Alaves
Match Timeline
Real Madrid
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 0%
Draw 0%
Real Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.21
Real Madrid1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves
WWDLW
23 GF / 15 GA
Real Madrid
WLDWL
45 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
2.05
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
14
3.29
Shots on Goal
7.32
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
17 matches
Real Madrid
22 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 15 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 45 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.05 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.29 | Shots On Goal | 7.32 |
| 10.47 | Total Shots | 19.68 |
| 4.82 | Corners | 6.32 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 59.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 2 times, Real Madrid won 13 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:37 from Alaves's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Alaves 4-1-4-1 / Real Madrid 4-4-2
H2H summary: Alaves wins 2, draws 0, Real Madrid wins 13
Stats
Alaves
Real Madrid
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Alaves
Formation
Real Madrid
A. Sivera
Jonny Otto
N. Tenaglia
J. Pacheco
V. Parada
A. Blanco
Calebe
P. Ibanez
D. Suarez
A. Rebbach
L. Boye
T. Courtois
F. Valverde
R. Asencio
A. Rudiger
V. Valdepenas
Rodrygo
A. Guler
A. Tchouameni
J. Bellingham
K. Mbappe
Vinicius Junior
Alaves
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
A. Sivera
G
17
Jonny Otto
D
14
N. Tenaglia
D
5
J. Pacheco
D
24
V. Parada
D
↓ 89'
🟨 6'
8
A. Blanco
M
🎯 68'
20
Calebe
M
↓ 67'
19
P. Ibanez
M
↓ 67'
4
D. Suarez
M
↓ 83'
21
A. Rebbach
M
↓ 67'
🟨 -5'
15
L. Boye
F
Substitutes
13
R. Fernandez
G
33
R. Montero
G
22
M. Diarra
D
3
Yusi
D
↑ 89'
10
C. Alena
M
↑ 67'
23
C. Protesoni
M
6
A. Guevara
M
↑ 83'
🟨 90+3'
18
J. Guridi
M
9
M. Diaz
F
11
T. Martinez
F
↑ 67'
34
A. Manas
7
C. Vicente
F
⚽ 68'
↑ 67'
Real Madrid
4-4-2
Starting XI
1
T. Courtois
G
8
F. Valverde
D
17
R. Asencio
D
22
A. Rudiger
D
40
V. Valdepenas
↓ 78'
11
Rodrygo
M
⚽ 76'
↓ 83'
15
A. Guler
M
↓ 78'
14
A. Tchouameni
M
5
J. Bellingham
M
🎯 24'
10
K. Mbappe
F
⚽ 24'
7
Vinicius Junior
F
🎯 76'
↓ 89'
🟨 80'
Substitutes
13
A. Lunin
G
43
S. Mestre
G
16
G. Garcia
F
↑ 78'
19
D. Ceballos
M
21
B. Diaz
M
↑ 83'
24
D. Huijsen
D
↑ 78'
28
J. Cestero Sancho
M
30
F. Mastantuono
F
↑ 89'
36
J. Martinez
D
45
T. Pitarch
M
Last matches: Alaves
07.08.26
Fri
Alaves
Racing Santander
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Castellón
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Girona
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Eibar
1
1
D
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
17.05.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
0
W
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Alaves
Elche
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
22.03.26
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Alaves
Valencia
2
3
L
27.02.26
La
Alaves
Levante
0
2
L
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
14.02.26
La
Alaves
Sevilla
1
1
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
Last matches: Real Madrid
12.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
H2H: Alaves vs Real Madrid
21.04.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
L
14.12.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
13.04.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
L
24.09.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
2
L
14.05.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
5
0
L
21.12.23
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
L
19.02.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
L
14.08.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
L
23.01.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
L
28.11.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
1
2
W
10.07.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
0
L
30.11.19
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
03.02.19
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
L
06.10.18
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
0
W
24.02.18
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
4
0
L
Last matches: Alaves
31.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Castellón
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Eibar
1
1
D
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
25.01.26
La
Alaves
Real Betis
2
1
W
14.01.26
Cop
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
1
D
17.12.25
Cop
Alaves
Sevilla
1
0
W
06.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
1
0
W
22.11.25
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
02.11.25
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
20.10.25
La
Alaves
Valencia
0
0
D
05.10.25
La
Alaves
Elche
3
1
W
H2H at home: Alaves
14.12.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
13.04.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
L
21.12.23
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
L
14.08.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
L
23.01.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
L
30.11.19
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
06.10.18
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
0
W
Last matches: Real Madrid
12.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
21.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Osasuna
1
2
L
17.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
1
0
W
08.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
4
L
24.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Villarreal
2
0
W
14.01.26
Cop
Real Madrid
Albacete
2
3
L
17.12.25
Cop
Real Madrid
CF Talavera
3
2
W
03.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
3
0
W
30.11.25
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
26.11.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Olympiakos Piraeus
4
3
W
H2H away: Real Madrid
14.12.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
W
13.04.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
W
21.12.23
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
W
14.08.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
W
23.01.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
W
30.11.19
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
W
06.10.18
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
0
L
Standings
Primera División
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Real Madrid
Away
|
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
Alaves
Home
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2