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20.11.2026 17:30

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arminia Bielefeld Win 49.8%
Draw 21.8%
1. FC Magdeburg Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arminia Bielefeld2.04
1. FC Magdeburg1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
W W W L W
9 GF / 5 GA
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
W D W L W
14 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
13
BTTS Yes
10
16
Over 2.5
11
3.33
Shots on Goal
5.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 20 matches
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 16 matches
Arminia Bielefeld Statistic 1. FC Magdeburg
12 Wins 10
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
52 Goals For 40
24 Goals Against 19
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
13 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
3.33 Shots On Goal 5.45
11.17 Total Shots 14.64
4.75 Corners 5
38.8% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arminia Bielefeld expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and 1. FC Magdeburg in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Magdeburg having the stronger overall control. Arminia Bielefeld come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 1. FC Magdeburg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Arminia Bielefeld Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Arminia Bielefeld have collected 17 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:16 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Grodowski (7 goals), J. Rochelt (2 goals), M. Wörl (2 goals), with creative support from J. Grodowski (2 assists), A. Sicker (2 assists), J. Rochelt (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1. FC Magdeburg Analysis

1. FC Magdeburg approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 20 points after 11 outings. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 25:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Iyoha (6 goals), M. Żukowski (6 goals), A. Nollenberger (3 goals), with creative support from B. Atik (5 assists), T. Müsel (3 assists), L. Hyryläinen (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 3 times, 1. FC Magdeburg won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Arminia Bielefeld's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.2%)
Predicted formations: Arminia Bielefeld 3-4-2-1 / 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
H2H summary: Arminia Bielefeld wins 3, draws 1, 1. FC Magdeburg wins 2

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 10 1 0 25:9 16 31
W W W D W
2 11 7 3 1 26:13 13 24
W W L D D
3 11 6 3 2 10:7 3 21
W L W W D
4 11 6 2 3 25:14 11 20
W D W L W
5 11 5 4 2 26:16 10 19
L W D W D
6 11 5 2 4 18:16 2 17
W W L W W
7 11 4 4 3 19:20 -1 16
D L D L D
8 11 4 2 5 11:13 -2 14
W W D L L
9 11 2 6 3 13:16 -3 12
L L D D W
10 11 3 3 5 13:19 -6 12
L W L W L
11 11 3 3 5 12:18 -6 12
D W L D L
12 11 2 5 4 18:20 -2 11
D L D D L
13 11 3 2 6 16:18 -2 11
D L W L W
14 11 3 2 6 14:18 -4 11
L L W L D
15 11 3 2 6 15:20 -5 11
W L L W D
16 11 3 2 6 15:24 -9 11
L W L W L
17 11 2 3 6 9:21 -12 9
L D D L W
18 11 1 5 5 11:14 -3 8
L L W D L
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