'
10
V. Mutlu
↓ 60'
13
P. Tuomainen
↓ 88'
14
P. Hautakangas
↓ 60'
18
V. Lahtela
↓ 66'
19
K. Prince Ume
22
E. Erguner
23
N. Mattila
Substitutes
5
R. Tahkola
↑ 66'
9
D. Huttunen
⚽ 88' ↑ 60'
17
E. Tanninen
↑ 60'
20
E. Karkkainen
↑ 88'
26
A. Baseme
↑ 66'
28
L. Sahlman
Last matches: Rops
22.08.26
Ykk
Rops
Tampere United
0
4
L
15.08.26
Ykk
Rops
OLS
3
3
D
05.08.26
Ykk
Rops
FC jazz
2
2
D
01.08.26
Ykk
Rops
TPV
3
6
L
25.07.26
Ykk
Rops
JJK
4
0
W
20.07.26
Ykk
Rops
KPV-j
1
1
D
10.07.26
Ykk
Rops
Inter Turku II
2
0
W
05.07.26
Ykk
Rops
PKKU
4
3
W
27.06.26
Ykk
Rops
SalPa
2
2
D
13.06.26
Ykk
Rops
VJS
2
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
Rops
Tampere United
0
1
L
02.06.26
Ykk
Rops
OLS
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ykk
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
Rops
FC jazz
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
Rops
TPV
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
Rops
JJK
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ykk
Rops
KPV-j
7
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
Rops
PKKU
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Rops
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ykk
Rops
SalPa
1
1
D
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
21.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
2
W
16.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
2
2
D
07.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
0
1
L
30.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
2
2
D
26.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
2
2
D
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
H2H: Rops vs KuPS Akatemia
11.08.26
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
24.05.26
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
W
23.08.25
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
15.06.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
1
1
D
10.08.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
1
2
W
26.05.24
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
1
1
D
08.10.23
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
2
0
W
22.07.23
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
1
1
D
Last matches: Rops
05.08.26
Ykk
Rops
FC jazz
2
2
D
25.07.26
Ykk
Rops
JJK
4
0
W
05.07.26
Ykk
Rops
PKKU
4
3
W
27.06.26
Ykk
Rops
SalPa
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
Rops
Tampere United
0
1
L
02.06.26
Ykk
Rops
OLS
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ykk
Rops
TPV
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
Rops
KPV-j
7
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Rops
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
H2H at home: Rops
11.08.26
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
23.08.25
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
26.05.24
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
1
1
D
08.10.23
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
2
0
W
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
21.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
2
W
30.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
2
2
D
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
KuPS Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
H2H away: KuPS Akatemia
11.08.26
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
L
23.08.25
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
W
26.05.24
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
1
1
D
08.10.23
H2H
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
2
0
L

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 46:16 30 44
W D D W D
2
Rops Home
21 10 7 4 45:32 13 37
L D W D L
3 21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
W L D W L
4 21 8 8 5 38:30 8 32
D D W D D
5 21 7 10 4 38:29 9 31
D D W D D
6 21 8 7 6 41:34 7 31
L D D W W
7 21 8 6 7 30:29 1 30
D W D D D
8 21 7 7 7 47:41 6 28
D D D L L
9 21 6 6 9 30:38 -8 24
W D D L W
10 21 5 5 11 32:49 -17 20
L L L W D
11 21 3 6 12 36:48 -12 15
W D L L D
12 21 4 3 14 23:64 -41 15
L W L L W