ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: Yerson Zambrano, Ecuador
Macara
Match Timeline
Universidad Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
M. Viera ↔ A. I. Campana
Macara
52'
E. Clavijo · Assist: M. Diaz
Universidad Catolica
🔄
58'
M. Tello ↔ T. Chamba
Macara
🔄
58'
L. Ferro ↔ F. Posse
Macara
🟨
64'
F. Posse
Macara
🔄
67'
F. Martinez ↔ S. Yanez
Universidad Catolica
🔄
67'
J. Fajardo ↔ L. Moreno
Universidad Catolica
🔄
67'
J. Estacio ↔ J. Cazares
Macara
71'
A. I. Campana · Assist: J. Espinoza
Macara
🟨
73'
C. Caicedo
Macara
🔄
75'
J. Espinoza ↔ D. Bolanos
Macara
🟨
76'
G. Sanguinetti
Macara
🔄
81'
M. Diaz ↔ A. Rodriguez
Universidad Catolica
🔄
81'
E. Valencia ↔ M. Alonso
Universidad Catolica
🔄
89'
A. Londono ↔ J. Evans
Universidad Catolica
🟨
90+4'
D. Bolanos
Macara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.8%
Odds 3.59
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.14
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.8%
3.59
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
2.14
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.8%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Macara Win 64.8%
Draw 10.9%
Universidad Catolica Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Macara1.2
Universidad Catolica1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Macara Macara
WWDLW
34 GF / 28 GA
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WLDWL
44 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
13
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
13
4.63
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Macara Macara 26 matches
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 27 matches
Macara Statistic Universidad Catolica
12 Wins 12
5 Draws 6
9 Losses 9
34 Goals For 44
28 Goals Against 28
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
13 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 5
4.63 Shots On Goal 4.65
12.54 Total Shots 13.88
4.67 Corners 4.69
48.3% Ball Possession 58.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Macara come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad Catolica. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Macara Analysis

Macara come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 41 points after 24 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 32:24 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Franco Posse (9 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), Agustin Campana (3 goals), with creative support from Franco Posse (3 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), Jose Klinger (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Universidad Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 39 points after 24 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a 39:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on José Fajardo (7 goals), Byron Palacios (4 goals), Emiliano Clavijo (4 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (7 assists), José Fajardo (2 assists), Eddy Mejía (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 2 times, Universidad Catolica won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:31 from Macara's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
Predicted formations: Macara 4-2-3-1 / Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Macara wins 2, draws 3, Universidad Catolica wins 10
Stats
Macara Macara
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 3
16 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 11
1 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
302 Total passes 572
221 Passes accurate 503
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Macara
Formation
Universidad Catolica
Rodrigo Rodríguez
Rodrigo Rodríguez
Juan Espinoza
🎯
Juan Espinoza
John Jiménez
John Jiménez
Marlon Medranda
Marlon Medranda
Luis Ayala
Luis Ayala
Carlos Caicedo
Carlos Caicedo
Mateo Viera
Mateo Viera
Jean Carlos Estacio
Jean Carlos Estacio
Martin Tello
Martin Tello
Jose Klinger
Jose Klinger
Luca Ferro
Luca Ferro
Johan Lara
Johan Lara
Darwin Nazareno
Darwin Nazareno
Luis Cangá
Luis Cangá
Jhon Chancellor
Jhon Chancellor
Eric Valencia
Eric Valencia
Emiliano Clavijo
Emiliano Clavijo
Facundo Martinez
Facundo Martinez
Azarias Londoño
Azarias Londoño
Mauro Díaz
🎯
Mauro Díaz
Eddy Mejía
Eddy Mejía
José Fajardo
José Fajardo
Macara 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Rodrigo Rodríguez
G
3
Juan Espinoza
🎯 71' ↓ 75'
D
4
John Jiménez
D
26
Marlon Medranda
D
13
Luis Ayala
D
50
Carlos Caicedo
🟨 73'
M
20
Mateo Viera
↓ 46'
M
5
Jean Carlos Estacio
↓ 67'
M
15
Martin Tello
↓ 58'
M
87
Jose Klinger
M
22
Luca Ferro
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
28
Agustin Campana
⚽ 71' ↑ 46'
M
30
Tommy Chamba
↑ 58'
M
9
Franco Posse
↑ 58' 🟨 64'
F
16
Jose Cazares
↑ 67'
M
25
Denilson Bolaños
↑ 75' 🟨 90+4'
M
12
Darwin Cuero
G
21
Santiago Etchebarne
D
14
José Luis Marrufo
D
27
Jordán Mohor
M
77
Jeison Chalá
F
19
Patricio Ramos
F
18
Matias Cabeza
F
Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
Johan Lara
G
24
Darwin Nazareno
D
33
Luis Cangá
D
4
Jhon Chancellor
D
44
Eric Valencia
↓ 81'
D
8
Emiliano Clavijo
⚽ 52'
M
10
Facundo Martinez
↓ 67'
M
9
Azarias Londoño
↓ 89'
M
28
Mauro Díaz
🎯 52' ↓ 81'
M
30
Eddy Mejía
M
7
José Fajardo
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
15
Luis Moreno
↑ 67'
D
26
Saenddy Yánez
↑ 67'
F
23
Álex Rodríguez
↑ 81'
M
32
Mauricio Alonso
↑ 81'
M
11
Jimmy Evans
↑ 89'
F
1
Lucas Cueva
G
19
Marcos Sevillano
M
14
Jonnathan Mina
D
29
Gregori Anangonó
D
37
Carlos Medina
D
5
Jerónimo Cacciabue
M
18
Byron Palacios
F
Last matches: Macara
09.08.26
Lig
Macara
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
26.07.26
Lig
Macara
Aucas
4
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
3
0
W
18.07.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
2
L
14.07.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Lig
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
05.07.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
01.06.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Macara
Emelec
0
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Macara
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Macara
Manta FC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Macara
Orense SC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Macara
Libertad
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Macara
Universidad Catolica
0
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Macara
Barcelona SC
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Macara
Aucas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
