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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Milton Keynes Dons
FT
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers
Stadium MK
Referee: C. Hicks
Milton Keynes Dons
Match Timeline
Bristol Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Callum Paterson
Milton Keynes Dons
🟨
28'
Riley Harbottle
Bristol Rovers
🟨
40'
Luke Offord
Milton Keynes Dons
⚽
45'
C. Paterson · Assist: A. Collins
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
46'
J. Matete ↔ L. Kelly
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
63'
E. Harrison ↔ M. Rijks
Bristol Rovers
🔄
68'
J. Senior ↔ Y. Akhamrich
Bristol Rovers
🔄
76'
A. Nemane ↔ G. Jones
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
77'
C. Mola ↔ K. Conteh
Bristol Rovers
🔄
83'
C. Paterson ↔ S. Hogan
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
84'
B. Wiles ↔ C. Lemonheigh-Evans
Milton Keynes Dons
🟨
89'
Kamil Conteh
Bristol Rovers
🟨
90'
Liam Kelly
Milton Keynes Dons
🟨
90'
Jack Sparkes
Bristol Rovers
🔄
90+4'
A. Collins ↔ M. Ekpiteta
Milton Keynes Dons

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Milton Keynes Dons Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bristol Rovers Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Milton Keynes Dons1.88
Bristol Rovers0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
WWDLW
60 GF / 33 GA
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
WLDWL
23 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
20
BTTS Yes
12
18
Over 2.5
15
4.38
Shots on Goal
2.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 30 matches
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 28 matches
Milton Keynes Dons Statistic Bristol Rovers
15 Wins 7
9 Draws 3
6 Losses 18
60 Goals For 23
33 Goals Against 48
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
20 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 18
18 Over 2.5 15
13 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 13
4.38 Shots On Goal 2.59
11.34 Total Shots 10.11
4.14 Corners 4.81
47% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Milton Keynes Dons won 6 times, Bristol Rovers won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Milton Keynes Dons's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2 / Bristol Rovers 3-4-3
H2H summary: Milton Keynes Dons wins 6, draws 2, Bristol Rovers wins 5
Stats
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
6
4 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 3
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 6
7 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
300 Total passes 261
201 Passes accurate 159
2.11 expected_goals 0.97
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Milton Keynes Dons
Formation
Bristol Rovers
C. MacGillivray
C. MacGillivray
J. Sanders
J. Sanders
C. Nelson
C. Nelson
L. Offord
L. Offord
J. Matete
↓
J. Matete
A. Nemane
↓
A. Nemane
B. Wiles
↓
B. Wiles
A. Gilbey
A. Gilbey
J. Mellish
J. Mellish
A. Collins
🎯 ↓
A. Collins
C. Paterson
⚽ ↓
C. Paterson
B. Young
B. Young
K. Balmer
K. Balmer
T. Moore
T. Moore
R. Harbottle
R. Harbottle
J. Senior
↓
J. Senior
R. De Havilland
R. De Havilland
C. Mola
↓
C. Mola
J. Sparkes
J. Sparkes
S. Forde
S. Forde
F. Cavegn
F. Cavegn
E. Harrison
↓
E. Harrison
Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
C. MacGillivray
G
32
J. Sanders
D
25
C. Nelson
D
15
L. Offord
🟨 40'
D
28
J. Matete
↓ 46'
M
16
A. Nemane
↓ 76'
M
26
B. Wiles
↓ 84'
M
8
A. Gilbey
M
22
J. Mellish
M
10
A. Collins
🎯 45' ↓ 90+4'
F
13
C. Paterson
⚽ 45' ↓ 83' 🟨 27'
F
Substitutes
27
C. Trueman
G
2
G. Jones
↑ 76'
D
6
L. Kelly
↑ 46' 🟨 90'
M
7
D. Crowley
M
9
S. Hogan
↑ 83'
F
21
M. Ekpiteta
↑ 90+4'
D
24
C. Lemonheigh-Evans
↑ 84'
M
Bristol Rovers 3-4-3
Starting XI
13
B. Young
G
17
K. Balmer
D
4
T. Moore
D
26
R. Harbottle
🟨 28'
D
2
J. Senior
↓ 68'
M
15
R. De Havilland
M
6
C. Mola
↓ 77'
M
3
J. Sparkes
🟨 90'
M
7
S. Forde
F
29
F. Cavegn
F
19
E. Harrison
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Southwood
G
8
I. Hutchinson
M
70
Y. Akhamrich
↑ 68'
F
11
L. Thomas
M
22
K. Conteh
↑ 77' 🟨 89'
M
33
M. Rijks
↑ 63'
F
39
C. Morton
F
Last matches: Milton Keynes Dons
15.08.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Oxford United
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Cheltenham
2
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Barnet
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Wealdstone
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Tottenham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Istra 1961
1
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Maidenhead
4
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Tranmere
3
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Crewe
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Bromley
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Oldham
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Barrow
0
0
D
28.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Salford City
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Barnet
1
3
L
18.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Colchester
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham
5
1
W
07.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Harrogate Town
4
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Cambridge United
1
1
D
Last matches: Bristol Rovers
15.08.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
York
2
3
L
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol Rovers
Forest Green
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Bristol Rovers
Portsmouth
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Bristol Rovers
Leicester
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Bristol Rovers
Salisbury
3
2
W
07.07.26
Fri
Bristol Rovers
Weston-super-Mare
3
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Harrogate Town
3
2
W
03.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Fleetwood Town
1
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
0
1
L
10.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barrow
