Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
66.1%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
1.64 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
6.00 |
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nautico Recife
22 matches
Ceara
22 matches
| Nautico Recife | Statistic | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 26 | Goals For | 23 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.32 | Shots On Goal | 4.18 |
| 15.73 | Total Shots | 13.55 |
| 5.82 | Corners | 5.59 |
| 58.4% | Ball Possession | 51.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ceara. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 26 points from 21 games and a place of 14, Nautico Recife still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats with a 25:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Vinícius (4 goals), Kaua Almeida da Costa (3 goals), Dodô (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 25 points from 21 games and a place of 16, Ceara still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats with a 22:25 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Melk (4 goals), Júlio César (2 goals), Lucas Lima (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), Júlio César (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 4 times, Ceara won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Goias
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Ceara
São Bernardo
Ceara
CRB
Ceara
America Mineiro
Ceara
Athletic Club
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Criciuma
Ceara
Avai
Ceara
Operario-PR
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Goias
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Ceara
São Bernardo
Ceara
America Mineiro
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Criciuma
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 43 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 23:12 | 11 | 39 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 37 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 36 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:30 | 0 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 28:20 | 8 | 35 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 34 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 34 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 33 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 32 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:22 | 5 | 30 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Nautico Recife
Home
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 27 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 16 |
Ceara
Away
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 25 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 23:29 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16:36 | -20 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16:42 | -26 | 10 |
D
L
D
L
L
|