CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
14.08.2026 12:00
Guzhenkou University Sports Center
Referee: Di Wang, China
Qingdao Youth Island
Match Timeline
Chongqing Tongliang Long
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
47'
Aziz
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
54'
Liang Weipeng ↔ Xiang Yuwang
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
54'
Du Yuezheng ↔ L. Dimata
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
57'
Yang Zhanpeng ↔ Peng Xinli
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
77'
Michael Ngadeu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
78'
He Xiaoqiang ↔ Zhang Yingkai
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
78'
G. Cimpanu ↔ Wu Yongqiang
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
82'
Wang Gengrui ↔ He Longhai
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
82'
X. Zhang ↔ Meng Jingchao
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
90'
Dong Yu ↔ Lohman Elnizar
Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Qingdao Youth Island Win 66.7%
Draw 11.6%
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win 21.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qingdao Youth Island1.17
Chongqing Tongliang Long1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WWDLW
27 GF / 32 GA
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
WLDWL
25 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
15
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
8
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 24 matches
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 22 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Statistic Chongqing Tongliang Long
7 Wins 7
12 Draws 8
5 Losses 7
27 Goals For 25
32 Goals Against 27
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
15 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 5
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.23
10.5 Total Shots 8.95
4.32 Corners 4
44.2% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chongqing Tongliang Long having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chongqing Tongliang Long. Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 31 points from 21 games, Qingdao Youth Island bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 26:29, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Samir Memisevic (1 goals), Xinli Peng (1 goals), Nelson Luz (1 goals), with creative support from Davidson (1 assists), Yu Dong (1 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis

Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 3 with 29 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 23:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Nany Dimata (1 goals), with creative support from Zhang Yingkai (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Youth Island won 0 times, Chongqing Tongliang Long won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Qingdao Youth Island's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Qingdao Youth Island 4-4-1-1 / Chongqing Tongliang Long -
H2H summary: Qingdao Youth Island wins 0, draws 2, Chongqing Tongliang Long wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation