Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bolton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bolton1.2
Derby1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bolton
WWDLW
4 GF / 3 GA
Derby
WLDWL
2 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0
2
BTTS Yes
0
2
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bolton
2 matches
Derby
1 matches
| Bolton | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 4 | Goals For | 2 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 0 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 0 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bolton won 2 times, Derby won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:26 from Bolton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bolton 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bolton wins 2, draws 5, Derby wins 8
Last matches: Bolton
21.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Oldham
3
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Dunajska Streda
1
2
L
24.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Stockport County
4
1
W
14.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Luton
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Huddersfield
3
3
D
14.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Stevenage
5
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Cardiff
0
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Stockport County
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Plymouth
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Port Vale
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Doncaster
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Rotherham
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Wycombe
3
2
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Exeter City
5
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Blackpool
2
2
D
17.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Reading
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Lincoln
1
1
D
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
H2H: Bolton vs Derby
16.03.24
H2H
Derby
Bolton
1
0
L
02.09.23
H2H
Bolton
Derby
2
1
W
21.01.23
H2H
Derby
Bolton
2
1
L
27.12.22
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
0
D
13.04.19
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
0
L
29.09.18
H2H
Bolton
Derby
1
0
W
07.04.18
H2H
Derby
Bolton
3
0
L
19.08.17
H2H
Bolton
Derby
1
2
L
09.04.16
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
1
L
08.08.15
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
0
D
07.02.15
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
1
L
27.09.14
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
2
L
11.03.14
H2H
Derby
Bolton
0
0
D
17.09.13
H2H
Bolton
Derby
2
2
D
19.02.13
H2H
Derby
Bolton
1
1
D
Last matches: Bolton
24.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Stockport County
4
1
W
09.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Luton
2
3
L
18.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Huddersfield
3
3
D
14.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Stevenage
5
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Stockport County
2
2
D
17.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Doncaster
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Wycombe
3
2
W
21.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Blackpool
2
2
D
07.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Barnsley
3
2
W
27.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Burton Albion
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Leyton Orient
2
1
W
04.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Northampton
0
0
D
29.12.25
Lea
Bolton
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
26.12.25
Lea
Bolton
Rotherham
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Bolton
Exeter City
2
1
W
22.11.25
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
0
0
D
08.11.25
Lea
Bolton
Port Vale
4
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Bolton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Bolton
Cardiff
1
0
W
H2H at home: Bolton
02.09.23
H2H
Bolton
Derby
2
1
W
27.12.22
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
0
D
29.09.18
H2H
Bolton
Derby
1
0
W
19.08.17
H2H
Bolton
Derby
1
2
L
08.08.15
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
0
D
27.09.14
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
2
L
17.09.13
H2H
Bolton
Derby
2
2
D
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
08.11.25
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
18.10.25
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
0
1
L
H2H away: Derby
02.09.23
H2H
Bolton
Derby
2
1
L
27.12.22
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
0
D
29.09.18
H2H
Bolton
Derby
1
0
L
19.08.17
H2H
Bolton
Derby
1
2
W
08.08.15
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
0
D
27.09.14
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
2
W
17.09.13
H2H
Bolton
Derby
2
2
D
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Bolton
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 4 |
Derby
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One