Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
85.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Los Angeles FC
Sporting Kansas City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Los Angeles FC
29 matches
Sporting Kansas City
22 matches
| Los Angeles FC | Statistic | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 13 |
| 53 | Goals For | 23 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.13 |
| 13.24 | Total Shots | 9.56 |
| 5.56 | Corners | 3.75 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Los Angeles FC's more proactive style and Sporting Kansas City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sporting Kansas City. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Los Angeles FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sporting Kansas City in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Kansas City having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Los Angeles FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 27 points compared to Sporting Kansas City in 15 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
With 27 points from 16 games and a place of 3, Los Angeles FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 27:17, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Denis Bouanga (6 goals), David Martínez Morales (3 goals), Son Heung-min (1 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-min (6 assists), Jacob Shaffelburg (2 assists), Denis Bouanga (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 11 points from 15 games and a place of 15, Sporting Kansas City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 16:39 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Dejan Joveljić (3 goals), Calvin Harris (2 goals), Capita (2 goals), with creative support from Manu García (3 assists), Calvin Harris (2 assists), Dejan Joveljić (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 11 times, Sporting Kansas City won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:13 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53:23 | 30 | 46 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:35 | 7 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
Home
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 40 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 29 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
Away
|
24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26:59 | -33 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
D
|