18.03.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
0
W
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
10.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
1
2
L
01.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
5
0
W
27.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
22.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
18.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
15.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
10.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
06.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
3
L
31.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
0
1
L
23.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
1
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
27.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
H2H: Macara vs Universidad Catolica
24.04.26
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
L
27.07.25
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
4
L
06.04.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Macara
1
0
L
30.11.24
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
02.06.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Macara
3
0
L
31.07.22
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
3
L
13.03.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Macara
2
2
D
29.08.21
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
01.04.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Macara
1
1
D
16.10.20
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Macara
2
1
L
16.02.20
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
20.08.19
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Macara
1
3
W
30.03.19
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
05.05.18
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
28.04.18
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Macara
3
1
L
Last matches: Macara
02.08.26
Lig
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
3
0
W
14.07.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
05.07.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Macara
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Macara
Orense SC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Macara
Libertad
3
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Macara
Barcelona SC
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Macara
Aucas
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
H2H at home: Macara
27.07.25
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
4
L
30.11.24
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
31.07.22
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
3
L
29.08.21
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
16.02.20
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
30.03.19
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
05.05.18
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
10.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
1
2
L
27.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
18.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
10.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
31.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
0
1
L
23.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
1
2
L
27.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
06.02.26
CON
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
1
3
L
H2H away: Universidad Catolica
27.07.25
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
4
W
30.11.24
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
2
W
31.07.22
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
3
W
29.08.21
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
2
W
16.02.20
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
30.03.19
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
0
L
05.05.18
H2H
Macara
Universidad Catolica
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.15
Draw 3.21
Home 3.59
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.82
Draw 2.15
Home 4.14
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 1.75 1.44
Over 2.0 1.58
Over 2.25 1.87
Over 2.5 2.14
Over 2.75 2.47
Over 3.5 3.81
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 1.75 2.77
Under 2.0 2.38
Under 2.25 1.95
Under 2.5 1.71
Under 2.75 1.54
Under 3.5 1.26
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.95
Draw 3.40
Home 3.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.10
Home 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.30
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.15
Draw 3.16
Home 3.48
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.79
Draw 1.93
Home 4.15
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.43
Draw 2.32
Home 3.64
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.03
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 1.75 1.40
Over 2.0 1.55
Over 2.25 1.81
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 2.75 2.41
Over 3.0 2.93
Over 3.25 3.26
Over 3.5 3.62
Over 3.75 4.62
Over 4.0 6.58
Over 4.25 6.95
Over 4.5 7.40
Over 5.5 14.50
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 8.10
Under 0.75 7.40
Under 1.0 6.72
Under 1.25 3.96
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 1.75 2.62
Under 2.0 2.28
Under 2.25 1.87
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 2.75 1.53
Under 3.0 1.34
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 3.75 1.13
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.04
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 3.20
Home 3.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 2.14
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 2.43
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.0 1.50
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 3.0 2.85
Over 3.25 3.15
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.0 5.80
Over 4.25 6.10
Over 4.5 6.40
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 2.0 2.33
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 3.0 1.36
Under 3.25 1.29
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 21 1 3 61:24 37 64
W W W W W
2 25 12 6 7 33:25 8 42
D W W W W
3 25 12 5 8 29:26 3 41
L W W L L
4 25 11 7 7 40:22 18 40
D L W D W
5 25 11 5 9 24:20 4 38
W L W W D
6 25 9 9 7 25:20 5 36
D L D L L
7 25 9 8 8 26:25 1 35
W L D W D
8 25 9 7 9 28:29 -1 34
D W W W W
9 25 8 8 9 32:34 -2 32
D W W L D
10 25 9 4 12 22:32 -10 31
L L L W L
11 25 7 9 9 22:27 -5 30
D D L D D
12 25 8 6 11 30:36 -6 30
W D L L W
13 25 8 8 9 21:29 -8 29
W D L L D
14 25 8 2 15 21:34 -13 26
L L L W L
15 25 6 6 13 17:27 -10 24
L D L L L
16 25 4 5 16 11:32 -21 17
L W L L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs