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20.11.2026 16:30
Rostov Arena

FC Rostov vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Rostov Win 42.5%
Draw 28.8%
Krylia Sovetov Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Rostov1.43
Krylia Sovetov1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Rostov FC Rostov
D W W D W
8 GF / 2 GA
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
W L W L D
6 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
12
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
15
5
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Rostov FC Rostov 26 matches
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 26 matches
FC Rostov Statistic Krylia Sovetov
9 Wins 9
7 Draws 7
10 Losses 10
36 Goals For 42
39 Goals Against 39
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
12 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 6
5 Shots On Goal 4.43
13.43 Total Shots 13.79
4.21 Corners 4.21
47.2% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Krylia Sovetov. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Rostov expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Krylia Sovetov in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Krylia Sovetov having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Rostov Analysis

FC Rostov are currently 6 in the standings with 19 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 18:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Komarov (3 goals), A. Langovich (2 goals), K. Kuchaev (2 goals), with creative support from A. Langovich (4 assists), K. Kuchaev (3 assists), T. Suleymanov (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Krylia Sovetov Analysis

So far, Krylia Sovetov have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 18 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 19:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Rahmanović (5 goals), M. Kramarič (3 goals), I. Oleynikov (1 goals), with creative support from I. Oleynikov (4 assists), V. Shitov (2 assists), K. Pechenin (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Rostov won 7 times, Krylia Sovetov won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:21 from FC Rostov's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (71.3%)
Predicted formations: FC Rostov 4-3-3 / Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Rostov wins 7, draws 2, Krylia Sovetov wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 32:15 17 31
D W W W W
2 14 10 1 3 23:13 10 31
W W L W W
3 14 9 2 3 27:11 16 29
W W L W D
4 14 7 5 2 25:18 7 26
W L D D L
5 14 7 5 2 23:16 7 26
L D W L W
6 14 5 4 5 18:19 -1 19
D W W D W
7 14 4 6 4 19:20 -1 18
W L W L D
8 14 4 6 4 14:18 -4 18
W W L L L
9 14 4 5 5 17:15 2 17
L W D D D
10 14 3 8 3 14:14 0 17
L D W D W
11 14 5 1 8 17:26 -9 16
W L L D L
12 14 3 5 6 16:19 -3 14
W L L L D
13 14 3 3 8 15:29 -14 12
L W W D L
14 14 2 6 6 17:25 -8 12
L L W D L
15 14 2 5 7 16:21 -5 11
L L L D W
16 14 1 3 10 9:23 -14 6
L L L W L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL