Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
79.7%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.82 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.53 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
84.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Super Nova
Riga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Super Nova
28 matches
Riga
38 matches
| Super Nova | Statistic | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 28 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 15 | Losses | 4 |
| 32 | Goals For | 103 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.71 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 21 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 2.71 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 8 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 25.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Riga's more proactive style and Super Nova's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Riga look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Super Nova expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Riga in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Riga having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Riga. Riga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 58 points while Super Nova sit 7 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 24 points from 22 games and a place of 7, Super Nova still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 23:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 1 place with 58 points from 23 games, Riga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 68:20 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 0 times, Riga won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:48 from Super Nova's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Riga
Gyori ETO FC
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Gyori ETO FC
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Tukums
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Riga
Gyori ETO FC
Riga
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Tukums
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Legia Warszawa
Riga
Auda
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Flora Tallinn
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
Riga
Dubai United
Riga
Sparta Praha
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 45 | 65 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Away
|
25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Super Nova
Home
|
24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 7 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | -29 | 21 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 20 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | -41 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|