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20.11.2026 17:00
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach

Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Piast Gliwice Win 48.1%
Draw 25.5%
Korona Kielce Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Piast Gliwice1.33
Korona Kielce1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
D D W D W
8 GF / 5 GA
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
L L W L L
2 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
11
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
7
4.71
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 24 matches
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 23 matches
Piast Gliwice Statistic Korona Kielce
9 Wins 9
6 Draws 6
9 Losses 8
33 Goals For 25
36 Goals Against 29
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
11 BTTS Yes 9
20 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 9
4.71 Shots On Goal 5
14.5 Total Shots 16.07
4.36 Corners 6.79
55.4% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Piast Gliwice's more proactive style and Korona Kielce's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Korona Kielce arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Korona Kielce. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Piast Gliwice expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Korona Kielce in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Korona Kielce having the stronger overall control.

Piast Gliwice Analysis

Piast Gliwice sit 7 with 22 points after 14 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 24:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Hugo Vallejo (4 goals), Leandro Sanca (2 goals), A. Katsantonis (2 goals), with creative support from Q. Boisgard (2 assists), J. Lewicki (2 assists), Ivan Lima (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Korona Kielce Analysis

With 18 points from 14 games and a place of 11, Korona Kielce still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 14:21 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Stępiński (6 goals), C. Mena (3 goals), M. Faßbender (1 goals), with creative support from W. Długosz (6 assists), Kamil Jakubczyk (1 assists), M. Remacle (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Piast Gliwice won 6 times, Korona Kielce won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:7 from Piast Gliwice's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.5%)
Predicted formations: Piast Gliwice 4-4-2 / Korona Kielce 4-3-3
H2H summary: Piast Gliwice wins 6, draws 6, Korona Kielce wins 1

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 10 2 1 34:13 21 32
D W W W W
2 14 9 4 1 23:12 11 31
W D D D W
3 14 6 6 2 25:15 10 24
L D L D W
4 13 7 3 3 20:15 5 24
L L W W W
5 14 7 3 4 22:19 3 24
W L W D L
6 14 6 5 3 18:17 1 23
D W D W L
7 14 6 4 4 24:20 4 22
D D W D W
8 14 7 0 7 25:20 5 21
L W L L W
9 13 7 0 6 18:18 0 21
W W W L L
10 14 5 4 5 22:24 -2 19
W W D W W
11 14 5 3 6 14:21 -7 18
L L W L L
12 13 4 3 6 14:21 -7 15
L D L W L
13 14 2 8 4 20:19 1 14
W L D D L
14 14 4 2 8 17:29 -12 14
W W L L L
15 14 3 3 8 16:23 -7 12
L L L D W
16 14 4 0 10 23:31 -8 12
W W L W L
17 14 2 4 8 17:25 -8 10
D L W L L
18 14 2 2 10 18:28 -10 8
L L L L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation