Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
77.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
85.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.5%
|
- |
Alaves
Mallorca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
37 matches
Mallorca
35 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 11 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 16 | Losses | 16 |
| 51 | Goals For | 45 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.49 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.09 |
| 11.73 | Total Shots | 10.82 |
| 4.84 | Corners | 3.62 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Mallorca seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alaves expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Mallorca in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mallorca having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mallorca. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Alaves sit 18 with 33 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 35:46 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Boye (11 goals), T. Martinez (9 goals), C. Vicente (5 goals), with creative support from C. Alena (4 assists), T. Martinez (3 assists), Victor Parada (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with F. Garces, C. Protesoni unavailable.
Mallorca sit 15 with 35 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 39:48 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vedat Muriqi (21 goals), Samú Costa (6 goals), Pablo Torre (3 goals), with creative support from S. Darder (5 assists), J. Virgili (4 assists), Pablo Torre (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Salas, L. Bergstrom, M. Kumbulla unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 3 times, Mallorca won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Alaves's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Alaves
4
2
4
0
7
2
Lineups
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Oviedo
Alaves
Barcelona
Alaves
Elche
Alaves
Athletic Club
Alaves
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Osasuna
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
Valencia
Alaves
Levante
Alaves
Girona
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Espanyol
Alaves
Real Betis
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Oviedo
Mallorca
Levante
Mallorca
Getafe
Mallorca
Villarreal
Mallorca
Girona
Mallorca
Valencia
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Elche
Mallorca
Espanyol
Mallorca
Osasuna
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
Mallorca
Real Betis
Mallorca
Barcelona
Mallorca
Sevilla
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
Athletic Club
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Girona
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Barcelona
Alaves
Athletic Club
Alaves
Osasuna
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
Girona
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Real Betis
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Oviedo
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Espanyol
Alaves
Valencia
Alaves
Elche
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
Levante
Mallorca
Getafe
Mallorca
Girona
Mallorca
Elche
Mallorca
Osasuna
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
Mallorca
Barcelona
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Valencia
Mallorca
Deportivo La Coruna
Mallorca
Oviedo
Mallorca
Numancia
Mallorca
Villarreal
Mallorca
Real Betis
Mallorca
Sant Just
Mallorca
Sevilla
Mallorca
Athletic Club
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
Mallorca
Espanyol
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
Alaves
Home
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Mallorca
Away
|
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|