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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Southampton
FT
1 - 0
Watford
St. Mary's Stadium
Referee: E. Bell
Southampton
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
38'
F. Downes ↔ S. Charles
Southampton
🟨
53'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Southampton
🔄
63'
M. Doumbia ↔ L. Kjerrumgaard
Watford
🟨
66'
Giorgi Chakvetadze
Watford
🔄
67'
L. Scienza ↔ S. Edozie
Southampton
🔄
67'
R. Stewart ↔ C. Larin
Southampton
🔄
70'
S. Mfuni ↔ S. Goglichidze
Watford
⚽
70'
C. Larin · Assist: J. Bree
Southampton
🟨
75'
James Bree
Southampton
🔄
85'
N. Mendy ↔ F. Mendy
Watford
🔄
85'
J. Ngakia ↔ J. Petris
Watford
🔄
86'
O. Maamma ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🟨
90+2'
Shea Charles
Southampton
🔄
90'
T. Fellows ↔ N. Wood
Southampton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.4
Watford1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
46 GF / 43 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
40 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
23
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
15
5.13
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 31 matches
Watford Watford 31 matches
Southampton Statistic Watford
11 Wins 11
10 Draws 11
10 Losses 9
46 Goals For 40
43 Goals Against 40
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
23 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 24
19 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 7
5.13 Shots On Goal 4.45
14.39 Total Shots 13.71
5.48 Corners 4.68
56.9% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 7 times, Watford won 1 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Southampton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Watford 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Southampton wins 7, draws 7, Watford wins 1
Stats
Southampton Southampton
Watford Watford
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 9
10 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 0
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 2
1 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 5
5 Shots insidebox 6
1 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
412 Total passes 453
333 Passes accurate 373
0.87 expected_goals 0.68
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Southampton
Formation
Watford
D. Peretz
D. Peretz
J. Bree
🎯
J. Bree
T. Harwood-Bellis
T. Harwood-Bellis
J. Stephens
J. Stephens
Welington
Welington
C. Jander
C. Jander
F. Downes
↓
F. Downes
T. Fellows
↓
T. Fellows
F. Azaz
F. Azaz
L. Scienza
↓
L. Scienza
R. Stewart
↓
R. Stewart
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia
↓
J. Ngakia
J. Abankwah
J. Abankwah
S. Mfuni
↓
S. Mfuni
M. Bola
M. Bola
N. Mendy
↓
N. Mendy
I. Louza
I. Louza
O. Maamma
↓
O. Maamma
E. Kayembe
E. Kayembe
G. Chakvetadze
G. Chakvetadze
M. Doumbia
↓
M. Doumbia
Southampton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
D. Peretz
G
14
J. Bree
🎯 70' 🟨 75'
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
🟨 53'
D
5
J. Stephens
D
34
Welington
D
20
C. Jander
M
4
F. Downes
↓ 38'
M
18
T. Fellows
↓ 90'
M
10
F. Azaz
M
13
L. Scienza
↓ 67'
M
11
R. Stewart
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
1
A. McCarthy
G
15
N. Wood
↑ 90'
D
38
E. Jelert
D
3
R. Manning
D
24
S. Charles
↑ 38' 🟨 90+2'
M
27
K. Matsuki
M
23
S. Edozie
↑ 67'
M
19
C. Archer
F
9
C. Larin
⚽ 70' ↑ 67'
F
Watford 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
2
J. Ngakia
↓ 85'
D
25
J. Abankwah
D
21
S. Mfuni
↓ 70'
D
16
M. Bola
D
23
N. Mendy
↓ 85'
M
10
I. Louza
M
42
O. Maamma
↓ 86'
M
39
E. Kayembe
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
🟨 66'
M
20
M. Doumbia
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
3
S. Goglichidze
↑ 70'
D
27
F. Mendy
↑ 85'
D
29
J. Petris
↑ 85'
D
43
J. Grieves
F
7
T. Ince
M
34
K. Baah
↑ 86'
F
18
V. Semedo
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↑ 63'
F
Last matches: Southampton
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
H2H: Southampton vs Watford
07.02.26
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
30.08.25
H2H
Watford
Southampton
2
2
D
13.04.24
H2H
Southampton
Watford
3
2
W
06.02.24
H2H
Southampton
Watford
3
0
W
28.01.24
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
09.12.23
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Watford
Southampton
0
0
D
13.03.22
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
2
L
30.10.21
H2H
Watford
Southampton
0
1
W
28.06.20
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
3
W
30.11.19
H2H
Southampton
Watford
2
1
W
23.04.19
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
10.11.18
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
1
D
27.01.18
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
13.01.18
H2H
Watford
Southampton
2
2
D
Last matches: Southampton
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Southampton
Leicester
2
1
W
21.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Hull City
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Millwall
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
3
2
W
06.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
3
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Preston
0
2
L
H2H at home: Southampton
07.02.26
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
Southampton
Watford
3
2
W
06.02.24
H2H
Southampton
Watford
3
0
W
13.03.22
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
2
L
30.11.19
H2H
Southampton
Watford
2
1
W
10.11.18
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
1
D
27.01.18
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Watford
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H away: Watford
07.02.26
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Southampton
Watford
3
2
L
06.02.24
H2H
Southampton
Watford
3
0
L
13.03.22
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
2
W
30.11.19
H2H
Southampton
Watford
2
1
L
10.11.18
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
1
D
27.01.18
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton Home
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Away
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation