SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Alaves
Match Timeline
Real Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Abderrahman Rebbach
Alaves
🟨
6'
Victor Parada
Alaves
24'
K. Mbappe · Assist: J. Bellingham
Real Madrid
🔄
67'
A. Rebbach ↔ C. Alena
Alaves
🔄
67'
P. Ibanez ↔ T. Martinez
Alaves
🔄
67'
Calebe ↔ C. Vicente
Alaves
68'
C. Vicente · Assist: A. Blanco
Alaves
VAR
69'
Carlos Vicente
Alaves
76'
Rodrygo · Assist: Vinicius Junior
Real Madrid
🔄
78'
A. Guler ↔ G. Garcia
Real Madrid
🔄
78'
V. Valdepenas ↔ D. Huijsen
Real Madrid
🟨
80'
Vinícius Júnior
Real Madrid
🔄
83'
D. Suarez ↔ A. Guevara
Alaves
🔄
83'
Rodrygo ↔ B. Diaz
Real Madrid
🔄
89'
V. Parada ↔ Yusi
Alaves
🔄
89'
Vinicius Junior ↔ F. Mastantuono
Real Madrid
🟨
90+3'
Ander Guevara
Alaves

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 0%
Draw 0%
Real Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.21
Real Madrid1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves Alaves
WWDLW
23 GF / 15 GA
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WLDWL
45 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
2.05
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
14
3.29
Shots on Goal
7.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alaves Alaves 17 matches
Real Madrid Real Madrid 22 matches
Alaves Statistic Real Madrid
7 Wins 15
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 4
23 Goals For 45
15 Goals Against 22
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 2.05
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 17
7 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 3
3.29 Shots On Goal 7.32
10.47 Total Shots 19.68
4.82 Corners 6.32
46.9% Ball Possession 59.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 2 times, Real Madrid won 13 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:37 from Alaves's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Alaves 4-1-4-1 / Real Madrid 4-4-2
H2H summary: Alaves wins 2, draws 0, Real Madrid wins 13
Stats
Alaves Alaves
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 7
12 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 6
2 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
488 Total passes 462
421 Passes accurate 397
1.36 expected_goals 1.83
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Alaves
Formation
Real Madrid
A. Sivera
A. Sivera
Jonny Otto
Jonny Otto
N. Tenaglia
N. Tenaglia
J. Pacheco
J. Pacheco
V. Parada
V. Parada
A. Blanco
🎯
A. Blanco
Calebe
Calebe
P. Ibanez
P. Ibanez
D. Suarez
D. Suarez
A. Rebbach
A. Rebbach
L. Boye
L. Boye
T. Courtois
T. Courtois
F. Valverde
F. Valverde
R. Asencio
R. Asencio
A. Rudiger
A. Rudiger
V. Valdepenas
V. Valdepenas
Rodrygo
Rodrygo
A. Guler
A. Guler
A. Tchouameni
A. Tchouameni
J. Bellingham
🎯
J. Bellingham
K. Mbappe
K. Mbappe
Vinicius Junior
🎯
Vinicius Junior
Alaves 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
A. Sivera
G
17
Jonny Otto
D
14
N. Tenaglia
D
5
J. Pacheco
D
24
V. Parada
↓ 89' 🟨 6'
D
8
A. Blanco
🎯 68'
M
20
Calebe
↓ 67'
M
19
P. Ibanez
↓ 67'
M
4
D. Suarez
↓ 83'
M
21
A. Rebbach
↓ 67' 🟨 -5'
M
15
L. Boye
F
Substitutes
13
R. Fernandez
G
33
R. Montero
G
22
M. Diarra
D
3
Yusi
↑ 89'
D
10
C. Alena
↑ 67'
M
23
C. Protesoni
M
6
A. Guevara
↑ 83' 🟨 90+3'
M
18
J. Guridi
M
9
M. Diaz
F
11
T. Martinez
↑ 67'
F
34
A. Manas
7
C. Vicente
⚽ 68' ↑ 67'
F
Real Madrid 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
T. Courtois
G
8
F. Valverde
D
17
R. Asencio
D
22
A. Rudiger
D
40
V. Valdepenas
↓ 78'
11
Rodrygo
⚽ 76' ↓ 83'
M
15
A. Guler
↓ 78'
M
14
A. Tchouameni
M
5
J. Bellingham
🎯 24'
M
10
K. Mbappe
⚽ 24'
F
7
Vinicius Junior
🎯 76' ↓ 89' 🟨 80'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Lunin
G
43
S. Mestre
G
16
G. Garcia
↑ 78'
F
19
D. Ceballos
M
21
B. Diaz
↑ 83'
M
24
D. Huijsen
↑ 78'
D
28
J. Cestero Sancho
M
30
F. Mastantuono
↑ 89'
F
36
J. Martinez
D
45
T. Pitarch
M
Last matches: Alaves
07.08.26
Fri
Alaves
Racing Santander
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Castellón
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Girona
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Eibar
1
1
D
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
17.05.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
0
W
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Alaves
Elche
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
22.03.26
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Alaves
Valencia
2
3
L
27.02.26
La
Alaves
Levante
0
2
L
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
14.02.26
La
Alaves
Sevilla
1
1
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
Last matches: Real Madrid
12.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
H2H: Alaves vs Real Madrid
21.04.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
L
14.12.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
13.04.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
L
24.09.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
2
L
14.05.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
5
0
L
21.12.23
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
L
19.02.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
L
14.08.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
L
23.01.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
L
28.11.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
1
2
W
10.07.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
0
L
30.11.19
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
03.02.19
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
L
06.10.18
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
0
W
24.02.18
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
4
0
L
Last matches: Alaves
31.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Castellón
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Eibar
1
1
D
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
25.01.26
La
Alaves
Real Betis
2
1
W
14.01.26
Cop
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
1
D
17.12.25
Cop
Alaves
Sevilla
1
0
W
06.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
1
0
W
22.11.25
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
02.11.25
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
20.10.25
La
Alaves
Valencia
0
0
D
05.10.25
La
Alaves
Elche
3
1
W
H2H at home: Alaves
14.12.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
13.04.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
L
21.12.23
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
L
14.08.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
L
23.01.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
L
30.11.19
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
06.10.18
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
0
W
Last matches: Real Madrid
12.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
21.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Osasuna
1
2
L
17.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
1
0
W
08.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
4
L
24.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Villarreal
2
0
W
14.01.26
Cop
Real Madrid
Albacete
2
3
L
17.12.25
Cop
Real Madrid
CF Talavera
3
2
W
03.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
3
0
W
30.11.25
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
26.11.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Olympiakos Piraeus
4
3
W
H2H away: Real Madrid
14.12.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
W
13.04.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
W
21.12.23
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
W
14.08.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
W
23.01.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
W
30.11.19
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
W
06.10.18
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2