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12.11.2026 21:00
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.1%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.75 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Internacional de Bogota Win 31.9%
Draw 26.9%
Santa Fe Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional de Bogota1.2
Santa Fe1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota
L W L W D
8 GF / 7 GA
Santa Fe Santa Fe
W L L W W
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
26
BTTS Yes
31
23
Over 2.5
23
4.28
Shots on Goal
4.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 40 matches
Santa Fe Santa Fe 48 matches
Internacional de Bogota Statistic Santa Fe
12 Wins 19
15 Draws 17
13 Losses 12
51 Goals For 71
60 Goals Against 52
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
26 BTTS Yes 31
31 Over 1.5 37
23 Over 2.5 23
13 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 10
11 Failed To Score 9
4.28 Shots On Goal 4.72
12.44 Total Shots 12.57
4.69 Corners 4.53
43.6% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Santa Fe's more proactive style and Internacional de Bogota's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional de Bogota expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Santa Fe in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Santa Fe.

Internacional de Bogota Analysis

Internacional de Bogota sit 8 with 28 points after 19 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 26:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Fabricio Sanguinetti (9 goals), Facundo Boné (5 goals), Dereck Moncada (5 goals), with creative support from Fabricio Sanguinetti (7 assists), Facundo Boné (3 assists), Dereck Moncada (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Santa Fe Analysis

Santa Fe sit 7 with 29 points after 19 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 29:22 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Hugo Rodallega (14 goals), N. Bustos (11 goals), Franco Fagúndez (6 goals), with creative support from Omar Fernández (8 assists), N. Bustos (5 assists), Franco Fagúndez (5 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional de Bogota won 4 times, Santa Fe won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from Internacional de Bogota's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.1%)
Predicted formations: Internacional de Bogota 3-4-3 / Santa Fe 4-4-2
H2H summary: Internacional de Bogota wins 4, draws 4, Santa Fe wins 7

Standings

Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 3 3 37:17 20 39
W D W W W
2 18 10 6 2 31:12 19 36
D D W W D
3 18 9 7 2 26:10 16 34
D W D W D
4 18 8 8 2 30:17 13 32
W D W L L
5 18 9 4 5 28:18 10 31
W L L W W
6 18 9 2 7 28:25 3 29
W W L L L
7 18 6 9 3 25:16 9 27
L D D W D
8 18 7 6 5 22:18 4 27
W W D D W
9 18 7 5 6 23:21 2 26
W W L L L
10 18 6 7 5 22:21 1 25
L W W L W
11 18 7 3 8 19:26 -7 24
L W L L W
12 18 7 2 9 21:24 -3 23
W W L L W
13 18 4 8 6 22:25 -3 20
L W L W D
14 18 4 7 7 25:27 -2 19
W L D W D
15 18 5 4 9 15:29 -14 19
W L D W L
16 18 5 3 10 18:31 -13 18
L L L W W
17 18 3 8 7 16:26 -10 17
L L W D W
18 18 4 3 11 13:29 -16 15
L W L W L
19 18 3 4 11 17:35 -18 13
L L L W L
20 18 1 9 8 17:28 -11 12
L L L D L
Post season qualification