BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Santa Cruz
Referee: Jose Mendonca da Silva Junior, Brazil
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
Juventude
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
Vilar
Botafogo SP
32'
Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🟨
35'
Lucas Mineiro
Juventude
🟨
43'
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Rai Ramos ↔ Nathan Santos
Juventude
49'
Arthur Caike
Botafogo SP
55'
Patryck · Assist: Marcos Paulo
Juventude
58'
Wesley Santos · Assist: Rafael Gava
Botafogo SP
🔄
59'
Luan Martins ↔ Pablo Roberto
Juventude
🔄
59'
Fabio Lima ↔ Alan Kardec
Juventude
🔄
60'
Arthur Caike ↔ Guilherme Queiroz
Botafogo SP
🟨
65'
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
Botafogo SP
🟥
65'
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
Botafogo SP
70'
Pablo Roberto
Juventude
🔄
71'
Lucas Mineiro ↔ M. Castro
Juventude
🔄
73'
Rafael Gava ↔ Marco Antonio
Botafogo SP
🔄
73'
Wesley Santos ↔ Wallace
Botafogo SP
🔄
74'
Pedro Henrique ↔ Gabriel Inocencio
Botafogo SP
🔄
78'
Patryck ↔ Diogo Barbosa
Juventude
🔄
85'
↔ Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
🟨
90+5'
Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 36.9%
Draw 15.9%
Juventude Win 47.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP0.84
Juventude1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
20 GF / 18 GA
Juventude Juventude
WLDWL
19 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.44
9
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
4
3.44
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 18 matches
Juventude Juventude 18 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic Juventude
5 Wins 9
6 Draws 5
7 Losses 4
20 Goals For 19
18 Goals Against 8
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.44
9 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 6
3.44 Shots On Goal 4.44
11.39 Total Shots 12.06
5.89 Corners 4.17
45.5% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Juventude. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo SP expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Juventude in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventude having the stronger overall control. Juventude carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 29 points while Botafogo SP sit 15 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Juventude look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP sit 15 with 20 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 20:18 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Vilar (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 29 points after 17 outings. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 17:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Raí (3 goals), Alan Kardec (1 goals), Wadson (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Wadson (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 2 times, Juventude won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-1-4-1 / Juventude 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 2, draws 4, Juventude wins 1
Stats
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
Juventude Juventude
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 9
22 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 3
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 11
3 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 6
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
234 Total passes 404
174 Passes accurate 334
2.06 expected_goals 0.79
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Botafogo SP
Formation
Juventude
Victor Souza
Victor Souza
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Ericson
Ericson
Vilar
Vilar
Patrick Brey
Patrick Brey
Yuri Felipe
Yuri Felipe
Ze Hugo
Ze Hugo
Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Rafael Gava
🎯
Rafael Gava
Wesley Santos
⚽ 2
Wesley Santos
Arthur Caike
Arthur Caike
Jandrei
Jandrei
Rai Ramos
Rai Ramos
Gabriel Pinheiro
Gabriel Pinheiro
Rodrigo Sam
Rodrigo Sam
Marcos Paulo
🎯
Marcos Paulo
Patryck
Patryck
Fabio Lima
Fabio Lima
Luan Martins
Luan Martins
Lucas Mineiro
Lucas Mineiro
MP
MP
Alisson Safira
Alisson Safira
Botafogo SP 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Victor Souza
G
31
Pedro Henrique
↓ 74'
D
3
Ericson
D
4
Vilar
⚽ 16'
D
6
Patrick Brey
🟨 90+5'
D
20
Yuri Felipe
🟨 43' 🟨 65' 🟥 65'
M
30
Ze Hugo
M
8
Everton Morelli
M
10
Rafael Gava
🎯 58' ↓ 73'
M
23
Wesley Santos
⚽ 32' ⚽ 58' ↓ 73'
M
18
Arthur Caike
⚽ 49' ↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
12
Jordan
G
17
Guilherme Queiroz
↑ 60'
F
5
Leandro Maciel
↑ 85'
M
11
Jefferson Nem
F
7
Kelvin
F
28
Marco Antonio
↑ 73'
M
22
Gabriel Inocencio
↑ 74'
19
Marcio Maranhao
F
13
Wallace
↑ 73'
D
26
Felipe Vieira
D
29
Thiago Moraes
M
34
Hebert
D
Juventude 5-4-1
Starting XI
93
Jandrei
G
2
Rai Ramos
↓ 46'
D
97
Gabriel Pinheiro
D
34
Rodrigo Sam
D
47
Marcos Paulo
🎯 55'
D
30
Patryck
⚽ 55' ↓ 78'
D
11
Fabio Lima
↓ 59'
M
5
Luan Martins
↓ 59'
M
8
Lucas Mineiro
↓ 71' 🟨 35'
M
10
MP
M
25
Alisson Safira
F
Substitutes
12
Pedro Rocha
G
21
Ruan Carneiro
G
16
Diogo Barbosa
↑ 78'
D
3
Titi
D
7
Pablo Roberto
⚽ 70' ↑ 59'
M
6
Wadson
D
9
Alan Kardec
↑ 59'
F
17
M. Castro
↑ 71'
F
22
Nathan Santos
↑ 46'
D
72
Lucas Alves
26
I. Ly
36
K. Costa
D
Last matches: Botafogo SP
25.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
0
3
L
20.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
1
D
14.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
0
W
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
29.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
0
D
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
Last matches: Juventude
25.08.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
2
1
W
19.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
1
0
W
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
H2H: Botafogo SP vs Juventude
24.07.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
29.07.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
0
2
L
15.04.23
H2H
Juventude
Botafogo SP
1
2
W
02.12.20
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
1
1
D
29.08.20
H2H
Juventude
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
28.08.16
H2H
Juventude
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
26.06.16
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
1
1
D
Last matches: Botafogo SP
20.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
1
D
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo SP
24.07.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
29.07.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
0
2
L
02.12.20
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
1
1
D
26.06.16
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
1
1
D
Last matches: Juventude
19.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
H2H away: Juventude
24.07.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
L
29.07.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
0
2
W
02.12.20
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
1
1
D
26.06.16
H2H
Botafogo SP
Juventude
1
1
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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