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crewe
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby
3
1
W
H2H: Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers
27.01.26
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
1
0
W
11.10.25
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
0
4
W
04.02.23
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
0
2
W
13.12.22
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
4
1
L
11.10.22
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
0
1
L
20.04.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
0
2
W
26.12.20
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
2
0
W
01.01.20
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
3
0
W
12.10.19
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
L
03.03.18
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
0
1
L
28.10.17
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
2
0
L
19.11.16
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
0
0
D
18.10.16
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
3
3
D
Last matches: Milton Keynes Dons
25.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Tranmere
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Bromley
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Barrow
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Barnet
1
3
L
18.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Colchester
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Harrogate Town
4
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Crawley Town
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Newport County
1
0
W
24.01.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Shrewsbury
5
1
W
09.01.26
FA
Milton Keynes Dons
Oxford United
1
1
D
04.01.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Chesterfield
2
2
D
29.12.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Notts County
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Cambridge United
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Milton Keynes Dons
Oldham
3
1
W
29.11.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Fleetwood Town
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Salford City
2
0
W
18.10.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Crewe
3
1
W
04.10.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham
3
2
W
20.09.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Accrington ST
1
2
L
H2H at home: Milton Keynes Dons
27.01.26
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
1
0
W
11.10.22
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
0
1
L
26.12.20
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
2
0
W
01.01.20
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
3
0
W
03.03.18
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
0
1
L
18.10.16
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
3
3
D
Last matches: Bristol Rovers
15.08.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
York
2
3
L
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol Rovers
Forest Green
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Bristol Rovers
Salisbury
3
2
W
07.07.26
Fri
Bristol Rovers
Weston-super-Mare
3
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Harrogate Town
3
2
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
0
1
L
10.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barrow
2
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Oldham
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United
1
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Salford City
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
3
0
W
19.12.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crewe
1
1
D
09.12.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barnet
0
4
L
06.12.25
FA
Bristol Rovers
Port Vale
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
1
L
15.11.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
1
3
L
H2H away: Bristol Rovers
27.01.26
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
1
0
L
11.10.22
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
0
1
W
26.12.20
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
2
0
L
01.01.20
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
3
0
L
03.03.18
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
0
1
W
18.10.16
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
3
3
D

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Bromley
46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2
Milton Keynes Dons Home
46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3
Cambridge United
46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4
Salford City
46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5
Notts County
46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6
Chesterfield
46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7
Grimsby
46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8
Barnet
46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9
Swindon Town
46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10
Oldham
46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11
Crewe
46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12
Colchester
46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13
Walsall
46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14
Bristol Rovers Away
46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15
Fleetwood Town
46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16
Accrington ST
46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17
Gillingham
46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18
Cheltenham
46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19
Shrewsbury
46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20
Newport County
46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21
Tranmere
46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22
Crawley Town
46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23
Harrogate Town
46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24
Barrow
46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation