Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.8%
|
3.59 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
2.14 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.8%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
12.00 |
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Macara
26 matches
Universidad Catolica
27 matches
| Macara | Statistic | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 12 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 34 | Goals For | 44 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 4.65 |
| 12.54 | Total Shots | 13.88 |
| 4.67 | Corners | 4.69 |
| 48.3% | Ball Possession | 58.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Macara come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad Catolica. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Macara come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 41 points after 24 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 32:24 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Franco Posse (9 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), Agustin Campana (3 goals), with creative support from Franco Posse (3 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), Jose Klinger (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Universidad Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 39 points after 24 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a 39:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on José Fajardo (7 goals), Byron Palacios (4 goals), Emiliano Clavijo (4 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (7 assists), José Fajardo (2 assists), Eddy Mejía (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 2 times, Universidad Catolica won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:31 from Macara's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Macara
5
4
6
11
1
2
Lineups
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Emelec
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Manta FC
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Libertad
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Libertad
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 61:24 | 37 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Macara
Home
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Universidad Catolica
Away
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 40:22 | 18 | 40 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 24:20 | 4 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 32 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 31 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 29 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 21:34 | -13 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 17:27 | -10 | 24 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 11:32 | -21 | 17 |
L
W
L
L
D
|