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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Watford
FT
3 - 0
Middlesbrough
Vicarage Road
Referee: John Busby, England
Watford
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
I. Louza · Assist: K. Baah
Watford
⚽
32'
L. Kjerrumgaard · Assist: J. Ngakia
Watford
🟨
34'
Kwadwo Baah
Watford
🟨
45'
Kévin Keben Biakolo
Watford
⚽
49'
M. Doumbia · Assist: K. Keben
Watford
🟨
57'
Luke Ayling
Middlesbrough
🔄
62'
R. Vata ↔ T. Ince
Watford
🔄
70'
A. Morris ↔ R. McGree
Middlesbrough
🔄
70'
D. Burgzorg ↔ M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🔄
70'
A. Jones ↔ D. Strelec
Middlesbrough
🔄
71'
H. Hackney ↔ M. K. Sene
Middlesbrough
🔄
71'
T. Conway ↔ S. Hansen
Middlesbrough
🔄
77'
K. Baah ↔ J. Petris
Watford
🔄
77'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
88'
I. Louza ↔ E. Kayembe
Watford
🔄
89'
M. Doumbia ↔ V. Semedo
Watford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford0.97
Middlesbrough1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
14 GF / 16 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
16 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
8
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
4.67
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 12 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 matches
Watford Statistic Middlesbrough
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 1
14 Goals For 16
16 Goals Against 8
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
8 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 3.92
14.67 Total Shots 12.17
4.17 Corners 5.08
50.6% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 8 times, Middlesbrough won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Watford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-4-2 / Middlesbrough 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Watford wins 8, draws 3, Middlesbrough wins 4
Stats
Watford Watford
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
1 Corner Kicks 7
15 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 4
4 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
419 Total passes 490
339 Passes accurate 427
0.76 expected_goals 0.79
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Watford
Formation
Middlesbrough
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia
🎯
J. Ngakia
K. Keben
🎯
K. Keben
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
M. Bola
M. Bola
K. Baah
🎯 ↓
K. Baah
I. Louza
⚽ ↓
I. Louza
H. Kyprianou
H. Kyprianou
R. Vata
↓
R. Vata
M. Doumbia
⚽ ↓
M. Doumbia
L. Kjerrumgaard
⚽ ↓
L. Kjerrumgaard
S. Brynn
S. Brynn
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
D. Fry
D. Fry
A. Jones
↓
A. Jones
C. Brittain
C. Brittain
A. Browne
A. Browne
A. Morris
↓
A. Morris
M. Targett
M. Targett
H. Hackney
↓
H. Hackney
T. Conway
↓
T. Conway
D. Burgzorg
↓
D. Burgzorg
Watford 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
2
J. Ngakia
🎯 32'
D
4
K. Keben
🎯 49' 🟨 45'
D
6
M. Pollock
D
16
M. Bola
D
34
K. Baah
🎯 15' ↓ 77' 🟨 34'
M
10
I. Louza
⚽ 15' ↓ 88'
M
5
H. Kyprianou
M
11
R. Vata
↓ 62'
M
20
M. Doumbia
⚽ 49' ↓ 89'
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
⚽ 32' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
3
M. Alleyne
D
7
T. Ince
↑ 62'
M
17
M. Sissoko
M
18
V. Semedo
↑ 89'
F
29
J. Petris
↑ 77'
D
39
E. Kayembe
↑ 88'
M
42
O. Maamma
F
66
N. Irankunda
↑ 77'
F
Middlesbrough 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
31
S. Brynn
G
12
L. Ayling
🟨 57'
D
6
D. Fry
D
5
A. Jones
↓ 70'
D
2
C. Brittain
M
16
A. Browne
M
18
A. Morris
↓ 70'
M
3
M. Targett
M
7
H. Hackney
↓ 71'
F
9
T. Conway
↓ 71'
F
10
D. Burgzorg
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
33
J. McLaughlin
G
8
R. McGree
↑ 70'
M
11
M. Whittaker
↑ 70'
F
13
D. Strelec
↑ 70'
F
19
S. Nypan
M
20
M. K. Sene
↑ 71'
F
22
S. Silvera
F
25
G. Edmundson
D
27
S. Hansen
↑ 71'
F
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
Last matches: Middlesbrough
15.08.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Lincoln
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
H2H: Watford vs Middlesbrough
25.04.26
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
L
01.11.25
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
15.02.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
1
W
05.10.24
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
04.05.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
3
1
L
30.09.23
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
3
L
28.01.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
2
0
L
30.08.22
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
05.04.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
1
1
D
11.09.20
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
14.01.17
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
16.10.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
1
W
06.04.15
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
25.10.14
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
1
1
D
15.02.14
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Watford
Portsmouth
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
3
2
W
25.11.25
Cha
Watford
Preston
1
1
D
07.11.25
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
1
1
D
22.10.25
Cha
Watford
West Brom
2
1
W
04.10.25
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
2
1
W
H2H at home: Watford
01.11.25
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
30.09.23
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
3
L
30.08.22
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
11.09.20
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
14.01.17
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
06.04.15
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
15.02.14
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
21.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
W
16.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
West Brom
3
2
W
10.01.26
FA
Middlesbrough
Fulham
1
3
L
01.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0
2
L
09.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
2
1
W
05.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
4
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
1
1
D
04.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
H2H away: Middlesbrough
01.11.25
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
30.09.23
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
3
W
30.08.22
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
11.09.20
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
14.01.17
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
06.04.15
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
0
L
15.02.14
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Away
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Home
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation