24.07.2026 00:45
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Referee: D. Zamora
Defensa Y Justicia
Match Timeline
Aldosivi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
N. Cordero · Assist: T. Fernandez
Aldosivi
🟨
28'
J. Pombo
Aldosivi
29'
D. Barbona
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
51'
C. Perez
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
67'
A. Sosa ↔ A. Palavecino
Aldosivi
🔄
67'
R. Gonzalez ↔ M. Garcia
Aldosivi
🟨
68'
A. Hausch
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
70'
A. Hausch ↔ D. Blanco
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
71'
T. Fernandez
Aldosivi
🔄
77'
T. Fernandez ↔ A. Chavez
Aldosivi
🔄
77'
M. Godoy ↔ E. Lopez
Aldosivi
🔄
84'
M. Rodriguez ↔ F. Roman
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
84'
D. Barbona ↔ M. J. Cabrera
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
86'
F. Laurelli ↔ N. Guzman
Aldosivi
🟨
90+5'
A. Palavecino
Aldosivi

Defensa Y Justicia vs Aldosivi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.8%
-
BTTS Yes
67.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Defensa Y Justicia Win 82.8%
Draw 8.6%
Aldosivi Win 8.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensa Y Justicia1.14
Aldosivi0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
WWDLW
22 GF / 26 GA
Aldosivi Aldosivi
WLDWL
12 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
11
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
4
3.63
Shots on Goal
2.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 19 matches
Aldosivi Aldosivi 18 matches
Defensa Y Justicia Statistic Aldosivi
6 Wins 2
7 Draws 8
6 Losses 8
22 Goals For 12
26 Goals Against 20
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
11 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 10
3.63 Shots On Goal 2.69
9.88 Total Shots 10.75
4.19 Corners 3.88
50.6% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aldosivi. Defensa Y Justicia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 19 points compared to Aldosivi in 14 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensa Y Justicia expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Aldosivi in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aldosivi having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Defensa Y Justicia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Defensa Y Justicia Analysis

With 19 points from 16 games and a place of 10, Defensa Y Justicia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 18:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Molinas (3 goals), A. Portillo (3 goals), J. Gutierrez (3 goals), with creative support from A. Molinas (4 assists), J. Gutierrez (3 assists), A. Portillo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aldosivi Analysis

Aldosivi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 8 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 6:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Federico Gino (2 goals), F. Anso (1 goals), with creative support from Fernando Román (1 assists), L. Rodriguez (1 assists), N. Zalazar (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Defensa Y Justicia won 7 times, Aldosivi won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:11 from Defensa Y Justicia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Defensa Y Justicia 3-4-2-1 / Aldosivi 5-4-1
H2H summary: Defensa Y Justicia wins 7, draws 5, Aldosivi wins 2

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W D W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W D W D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W L D D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W D W L D
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W L D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L D W L D
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L W W W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W L W D
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D L D W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L L D L W
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D L L D L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W D D D W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L D D D
Knockout Phase