ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Rodney Parade
Referee: H. Blair
Newport County
Match Timeline
Rochdale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
K. Cameron · Assist: Y. Bamba
Newport County
🟨
34'
T. Adebayo-Rowling
Rochdale
38'
S. Gwengwe · Assist: H. Biggins
Newport County
🟨
42'
B. Bilongo
Rochdale
🟨
53'
L. Hannant
Rochdale
🔄
62'
L. Hannant ↔ Z. Silcott-Duberry
Rochdale
🔄
65'
C. Doidge ↔ A. Merritt
Newport County
🟨
66'
B. Bilongo
Rochdale
🟥
66'
B. Bilongo
Rochdale
🔄
70'
R. East ↔ B. Adeeko
Rochdale
🔄
70'
H. Gilmour ↔ E. Francis
Rochdale
🔄
70'
E. Dieseruvwe ↔ K. Wilson
Rochdale
🔄
80'
S. Gwengwe ↔ G. Garner
Newport County
🟨
86'
L. Jenkins
Newport County
🔄
88'
C. Evans ↔ M. Smith
Newport County
90+1'
Y. Bamba
Newport County
🟨
90+5'
A. Merritt
Newport County

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.6%
1.40
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
2.03
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.80
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Newport County Win 26.4%
Draw 19.6%
Rochdale Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newport County2.05
Rochdale1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newport County Newport County
WWDLW
14 GF / 13 GA
Rochdale Rochdale
WLDWL
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
4
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newport County Newport County 8 matches
Rochdale Rochdale 4 matches
Newport County Statistic Rochdale
3 Wins 0
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
14 Goals For 7
13 Goals Against 10
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
4 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 4
7 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Newport County won 1 times, Rochdale won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:11 from Newport County's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
H2H summary: Newport County wins 1, draws 1, Rochdale wins 4
Last matches: Newport County
04.08.26
Fri
Newport County
AS Roma
1
4
L
01.08.26
Fri
Newport County
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Newport County
Reading
0
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Newport County
Bath City
2
2
D
21.07.26
Fri
Newport County
Bristol City
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Newport County
Gloucester City
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Newport County
Newport City
5
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Newport County
Bristol Manor Farm
3
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Newport County
Barrow
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Oldham
3
2
W
18.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Cheltenham
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Harrogate Town
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Notts County
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Crawley Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Walsall
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Bromley
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Barnet
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Colchester
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Tranmere
3
1
W
Last matches: Rochdale
28.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Farnham Town
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Al-Rayyan SC
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
United of Manchester
0
2
L
10.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
03.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
York
1
1
D
18.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Braintree
2
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Wealdstone
2
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
4
L
28.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
2
D
21.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
3
2
W
17.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
3
1
W
07.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
1
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Brackley Town
3
2
W
28.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
H2H: Newport County vs Rochdale
07.01.23
H2H
Rochdale
Newport County
1
1
D
08.10.22
H2H
Newport County
Rochdale
0
1
L
07.05.22
H2H
Newport County
Rochdale
0
2
L
18.12.21
H2H
Rochdale
Newport County
3
0
L
03.05.14
H2H
Newport County
Rochdale
2
1
W
12.10.13
H2H
Rochdale
Newport County
3
0
L
Last matches: Newport County
04.08.26
Fri
Newport County
AS Roma
1
4
L
28.07.26
Fri
Newport County
Reading
0
4
L
25.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Oldham
3
2
W
11.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Harrogate Town
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Crawley Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Bromley
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Colchester
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Tranmere
3
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Newport County
Cambridge United
0
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Newport County
Grimsby
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lea
Newport County
Accrington ST
1
4
L
24.01.26
Lea
Newport County
Chesterfield
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Newport County
Crewe
2
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Newport County
Barnet
0
0
D
13.12.25
Lea
Newport County
Fleetwood Town
0
2
L
29.11.25
Lea
Newport County
Barrow
2
2
D
08.11.25
Lea
Newport County
Walsall
2
4
L
01.11.25
FA
Newport County
Gillingham
1
1
D
18.10.25
Lea
Newport County
Cheltenham
0
2
L
H2H at home: Newport County
08.10.22
H2H
Newport County
Rochdale
0
1
L
07.05.22
H2H
Newport County
Rochdale
0
2
L
03.05.14
H2H
Newport County
Rochdale
2
1
W
Last matches: Rochdale
14.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
United of Manchester
0
2
L
10.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
18.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Braintree
2
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
2
D
17.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
3
1
W
28.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
14.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
21.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
1
0
W
17.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Gateshead
2
0
W
13.01.26
FA
Rochdale
Tamworth
1
1
D
26.12.25
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
1
W
19.12.25
Nat
Rochdale
Altrincham
3
0
W
13.12.25
FA
Rochdale
Leamington
1
0
W
22.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
2
1
W
11.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
York
1
4
L
08.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
3
1
W
H2H away: Rochdale
08.10.22
H2H
Newport County
Rochdale
0
1
W
07.05.22
H2H
Newport County
Rochdale
0
2
W
03.05.14
H2H
Newport County
Rochdale
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.28
Draw 3.25
Home 3.17
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.91
Draw 2.18
Home 3.79
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.39
Over 2.0 1.51
Over 2.25 1.77
Over 2.5 2.03
Over 2.75 2.32
Over 3.0 2.85
Over 3.5 3.52
Under 1.5 3.33
Under 1.75 2.85
Under 2.0 2.52
Under 2.25 2.03
Under 2.5 1.79
Under 2.75 1.60
Under 3.0 1.42
Under 3.5 1.29
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.30
Draw 3.40
Home 2.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.10
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 2.38
Home 3.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.27
Draw 3.20
Home 3.12
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 2.01
Home 3.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.56
Draw 2.38
Home 3.47
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.14
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.36
Over 2.0 1.47
Over 2.25 1.76
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 2.75 2.22
Over 3.0 2.73
Over 3.25 3.04
Over 3.5 3.34
Over 3.75 4.24
Over 4.0 5.95
Over 4.25 6.40
Over 4.5 6.80
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 0.75 8.30
Under 1.0 7.60
Under 1.25 4.29
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 1.75 2.79
Under 2.0 2.41
Under 2.25 2.01
Under 2.5 1.77
Under 2.75 1.55
Under 3.0 1.37
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 3.75 1.15
Under 4.0 1.07
Under 4.25 1.05
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 3.25
Home 3.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 2.18
Home 3.55
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.45
Home 3.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.0 1.47
Over 2.25 1.70
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.20
Over 3.0 2.65
Over 3.25 3.00
Over 3.5 3.30
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.40
Over 4.25 5.60
Over 4.5 6.00
Under 1.5 3.15
Under 2.0 2.43
Under 2.25 1.98
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 2.75 1.57
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
11 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
15 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
16 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
17 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League