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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
QPR
FT
1 - 2
Southampton
Loftus Road
Referee: James Bell, England
QPR
Match Timeline
Southampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Nicolas Madsen
QPR
⚽
55'
J. Robinson · Assist: A. Armstrong
Southampton
🔄
63'
P. Smyth ↔ K. Dembele
QPR
🔄
66'
J. Robinson ↔ F. Azaz
Southampton
🔄
66'
A. Armstrong ↔ D. Downs
Southampton
⚽
69'
L. Scienza · Assist: F. Azaz
Southampton
🔄
70'
K. Saito ↔ R. Kone
QPR
🔄
72'
T. Fellows ↔ M. Roerslev Rasmussen
Southampton
🔄
72'
L. Scienza ↔ J. Aribo
Southampton
⚽
73'
R. Burrell · Assist: J. Varane
QPR
🟨
79'
Caspar Jander
Southampton
🟨
81'
Flynn Downes
Southampton
🟨
82'
Nathan Wood
Southampton
🔄
86'
L. Morrison ↔ S. Field
QPR
🔄
86'
J. Varane ↔ K. Morgan
QPR

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 0%
Draw 0%
Southampton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR1.32
Southampton1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
13 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
9
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
7
3.62
Shots on Goal
4.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 13 matches
Southampton Southampton 13 matches
QPR Statistic Southampton
5 Wins 2
3 Draws 6
5 Losses 5
16 Goals For 13
21 Goals Against 19
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
9 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
3.62 Shots On Goal 4.77
12.77 Total Shots 14.38
4.31 Corners 5.69
48.5% Ball Possession 59.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 1 times, Southampton won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:17 from QPR's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

Predicted formations: QPR 4-2-3-1 / Southampton 3-4-3
H2H summary: QPR wins 1, draws 0, Southampton wins 7
Stats
QPR QPR
Southampton Southampton
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
3
12 Corner Kicks 1
12 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 3
14 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
494 Total passes 342
416 Passes accurate 280
1.65 expected_goals 0.68
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

QPR
Formation
Southampton
P. Nardi
P. Nardi
J. Dunne
J. Dunne
L. Morrison
↓
L. Morrison
A. S. Mbengue
A. S. Mbengue
R. Norrington-Davies
R. Norrington-Davies
J. Varane
🎯 ↓
J. Varane
N. Madsen
N. Madsen
P. Smyth
↓
P. Smyth
I. Chair
I. Chair
K. Saito
↓
K. Saito
R. Burrell
⚽
R. Burrell
G. Bazunu
G. Bazunu
T. Harwood-Bellis
T. Harwood-Bellis
N. Wood
N. Wood
J. Stephens
J. Stephens
T. Fellows
↓
T. Fellows
F. Downes
F. Downes
C. Jander
C. Jander
R. Manning
R. Manning
J. Robinson
⚽ ↓
J. Robinson
A. Armstrong
🎯 ↓
A. Armstrong
L. Scienza
⚽ ↓
L. Scienza
QPR 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
P. Nardi
G
3
J. Dunne
D
4
L. Morrison
↓ 86'
D
27
A. S. Mbengue
D
18
R. Norrington-Davies
D
40
J. Varane
🎯 73' ↓ 86'
M
24
N. Madsen
🟨 38'
M
11
P. Smyth
↓ 63'
M
10
I. Chair
M
14
K. Saito
↓ 70'
M
16
R. Burrell
⚽ 73'
F
Substitutes
29
B. Hamer
G
5
S. Cook
D
8
S. Field
↑ 86'
M
15
I. Hayden
M
21
K. Morgan
↑ 86'
D
20
H. Vale
M
23
D. Bennie
F
7
K. Dembele
↑ 63'
M
22
R. Kone
↑ 70'
F
Southampton 3-4-3
Starting XI
31
G. Bazunu
G
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
15
N. Wood
🟨 82'
D
5
J. Stephens
D
18
T. Fellows
↓ 72'
M
4
F. Downes
🟨 81'
M
20
C. Jander
🟨 79'
M
3
R. Manning
M
46
J. Robinson
⚽ 55' ↓ 66'
F
9
A. Armstrong
🎯 55' ↓ 66'
F
13
L. Scienza
⚽ 69' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
A. McCarthy
G
2
M. Roerslev Rasmussen
↑ 72'
D
12
R. Edwards
D
17
J. Quarshie
D
27
K. Matsuki
M
48
C. Bragg
M
7
J. Aribo
↑ 72'
M
10
F. Azaz
🎯 69' ↑ 66'
M
42
D. Downs
↑ 66'
F
Last matches: QPR
15.08.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
Last matches: Southampton
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
H2H: QPR vs Southampton
24.02.26
H2H
Southampton
QPR
5
0
L
05.11.25
H2H
QPR
Southampton
1
2
L
23.12.23
H2H
QPR
Southampton
0
1
L
26.08.23
H2H
Southampton
QPR
2
1
L
07.02.15
H2H
QPR
Southampton
0
1
L
27.09.14
H2H
Southampton
QPR
2
1
L
02.03.13
H2H
Southampton
QPR
1
2
W
17.11.12
H2H
QPR
Southampton
1
3
L
Last matches: QPR
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
QPR
Coventry
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
QPR
Wrexham
2
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
QPR
Leicester
4
1
W
09.12.25
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
06.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
2
W
01.11.25
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
1
4
L
18.10.25
Cha
QPR
Millwall
1
2
L
H2H at home: QPR
05.11.25
H2H
QPR
Southampton
1
2
L
23.12.23
H2H
QPR
Southampton
0
1
L
07.02.15
H2H
QPR
Southampton
0
1
L
17.11.12
H2H
QPR
Southampton
1
3
L
Last matches: Southampton
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
10.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
4
3
W
31.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Southampton
Doncaster
3
2
W
04.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
29.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
1
2
L
13.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
2
L
H2H away: Southampton
05.11.25
H2H
QPR
Southampton
1
2
W
23.12.23
H2H
QPR
Southampton
0
1
W
07.02.15
H2H
QPR
Southampton
0
1
W
17.11.12
H2H
QPR
Southampton
1
3
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton Away
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR Home
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation