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MEXICO › LIGA MX
22.10.2026 01:00
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas vs Club America Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlas Win 32.5%
Draw 16.7%
Club America Win 50.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlas1.15
Club America1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlas Atlas
WWDLW
23 GF / 26 GA
Club America Club America
WLDWL
34 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
10
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
6.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlas Atlas 18 matches
Club America Club America 22 matches
Atlas Statistic Club America
6 Wins 10
5 Draws 8
7 Losses 4
23 Goals For 34
26 Goals Against 21
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
10 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 6
4 Shots On Goal 6.53
12.5 Total Shots 16.94
5.58 Corners 6.06
52.2% Ball Possession 56.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Club America's more proactive style and Atlas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlas expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Club America in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club America having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club America. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atlas Analysis

Atlas are currently 6 in the standings with 18 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 17:18 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luís Esteves (3 goals), F. Monzón (2 goals), Duk (2 goals), with creative support from K. Zenón (2 assists), Luís Esteves (1 assists), Paulo Ramírez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club America Analysis

Placed 1 with 21 points from 10 outings, Club America continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 22:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Martín (4 goals), M. Borja (4 goals), B. Rodríguez (3 goals), with creative support from H. Martín (2 assists), Raphael Veiga (2 assists), D. Espinoza (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlas won 2 times, Club America won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:27 from Atlas's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: Atlas 3-4-2-1 / Club America 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atlas wins 2, draws 3, Club America wins 10

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 3 1 27:14 13 24
W D W D L
2 12 6 3 3 26:16 10 21
D L D L W
3
Atlas Home
12 6 3 3 19:18 1 21
W D W D L
4 12 5 5 2 19:12 7 20
D D L D W
5 12 6 2 4 27:21 6 20
W D D L W
6 11 6 2 3 15:13 2 20
L W W D W
7 12 5 3 4 18:17 1 18
L D W D W
8 11 5 2 4 19:16 3 17
W D L W D
9 12 5 1 6 17:16 1 16
W W W W W
10 11 4 4 3 15:14 1 16
D D L D L
11 12 4 4 4 19:20 -1 16
W D L D L
12 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D D L D L
13 12 3 5 4 14:16 -2 14
D W W L D
14 12 3 4 5 19:16 3 13
L D L D W
15 12 3 4 5 16:21 -5 13
D L W W L
16 12 2 5 5 13:19 -6 11
L L W D L
17 12 2 3 7 15:25 -10 9
L D L L L
18 12 1 1 10 8:31 -23 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)