SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Referee: J. Alberola
Alaves
Match Timeline
Mallorca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
L. Boye ↔ I. Diabate
Alaves
18'
J. Virgili · Assist: Samu Costa
Mallorca
🟨
26'
Jonny Otto
Alaves
56'
T. Martinez · Assist: A. Rebbach
Alaves
🟨
59'
Martin Valjent
Mallorca
🔄
63'
C. Alena ↔ D. Suarez
Alaves
69'
T. Martinez · Assist: A. Perez
Alaves
🔄
70'
P. Torre ↔ M. Morlanes
Mallorca
🟨
76'
Victor Parada
Alaves
🔄
81'
T. Martinez ↔ J. Guridi
Alaves
🔄
81'
V. Parada ↔ J. Pacheco
Alaves
🔄
81'
A. Perez ↔ Calebe
Alaves
🔄
81'
S. Darder ↔ A. Prats
Mallorca
🔄
85'
P. Maffeo ↔ M. Morey Bauza
Mallorca
🔄
86'
J. Mojica ↔ T. Lato
Mallorca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
77.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 43.8%
Draw 33.5%
Mallorca Win 22.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.42
Mallorca1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves Alaves
WWDLW
51 GF / 51 GA
Mallorca Mallorca
WLDWL
45 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.49
21
BTTS Yes
22
19
Over 2.5
22
4
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alaves Alaves 37 matches
Mallorca Mallorca 35 matches
Alaves Statistic Mallorca
12 Wins 11
9 Draws 8
16 Losses 16
51 Goals For 45
51 Goals Against 52
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.49
21 BTTS Yes 22
27 Over 1.5 29
19 Over 2.5 22
10 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 9
4 Shots On Goal 4.09
11.73 Total Shots 10.82
4.84 Corners 3.62
48.6% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Mallorca seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alaves expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Mallorca in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mallorca having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mallorca. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Alaves Analysis

Alaves sit 18 with 33 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 35:46 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Boye (11 goals), T. Martinez (9 goals), C. Vicente (5 goals), with creative support from C. Alena (4 assists), T. Martinez (3 assists), Victor Parada (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with F. Garces, C. Protesoni unavailable.

Mallorca Analysis

Mallorca sit 15 with 35 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 39:48 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vedat Muriqi (21 goals), Samú Costa (6 goals), Pablo Torre (3 goals), with creative support from S. Darder (5 assists), J. Virgili (4 assists), Pablo Torre (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Salas, L. Bergstrom, M. Kumbulla unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 3 times, Mallorca won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Alaves's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Alaves 5-3-2 / Mallorca 4-3-1-2
Missing players: Alaves 2, Mallorca 6
H2H summary: Alaves wins 3, draws 3, Mallorca wins 4
Stats
Alaves Alaves
Mallorca Mallorca
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 0
7 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 2
7 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
400 Total passes 416
340 Passes accurate 344
1.22 expected_goals 0.22
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Alaves
Formation
Mallorca
A. Sivera
A. Sivera
A. Perez
🎯
A. Perez
Jonny Otto
Jonny Otto
N. Tenaglia
N. Tenaglia
V. Parada
V. Parada
A. Rebbach
🎯
A. Rebbach
P. Ibanez
P. Ibanez
A. Blanco
A. Blanco
C. Alena
C. Alena
T. Martinez
⚽ 2
T. Martinez
L. Boye
L. Boye
L. Roman
L. Roman
P. Maffeo
P. Maffeo
D. Lopez
D. Lopez
M. Valjent
M. Valjent
J. Mojica
J. Mojica
Samu Costa
🎯
Samu Costa
O. Mascarell
O. Mascarell
S. Darder
S. Darder
P. Torre
P. Torre
V. Muriqi
V. Muriqi
J. Virgili
J. Virgili
Alaves 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
A. Sivera
G
7
A. Perez
🎯 69' ↓ 81'
D
17
Jonny Otto
🟨 26'
D
14
N. Tenaglia
D
24
V. Parada
↓ 81' 🟨 76'
D
21
A. Rebbach
🎯 56'
D
19
P. Ibanez
M
8
A. Blanco
M
10
C. Alena
↓ 63'
M
11
T. Martinez
⚽ 56' ⚽ 69' ↓ 81'
F
15
L. Boye
↓ 4'
F
Substitutes
13
R. Fernandez
G
31
G. Swiderski
G
4
D. Suarez
↑ 63'
M
16
V. Koski
D
22
I. Diabate
↑ 4'
F
3
Yusi
D
27
E. Munoz
9
M. Diaz
F
18
J. Guridi
↑ 81'
M
6
A. Guevara
M
5
J. Pacheco
↑ 81'
D
20
Calebe
↑ 81'
M
Mallorca 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
L. Roman
G
23
P. Maffeo
↓ 85'
D
27
D. Lopez
D
24
M. Valjent
🟨 59'
D
22
J. Mojica
↓ 86'
D
12
Samu Costa
🎯 18'
M
5
O. Mascarell
M
10
S. Darder
↓ 81'
M
20
P. Torre
↓ 70'
M
7
V. Muriqi
F
17
J. Virgili
⚽ 18'
F
Substitutes
25
Pichu Cuellar
G
9
A. Prats
↑ 81'
F
11
T. Asano
F
6
A. Sanchez
M
19
J. Llabres
F
28
C. Riba
M
3
T. Lato
↑ 86'
D
8
M. Morlanes
↑ 70'
M
2
M. Morey Bauza
↑ 85'
D
30
J. Kalumba
F
34
J. Olaizola
D
39
J. Garcia
M
Last matches: Alaves
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
17.05.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
0
W
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Alaves
Elche
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
21.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
22.03.26
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Alaves
Valencia
2
3
L
27.02.26
La
Alaves
Levante
0
2
L
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
14.02.26
La
Alaves
Sevilla
1
1
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
30.01.26
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
25.01.26
La
Alaves
Real Betis
2
1
W
18.01.26
La
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
14.01.26
Cop
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
Last matches: Mallorca
23.05.26
La
Mallorca
Oviedo
3
0
W
17.05.26
La
Mallorca
Levante
0
2
L
13.05.26
La
Mallorca
Getafe
1
3
L
10.05.26
La
Mallorca
Villarreal
1
1
D
01.05.26
La
Mallorca
Girona
1
0
W
21.04.26
La
Mallorca
Valencia
1
1
D
12.04.26
La
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
3
0
W
04.04.26
La
Mallorca
Real Madrid
2
1
W
21.03.26
La
Mallorca
Elche
1
2
L
15.03.26
La
Mallorca
Espanyol
2
1
W
07.03.26
La
Mallorca
Osasuna
2
2
D
28.02.26
La
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
0
1
L
22.02.26
La
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
15.02.26
La
Mallorca
Real Betis
1
2
L
07.02.26
La
Mallorca
Barcelona
0
3
L
02.02.26
La
Mallorca
Sevilla
4
1
W
25.01.26
La
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
0
3
L
17.01.26
La
Mallorca
Athletic Club
3
2
W
11.01.26
La
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
04.01.26
La
Mallorca
Girona
1
2
L
H2H: Alaves vs Mallorca
25.04.26
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
27.09.25
H2H
Mallorca
Alaves
1
0
L
02.03.25
H2H
Mallorca
Alaves
1
1
D
01.11.24
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
1
0
W
24.02.24
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
1
1
D
03.12.23
H2H
Mallorca
Alaves
0
0
D
19.04.22
H2H
Mallorca
Alaves
2
1
L
21.08.21
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
0
1
L
15.02.20
H2H
Mallorca
Alaves
1
0
L
29.09.19
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
2
0
W
Last matches: Alaves
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
25.01.26
La
Alaves
Real Betis
2
1
W
14.01.26
Cop
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
1
D
17.12.25
Cop
Alaves
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
06.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
1
0
W
22.11.25
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
02.11.25
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
20.10.25
La
Alaves
Valencia
0
0
D
05.10.25
La
Alaves
Elche
3
1
W
20.09.25
La
Alaves
Sevilla
1
2
L
30.08.25
La
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
H2H at home: Alaves
25.04.26
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
01.11.24
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
1
0
W
24.02.24
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
1
1
D
21.08.21
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
0
1
L
29.09.19
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
2
0
W
Last matches: Mallorca
17.05.26
La
Mallorca
Levante
0
2
L
13.05.26
La
Mallorca
Getafe
1
3
L
01.05.26
La
Mallorca
Girona
1
0
W
21.03.26
La
Mallorca
Elche
1
2
L
07.03.26
La
Mallorca
Osasuna
2
2
D
22.02.26
La
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
07.02.26
La
Mallorca
Barcelona
0
3
L
25.01.26
La
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
0
3
L
11.01.26
La
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
19.12.25
La
Mallorca
Valencia
1
1
D
16.12.25
Cop
Mallorca
Deportivo La Coruna
0
1
L
05.12.25
La
Mallorca
Oviedo
0
0
D
02.12.25
Cop
Mallorca
Numancia
3
2
W
22.11.25
La
Mallorca
Villarreal
1
2
L
02.11.25
La
Mallorca
Real Betis
0
3
L
29.10.25
Cop
Mallorca
Sant Just
2
0
W
18.10.25
La
Mallorca
Sevilla
3
1
W
04.10.25
La
Mallorca
Athletic Club
1
2
L
24.09.25
La
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
0
1
L
15.09.25
La
Mallorca
Espanyol
2
3
L
H2H away: Mallorca
25.04.26
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
L
01.11.24
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
1
0
L
24.02.24
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
1
1
D
21.08.21
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
0
1
W
29.09.19
H2H
Alaves
Mallorca
2
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Alaves 2 missing
-
F. Garces
Missing Fixture Suspended
OUT
-
C. Protesoni
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Mallorca 6 missing
-
J. Salas
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Bergstrom
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Kumbulla
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Raillo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Joseph
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Z. Luvumbo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT