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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
19.10.2026 18:00
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Jong Utrecht vs Roda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Jong Utrecht Win 28.3%
Draw 19.2%
Roda Win 52.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jong Utrecht1.57
Roda2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
WWDLW
22 GF / 34 GA
Roda Roda
WLDWL
28 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.75
2.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
12
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
6
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 13 matches
Roda Roda 16 matches
Jong Utrecht Statistic Roda
2 Wins 6
2 Draws 5
9 Losses 5
22 Goals For 28
34 Goals Against 22
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
2.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
12 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 3
4.2 Shots On Goal 4.2
14.9 Total Shots 11.1
4.5 Corners 4.1
45.6% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Roda's more proactive style and Jong Utrecht's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Roda. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Roda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 16 points while Jong Utrecht sit 20 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jong Utrecht expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Roda in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Roda having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Jong Utrecht Analysis

With 7 points from 10 games and a place of 20, Jong Utrecht still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 16:23 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. C. Owen (5 goals), Bjorn Menzo (2 goals), Massien Ghaddari (2 goals), with creative support from Bjorn Menzo (2 assists), D. Laaouina (2 assists), Tijn den Boggende (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Roda Analysis

So far, Roda have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 16 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Tol (2 goals), M. Paulissen (1 goals), Bram Marsman (1 goals), with creative support from M. Paulissen (2 assists), Bram Marsman (1 assists), D. Dorenbosch (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jong Utrecht won 4 times, Roda won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:27 from Jong Utrecht's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.8%)
Predicted formations: Jong Utrecht 4-3-3 / Roda 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Jong Utrecht wins 4, draws 2, Roda wins 9

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14
Roda Away
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
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