Bristol Rovers
Match Timeline
Cheltenham
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.2%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Bristol Rovers Win 65.8%
Draw 2.8%
Cheltenham Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol Rovers1.33
Cheltenham1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol Rovers
WWDLW
53 GF / 66 GA
Cheltenham
WLDWL
59 GF / 75 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
21
BTTS Yes
24
24
Over 2.5
21
3.13
Shots on Goal
2.96
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bristol Rovers
46 matches
Cheltenham
47 matches
| Bristol Rovers | Statistic | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 16 |
| 4 | Draws | 10 |
| 23 | Losses | 21 |
| 53 | Goals For | 59 |
| 66 | Goals Against | 75 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.13 | Shots On Goal | 2.96 |
| 11.13 | Total Shots | 9.89 |
| 4.62 | Corners | 3.87 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 47.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bristol Rovers won 9 times, Cheltenham won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:10 from Bristol Rovers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.2%)
Predicted formations: Bristol Rovers 4-2-3-1 / Cheltenham 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bristol Rovers wins 9, draws 3, Cheltenham wins 3
Stats
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
7
7
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Bristol Rovers
Formation
Cheltenham
B. Young
J. Senior
K. Balmer
R. Harbottle
J. Sparkes
R. Smallwood
C. Mola
Y. Akhamrich
S. Forde
P. Omochere
E. Harrison
J. Day
J. Tomkinson
S. Sherring
J. Wilson
G. Nurse
L. Young
H. Ashfield
R. Broom
J. Thomas
J. Davison
J. Bickerstaff
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
B. Young
G
2
J. Senior
D
17
K. Balmer
D
🟨 32'
26
R. Harbottle
D
3
J. Sparkes
D
🎯 2'
🟨 55'
36
R. Smallwood
M
↓ 64'
🟨 6'
6
C. Mola
M
↓ 85'
10
Y. Akhamrich
M
↓ 84'
7
S. Forde
M
⚽ 87'
9
P. Omochere
M
↓ 65'
19
E. Harrison
F
⚽ 2'
⚽ 45'
⚽ 56'
↓ 74'
Substitutes
1
L. Southwood
G
15
R. De Havilland
M
↑ 85'
24
T. Leigh
M
↑ 65'
🟨 71'
35
M. Rijks
F
↑ 84'
12
T. Lockyer
D
↑ 64'
🟨 90+1'
27
J. Quigley
F
🎯 87'
↑ 74'
29
F. Cavegn
F
Cheltenham
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
J. Day
G
27
J. Tomkinson
D
24
S. Sherring
D
5
J. Wilson
D
🟨 71'
21
G. Nurse
D
↓ 68'
8
L. Young
M
4
H. Ashfield
M
14
R. Broom
M
↓ 69'
11
J. Thomas
F
9
J. Davison
F
↓ 62'
20
J. Bickerstaff
F
↓ 79'
Substitutes
41
M. Diallo
10
G. Miller
F
3
G. Harmon
D
16
J. Martin
F
↑ 79'
2
A. Jude-Boyd
D
↑ 68'
7
C. Deeming
M
↑ 69'
22
M. Faal
F
↑ 62'
Last matches: Bristol Rovers
02.05.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Harrogate Town
3
2
W
03.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Fleetwood Town
1
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
0
1
L
10.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barrow
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crewe
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby
3
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Oldham
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
2
3
L
03.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Walsall
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
3
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Salford City
0
1
L
Last matches: Cheltenham
02.05.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
4
L
21.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Tranmere
1
3
L
18.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Newport County
1
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Gillingham
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Walsall
4
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Cambridge United
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Chesterfield
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Notts County
2
5
L
17.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Crewe
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
06.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Barrow
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Salford City
3
2
W
17.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Bromley
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Barnet
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Milton Keynes Dons
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Accrington ST
1
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Grimsby
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Oldham
1
2
L
H2H: Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham
25.04.26
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
0
W
22.11.25
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1
0
L
07.10.25
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1
3
W
09.12.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
1
D
05.09.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
1
W
01.01.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
1
W
15.10.22
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1
4
W
31.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
0
W
10.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
2
L
13.08.19
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
3
0
W
11.02.14
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
0
W
26.11.13
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
0
0
D
05.02.13
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
03.10.12
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
1
L
Last matches: Bristol Rovers
11.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
3
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Fleetwood Town
1
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
2
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crewe
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby
3
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
2
3
L
03.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Walsall
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
3
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Colchester
0
1
L
29.12.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barnet
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
2
3
L
13.12.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
0
3
L
29.11.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
0
1
L
18.10.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
1
4
L
11.10.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
0
4
L
27.09.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Salford City
2
1
W
13.09.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barrow
2
1
W
23.08.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United
1
0
W
H2H at home: Bristol Rovers
25.04.26
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
0
W
09.12.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
1
D
05.09.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
1
W
01.01.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
1
W
31.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
0
W
10.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
2
L
13.08.19
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
3
0
W
11.02.14
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
0
W
03.10.12
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
1
L
Last matches: Cheltenham
11.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Walsall
4
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Chesterfield
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Notts County
2
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Bromley
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Barnet
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Accrington ST
1
3
L
17.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Oldham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Crewe
1
4
L
19.12.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Barrow
2
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Swindon Town
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Colchester
0
2
L
15.11.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Tranmere
2
3
L
18.10.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Newport County
2
0
W
11.10.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Gillingham
1
1
D
27.09.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Grimsby
1
7
L
13.09.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Crawley Town
0
2
L
29.08.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Salford City
1
1
D
H2H away: Cheltenham
25.04.26
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
0
L
09.12.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
1
D
05.09.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
1
L
01.01.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
1
L
31.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
0
L
10.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
2
W
13.08.19
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
3
0
L
11.02.14
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
0
L
03.10.12
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
1
W
Standings
League Two
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Bristol Rovers
Home
|
46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Cheltenham
Away
|
46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation