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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Derby
FT
2 - 0
Swansea
Pride Park
Referee: A. Kitchen
Derby
Match Timeline
Swansea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Patrick Agyemang
Derby
🟨
44'
Marko Stamenić
Swansea
⚽
47'
R. Brewster
Derby
🟨
51'
Matthew Clarke
Derby
🔄
65'
J. Eom ↔ Gustavo Nunes
Swansea
🔄
65'
L. Cullen ↔ L. Walta
Swansea
⚽
67'
P. Agyemang · Assist: C. Elder
Derby
🔄
72'
R. Brewster ↔ L. Thompson
Derby
🔄
72'
O. Fraulo ↔ B. Clark
Derby
🟨
76'
Ben Cabango
Swansea
🔄
77'
Ronald ↔ M. Widell
Swansea
🔄
77'
G. Franco ↔ M. Yalcouye
Swansea
🔄
85'
M. Stamenic ↔ J. Fulton
Swansea
🔄
88'
P. Agyemang ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
88'
S. Szmodics ↔ J. Banel
Derby
🔄
90+5'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ C. Morris
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Swansea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.34
Swansea1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
46 GF / 42 GA
Swansea Swansea
WLDWL
39 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
23
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
15
3.25
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 32 matches
Swansea Swansea 32 matches
Derby Statistic Swansea
12 Wins 12
9 Draws 7
11 Losses 13
46 Goals For 39
42 Goals Against 38
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
23 BTTS Yes 18
25 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 6
3.25 Shots On Goal 4.06
9.94 Total Shots 12.78
4.78 Corners 5.22
42.6% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Swansea won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Derby's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 3, Swansea wins 4
Stats
Derby Derby
Swansea Swansea
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
6
6 Corner Kicks 2
20 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 6
5 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 10
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
218 Total passes 580
153 Passes accurate 504
0.80 expected_goals 1.00
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Derby
Formation
Swansea
J. Vickers
J. Vickers
J. Ward
J. Ward
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
C. Elder
🎯
C. Elder
D. Ozoh
D. Ozoh
O. Fraulo
↓
O. Fraulo
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
S. Szmodics
↓
S. Szmodics
R. Brewster
⚽ ↓
R. Brewster
P. Agyemang
⚽ ↓
P. Agyemang
L. Vigouroux
L. Vigouroux
E. Galbraith
E. Galbraith
B. Cabango
B. Cabango
C. Burgess
C. Burgess
J. Tymon
J. Tymon
M. Stamenic
↓
M. Stamenic
Ronald
↓
Ronald
G. Franco
↓
G. Franco
L. Cullen
↓
L. Cullen
J. Eom
↓
J. Eom
Z. Vipotnik
Z. Vipotnik
Derby 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
J. Vickers
G
23
J. Ward
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
🟨 51'
D
20
C. Elder
🎯 67'
D
18
D. Ozoh
M
29
O. Fraulo
↓ 72'
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 90+5'
M
19
S. Szmodics
↓ 88'
M
10
R. Brewster
⚽ 47' ↓ 72'
M
7
P. Agyemang
⚽ 67' ↓ 88' 🟨 27'
F
Substitutes
12
R. O'Donnell
G
2
D. Murkin
D
3
C. Forsyth
D
4
D. Batth
D
9
C. Morris
↑ 90+5'
F
15
L. Salvesen
↑ 88'
F
16
L. Thompson
↑ 72'
M
34
J. Banel
↑ 88'
M
42
B. Clark
↑ 72'
M
Swansea 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
22
L. Vigouroux
G
30
E. Galbraith
D
5
B. Cabango
🟨 76'
D
15
C. Burgess
D
14
J. Tymon
D
6
M. Stamenic
↓ 85' 🟨 44'
M
35
Ronald
↓ 77'
M
17
G. Franco
↓ 77'
M
20
L. Cullen
↓ 65'
M
10
J. Eom
↓ 65'
M
9
Z. Vipotnik
F
Substitutes
1
A. Fisher
G
2
J. Key
D
4
J. Fulton
↑ 85'
M
7
M. Widell
↑ 77'
M
8
M. Yalcouye
↑ 77'
M
16
I. Samuels-Smith
D
18
Gustavo Nunes
↑ 65'
F
21
L. Walta
↑ 65'
M
25
J. Ward
D
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
Last matches: Swansea
01.08.26
Fri
Swansea
Leganes
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Merthyr Town
0
3
L
24.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Udinese
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Swansea
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
02.05.26
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
21.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
1
0
W
08.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Wednesday
4
0
W
H2H: Derby vs Swansea
14.02.26
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
25.11.25
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
2
W
05.04.25
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
0
L
27.11.24
H2H
Derby
Swansea
1
2
L
09.04.22
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
1
L
02.10.21
H2H
Derby
Swansea
0
0
D
01.05.21
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
1
L
16.12.20
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
08.02.20
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
3
W
10.08.19
H2H
Derby
Swansea
0
0
D
01.05.19
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
1
D
01.12.18
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
14.02.26
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
27.11.24
H2H
Derby
Swansea
1
2
L
02.10.21
H2H
Derby
Swansea
0
0
D
16.12.20
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
10.08.19
H2H
Derby
Swansea
0
0
D
01.12.18
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
Last matches: Swansea
28.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Merthyr Town
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Watford
2
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Hull City
1
2
L
04.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Millwall
1
2
L
29.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Oxford United
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
1
L
13.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cha
Swansea
West Brom
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
0
3
L
05.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
0
0
D
30.09.25
Cha
Swansea
Blackburn
2
1
W
H2H away: Swansea
14.02.26
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
0
L
27.11.24
H2H
Derby
Swansea
1
2
W
02.10.21
H2H
Derby
Swansea
0
0
D
16.12.20
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
0
L
10.08.19
H2H
Derby
Swansea
0
0
D
01.12.18
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
1
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea Away
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation