Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
72.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Jong Ajax
De Graafschap
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Jong Ajax
11 matches
De Graafschap
16 matches
| Jong Ajax | Statistic | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 13 | Goals For | 26 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 2.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.88 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.3 | Shots On Goal | 4.3 |
| 14.4 | Total Shots | 14.6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 51.7% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors De Graafschap. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jong Ajax expected to line up in 4-3-3 and De Graafschap in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward De Graafschap having the stronger overall control. Jong Ajax have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
With 8 points from 10 games and a place of 18, Jong Ajax still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 13:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Pugno (5 goals), E. Ünüvar (5 goals), P. Nash (2 goals), with creative support from D. Pugno (2 assists), P. Nash (2 assists), Alejandro Monserrate (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
De Graafschap approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 11 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 13:23 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Kania (4 goals), D. Warmerdam (2 goals), Bjorn van Zijl (2 goals), with creative support from F. de Jong (3 assists), N. Martens (3 assists), Gabriele Finocchiaro (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Jong Ajax won 5 times, De Graafschap won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:24 from Jong Ajax's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 19 | 25 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 22 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 4 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 16 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 15 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | 4 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 |
De Graafschap
Away
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | 11 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 9 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 |
Jong Ajax
Home
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | -12 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | -14 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|