ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Bet365 Stadium
Referee: M. Salisbury
Stoke City
Match Timeline
Birmingham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
B. Lawal · Assist: A. Cresswell
Stoke City
🔄
59'
E. Laird ↔ B. Osayi-Samuel
Birmingham
🔄
59'
T. Doyle ↔ M. Ducksch
Birmingham
🔄
60'
P. Roberts ↔ L. Koumas
Birmingham
🔄
71'
T. Rigo ↔ J. Bae
Stoke City
🟨
77'
Junior Tchamadeu
Stoke City
🔄
79'
J. Stansfield ↔ K. Furuhashi
Birmingham
🟨
80'
Ben Pearson
Stoke City
🔄
82'
B. Pearson ↔ T. Seko
Stoke City
🟨
83'
Sorba Thomas
Stoke City
🔄
84'
P. Neumann ↔ M. Leonard
Birmingham
🟨
90+4'
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Birmingham
🔄
90+3'
A. Cresswell ↔ E. Bocat
Stoke City
🔄
90+3'
M. Manhoef ↔ L. Cisse
Stoke City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Stoke City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Birmingham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stoke City1.6
Birmingham0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stoke City Stoke City
WWDLW
8 GF / 3 GA
Birmingham Birmingham
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
1
5
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City Stoke City 4 matches
Birmingham Birmingham 4 matches
Stoke City Statistic Birmingham
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
8 Goals For 4
3 Goals Against 4
2 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 2.25
12.25 Total Shots 11.5
5.5 Corners 4.25
50.3% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 3 times, Birmingham won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Stoke City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Stoke City 4-2-3-1 / Birmingham 4-4-2
H2H summary: Stoke City wins 3, draws 6, Birmingham wins 6
Stats
Stoke City Stoke City
Birmingham Birmingham
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 11
6 Offsides 1
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Goal 0
3 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 5
0 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
341 Total passes 471
248 Passes accurate 375
0.49 expected_goals 0.52
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Stoke City
Formation
Birmingham
V. Johansson
V. Johansson
J. Tchamadeu
J. Tchamadeu
B. Lawal
B. Lawal
B. Wilmot
B. Wilmot
A. Cresswell
🎯
A. Cresswell
T. Rigo
T. Rigo
B. Pearson
B. Pearson
M. Manhoef
M. Manhoef
L. Baker
L. Baker
S. Thomas
S. Thomas
D. Mubama
D. Mubama
R. Allsop
R. Allsop
E. Laird
E. Laird
P. Neumann
P. Neumann
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
A. Cochrane
A. Cochrane
P. Roberts
P. Roberts
T. Iwata
T. Iwata
Paik Seung-Ho
Paik Seung-Ho
D. Gray
D. Gray
J. Stansfield
J. Stansfield
T. Doyle
T. Doyle
Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Johansson
G
22
J. Tchamadeu
🟨 77'
D
18
B. Lawal
⚽ 21'
16
B. Wilmot
D
3
A. Cresswell
🎯 21' ↓ 90+3'
D
19
T. Rigo
↓ 71'
M
4
B. Pearson
↓ 82' 🟨 80'
M
42
M. Manhoef
↓ 90+3'
M
8
L. Baker
M
7
S. Thomas
🟨 83'
M
9
D. Mubama
F
Substitutes
13
J. Bonham
G
17
E. Bocat
↑ 90+3'
D
26
A. Phillips
D
40
M. Talovierov
D
10
J. Bae
↑ 71'
M
14
J. Donley
M
12
T. Seko
↑ 82'
M
11
R. Bozenik
F
29
L. Cisse
↑ 90+3'
F
Birmingham 4-4-2
Starting XI
21
R. Allsop
G
2
E. Laird
↓ 59'
D
5
P. Neumann
↓ 84'
D
4
C. Klarer
D
20
A. Cochrane
D
16
P. Roberts
↓ 60'
M
24
T. Iwata
M
8
Paik Seung-Ho
M
10
D. Gray
M
28
J. Stansfield
↓ 79'
F
7
T. Doyle
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Beadle
G
6
J. Robinson
D
9
K. Furuhashi
↑ 79'
F
12
M. Leonard
↑ 84'
M
17
L. Dykes
F
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
↑ 59' 🟨 90+4'
D
30
L. Koumas
↑ 60'
F
33
M. Ducksch
↑ 59'
F
41
E. Cashin
D
Last matches: Stoke City
15.08.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Stoke City
Valencia
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
H2H: Stoke City vs Birmingham
24.01.26
H2H
Birmingham
Stoke City
1
1
D
13.09.25
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
0
W
20.01.24
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
2
L
26.12.23
H2H
Birmingham
Stoke City
1
3
W
10.04.23
H2H
Birmingham
Stoke City
0
0
D
05.11.22
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
2
L
19.02.22
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
2
2
D
14.08.21
H2H
Birmingham
Stoke City
0
0
D
10.04.21
H2H
Birmingham
Stoke City
2
0
L
04.10.20
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
12.07.20
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
2
0
W
31.08.19
H2H
Birmingham
Stoke City
2
1
L
26.12.18
H2H
Birmingham
Stoke City
2
0
L
20.10.18
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
0
1
L
29.10.13
H2H
Birmingham
Stoke City
7
7
D
Last matches: Stoke City
15.08.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Stoke City
Valencia
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
QPR
0
0
D
10.01.26
FA
Stoke City
Coventry
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
2
1
W
H2H at home: Stoke City
13.09.25
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
0
W
20.01.24
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
2
L
05.11.22
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
2
L
19.02.22
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
2
2
D
04.10.20
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
12.07.20
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
2
0
W
20.10.18
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
0
1
L
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Oxford United
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Swansea
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Birmingham
Cambridge United
3
2
W
01.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
0
3
L
20.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
3
L
09.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
2
L
06.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
3
L
26.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
1
1
D
H2H away: Birmingham
13.09.25
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
0
L
20.01.24
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
2
W
05.11.22
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
2
W
19.02.22
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
2
2
D
04.10.20
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
12.07.20
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
2
0
L
20.10.18
H2H
Stoke City
Birmingham
0
1
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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