AUSTRALIA VICTORIA PREMIER LEAGUE 2
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.6%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Eastern Lions Win 45%
Draw 8.4%
Essendon Royals SC Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Eastern Lions1.55
Essendon Royals SC2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Eastern Lions Eastern Lions
WWDLW
36 GF / 35 GA
Essendon Royals SC Essendon Royals SC
WLDWL
57 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
2.48
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
15
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Eastern Lions Eastern Lions 23 matches
Essendon Royals SC Essendon Royals SC 23 matches
Eastern Lions Statistic Essendon Royals SC
6 Wins 14
8 Draws 2
9 Losses 7
36 Goals For 57
35 Goals Against 35
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.48
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
15 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Essendon Royals SC having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Essendon Royals SC. Essendon Royals SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 44 points while Eastern Lions sit 9 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Eastern Lions Analysis

Eastern Lions sit 9 with 25 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 34:33 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Essendon Royals SC Analysis

Essendon Royals SC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 44 points after 23 matches. With 14 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 57:35, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Eastern Lions won 0 times, Essendon Royals SC won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Eastern Lions's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
H2H summary: Eastern Lions wins 0, draws 0, Essendon Royals SC wins 2
Last matches: Eastern Lions
08.08.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Malvern
2
2
D
31.07.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Whittlesea United
2
5
L
24.07.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Box Hill
1
1
D
17.07.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Bayside Argonauts
1
1
D
10.07.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Werribee City
2
1
W
19.06.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Springvale
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Goulburn Valley Suns
1
2
L
05.06.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Nunawading
2
0
W
30.05.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Moreland City
3
3
D
22.05.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Keilor Park
0
1
L
15.05.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Kingston City
4
0
W
08.05.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Altona City
0
2
L
01.05.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Essendon Royals SC
1
2
L
24.04.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Whittlesea United
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Box Hill
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Bayside Argonauts
5
0
W
28.03.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Werribee City
2
2
D
20.03.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Malvern
2
4
L
13.03.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Springvale
1
2
L
07.03.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Goulburn Valley Suns
3
1
W
Last matches: Essendon Royals SC
31.07.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Altona City
3
2
W
24.07.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Kingston City
4
2
W
17.07.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Whittlesea United
1
1
D
10.07.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Box Hill
3
2
W
04.07.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Bayside Argonauts
1
1
D
19.06.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Werribee City
3
2
W
13.06.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Malvern
4
2
W
05.06.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Springvale
8
0
W
30.05.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Goulburn Valley Suns
0
1
L
22.05.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Nunawading
5
1
W
15.05.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Moreland City
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Keilor Park
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Eastern Lions
2
1
W
25.04.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Altona City
2
0
W
17.04.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Kingston City
3
0
W
10.04.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Whittlesea United
4
3
W
27.03.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Box Hill
0
1
L
20.03.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Bayside Argonauts
1
4
L
14.03.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Werribee City
3
1
W
06.03.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Malvern
1
2
L
H2H: Eastern Lions vs Essendon Royals SC
14.08.26
H2H
Eastern Lions
Essendon Royals SC
1
3
L
01.05.26
H2H
Essendon Royals SC
Eastern Lions
2
1
L
Last matches: Eastern Lions
24.07.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Box Hill
1
1
D
17.07.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Bayside Argonauts
1
1
D
10.07.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Werribee City
2
1
W
19.06.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Springvale
0
0
D
05.06.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Nunawading
2
0
W
08.05.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Altona City
0
2
L
24.04.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Whittlesea United
1
1
D
20.03.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Malvern
2
4
L
07.03.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Goulburn Valley Suns
3
1
W
20.02.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Moreland City
0
1
L
13.02.26
Vic
Eastern Lions
Keilor Park
1
0
W
15.08.25
Vic
Eastern Lions
Bulleen Lions
2
0
W
26.07.25
Vic
Eastern Lions
Langwarrin
1
2
L
19.07.25
Vic
Eastern Lions
Western United II
3
3
D
04.07.25
Vic
Eastern Lions
Melbourne Srbija
0
1
L
21.06.25
Vic
Eastern Lions
Melbourne City II
2
3
L
14.06.25
Vic
Eastern Lions
Moreland City
6
2
W
30.05.25
Vic
Eastern Lions
Bentleigh Greens
0
1
L
17.05.25
Vic
Eastern Lions
Brunswick City
0
1
L
09.05.25
Vic
Eastern Lions
Kingston City
3
2
W
H2H at home: Eastern Lions
14.08.26
H2H
Eastern Lions
Essendon Royals SC
1
3
L
Last matches: Essendon Royals SC
17.07.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Whittlesea United
1
1
D
04.07.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Bayside Argonauts
1
1
D
13.06.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Malvern
4
2
W
30.05.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Goulburn Valley Suns
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Keilor Park
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Altona City
2
0
W
17.04.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Kingston City
3
0
W
27.03.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Box Hill
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Werribee City
3
1
W
27.02.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Springvale
2
1
W
13.02.26
Vic
Essendon Royals SC
Nunawading
2
3
L
H2H away: Essendon Royals SC
14.08.26
H2H
Eastern Lions
Essendon Royals SC
1
3
W

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 2 5 61:29 32 53
W D W W W
2 24 16 4 4 54:31 23 52
W W L W W
3 24 15 2 7 60:36 24 47
W W W D W
4 24 13 5 6 42:30 12 44
W L W W D
5 24 12 2 10 33:35 -2 38
D L W L W
6 24 10 7 7 36:29 7 37
D W L D W
7 24 8 10 6 40:28 12 34
D W D D D
8 24 8 5 11 29:44 -15 29
L W L L W
9 24 6 8 10 37:38 -1 26
L D L D D
10 24 8 2 14 32:52 -20 26
W W L L L
11 23 7 4 12 21:39 -18 25
L L L W L
12 24 6 6 12 35:43 -8 24
L W D L L
13 24 3 8 13 21:38 -17 17
L L D L L
14 23 2 7 14 29:58 -29 13
D L L D L