ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Memorial Stadium
Referee: M. Barlow
Bristol Rovers
Match Timeline
Cheltenham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
E. Harrison · Assist: J. Sparkes
Bristol Rovers
🟨
6'
Richard Smallwood
Bristol Rovers
🟨
32'
Kofi Balmer
Bristol Rovers
45'
E. Harrison
Bristol Rovers
🟨
55'
Jack Sparkes
Bristol Rovers
56'
E. Harrison
Bristol Rovers
🔄
62'
J. Davison ↔ M. Faal
Cheltenham
🔄
64'
R. Smallwood ↔ T. Lockyer
Bristol Rovers
🔄
65'
P. Omochere ↔ T. Leigh
Bristol Rovers
🔄
68'
G. Nurse ↔ A. Jude-Boyd
Cheltenham
🔄
69'
R. Broom ↔ C. Deeming
Cheltenham
🟨
71'
Tommy Leigh
Bristol Rovers
🟨
71'
James Wilson
Cheltenham
🔄
74'
E. Harrison ↔ J. Quigley
Bristol Rovers
🔄
79'
J. Bickerstaff ↔ J. Martin
Cheltenham
🔄
84'
Y. Akhamrich ↔ M. Rijks
Bristol Rovers
🔄
85'
C. Mola ↔ R. De Havilland
Bristol Rovers
87'
S. Forde · Assist: J. Quigley
Bristol Rovers
🟨
90+1'
Tom Lockyer
Bristol Rovers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Bristol Rovers Win 65.8%
Draw 2.8%
Cheltenham Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol Rovers1.33
Cheltenham1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
WWDLW
53 GF / 66 GA
Cheltenham Cheltenham
WLDWL
59 GF / 75 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
21
BTTS Yes
24
24
Over 2.5
21
3.13
Shots on Goal
2.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 46 matches
Cheltenham Cheltenham 47 matches
Bristol Rovers Statistic Cheltenham
19 Wins 16
4 Draws 10
23 Losses 21
53 Goals For 59
66 Goals Against 75
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
21 BTTS Yes 24
32 Over 1.5 37
24 Over 2.5 21
13 Over 3.5 14
10 Clean Sheets 12
16 Failed To Score 12
3.13 Shots On Goal 2.96
11.13 Total Shots 9.89
4.62 Corners 3.87
49.8% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bristol Rovers won 9 times, Cheltenham won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:10 from Bristol Rovers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.2%)
Predicted formations: Bristol Rovers 4-2-3-1 / Cheltenham 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bristol Rovers wins 9, draws 3, Cheltenham wins 3
Stats
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham Cheltenham
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 7
19 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 1
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
222 Total passes 382
127 Passes accurate 300
1.07 expected_goals 0.30
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bristol Rovers
Formation
Cheltenham
B. Young
B. Young
J. Senior
J. Senior
K. Balmer
K. Balmer
R. Harbottle
R. Harbottle
J. Sparkes
🎯
J. Sparkes
R. Smallwood
R. Smallwood
C. Mola
C. Mola
Y. Akhamrich
Y. Akhamrich
S. Forde
S. Forde
P. Omochere
P. Omochere
E. Harrison
⚽ 3
E. Harrison
J. Day
J. Day
J. Tomkinson
J. Tomkinson
S. Sherring
S. Sherring
J. Wilson
J. Wilson
G. Nurse
G. Nurse
L. Young
L. Young
H. Ashfield
H. Ashfield
R. Broom
R. Broom
J. Thomas
J. Thomas
J. Davison
J. Davison
J. Bickerstaff
J. Bickerstaff
Bristol Rovers 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
B. Young
G
2
J. Senior
D
17
K. Balmer
🟨 32'
D
26
R. Harbottle
D
3
J. Sparkes
🎯 2' 🟨 55'
D
36
R. Smallwood
↓ 64' 🟨 6'
M
6
C. Mola
↓ 85'
M
10
Y. Akhamrich
↓ 84'
M
7
S. Forde
⚽ 87'
M
9
P. Omochere
↓ 65'
M
19
E. Harrison
⚽ 2' ⚽ 45' ⚽ 56' ↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Southwood
G
15
R. De Havilland
↑ 85'
M
24
T. Leigh
↑ 65' 🟨 71'
M
35
M. Rijks
↑ 84'
F
12
T. Lockyer
↑ 64' 🟨 90+1'
D
27
J. Quigley
🎯 87' ↑ 74'
F
29
F. Cavegn
F
Cheltenham 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
J. Day
G
27
J. Tomkinson
D
24
S. Sherring
D
5
J. Wilson
🟨 71'
D
21
G. Nurse
↓ 68'
D
8
L. Young
M
4
H. Ashfield
M
14
R. Broom
↓ 69'
M
11
J. Thomas
F
9
J. Davison
↓ 62'
F
20
J. Bickerstaff
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
41
M. Diallo
10
G. Miller
F
3
G. Harmon
D
16
J. Martin
↑ 79'
F
2
A. Jude-Boyd
↑ 68'
D
7
C. Deeming
↑ 69'
M
22
M. Faal
↑ 62'
F
Last matches: Bristol Rovers
02.05.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Harrogate Town
3
2
W
03.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Fleetwood Town
1
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
0
1
L
10.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barrow
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crewe
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby
3
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Oldham
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
2
3
L
03.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Walsall
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
3
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Salford City
0
1
L
Last matches: Cheltenham
02.05.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
4
L
21.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Tranmere
1
3
L
18.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Newport County
1
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Gillingham
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Walsall
4
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Cambridge United
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Chesterfield
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Notts County
2
5
L
17.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Crewe
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
06.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Barrow
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Salford City
3
2
W
17.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Bromley
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Barnet
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Milton Keynes Dons
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Accrington ST
1
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Grimsby
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Oldham
1
2
L
H2H: Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham
25.04.26
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
0
W
22.11.25
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1
0
L
07.10.25
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1
3
W
09.12.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
1
D
05.09.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
1
W
01.01.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
1
W
15.10.22
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1
4
W
31.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
0
W
10.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
2
L
13.08.19
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
3
0
W
11.02.14
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
0
W
26.11.13
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
0
0
D
05.02.13
H2H
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
03.10.12
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
1
L
Last matches: Bristol Rovers
11.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
3
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Fleetwood Town
1
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
2
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crewe
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby
3
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
2
3
L
03.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Walsall
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
3
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Colchester
0
1
L
29.12.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barnet
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
2
3
L
13.12.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
0
3
L
29.11.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
0
1
L
18.10.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
1
4
L
11.10.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
0
4
L
27.09.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Salford City
2
1
W
13.09.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barrow
2
1
W
23.08.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United
1
0
W
H2H at home: Bristol Rovers
25.04.26
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
0
W
09.12.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
1
D
05.09.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
1
W
01.01.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
1
W
31.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
0
W
10.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
2
L
13.08.19
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
3
0
W
11.02.14
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
0
W
03.10.12
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
1
L
Last matches: Cheltenham
11.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Walsall
4
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Chesterfield
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Notts County
2
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Bromley
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Barnet
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Accrington ST
1
3
L
17.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Oldham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Crewe
1
4
L
19.12.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Barrow
2
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Swindon Town
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Colchester
0
2
L
15.11.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Tranmere
2
3
L
18.10.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Newport County
2
0
W
11.10.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Gillingham
1
1
D
27.09.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Grimsby
1
7
L
13.09.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Crawley Town
0
2
L
29.08.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Salford City
1
1
D
H2H away: Cheltenham
25.04.26
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
0
L
09.12.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
1
D
05.09.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
1
L
01.01.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
1
L
31.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
2
0
L
10.08.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
2
W
13.08.19
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
3
0
L
11.02.14
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1
0
L
03.10.12
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
1
W

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation