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14.08.2026 16:30
Holstein-Stadion
Referee: Max Burda, Germany
Holstein Kiel
Match Timeline
FC St. Pauli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
32'
M. Kaars
FC St. Pauli
🟨
45+2'
Mathias Rasmussen
FC St. Pauli
⚽
45'
T. Hara · Assist: A. Pyrka
FC St. Pauli
🟨
47'
Timon Weiner
Holstein Kiel
🟨
47'
Guillermo Balzi
Holstein Kiel
🟨
49'
Joel Chima Fujita
FC St. Pauli
⚽
56'
P. Harres · Assist: A. Bernhardsson
Holstein Kiel
🔄
64'
J. Fujita ↔ E. Smith
FC St. Pauli
🔄
64'
T. Hara ↔ R. Jones
FC St. Pauli
🟨
72'
Kasper Davidsen
Holstein Kiel
🟨
73'
Ricky-Jade Jones
FC St. Pauli
🔄
74'
G. Balzi ↔ J. Therkelsen
Holstein Kiel
🔄
80'
B. Hrgota ↔ S. Banks
FC St. Pauli
🔄
85'
M. Kaars ↔ S. Klein
FC St. Pauli
🔄
86'
L. Parduzi ↔ F. Alidou
Holstein Kiel
⚽
88'
J. Therkelsen · Assist: P. Harres
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Holstein Kiel Win 36.9%
Draw 12.4%
FC St. Pauli Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Holstein Kiel1.6
FC St. Pauli2.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
D L L D W
9 GF / 11 GA
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
D D L W W
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.38
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
6
6
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 matches
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 8 matches
Holstein Kiel Statistic FC St. Pauli
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 1
15 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 12
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
6 Shots On Goal 6
11 Total Shots 18
4 Corners 9
50% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Holstein Kiel won 5 times, FC St. Pauli won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:28 from Holstein Kiel's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Holstein Kiel 4-1-4-1 / FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Holstein Kiel wins 5, draws 3, FC St. Pauli wins 7

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 23:8 15 28
W W D W W
2 11 7 3 1 26:13 13 24
W W L D D
3 11 6 3 2 10:7 3 21
W L W W D
4 10 5 4 1 25:14 11 19
W D W D W
5 10 5 2 3 21:13 8 17
D W L W D
6 11 5 2 4 18:16 2 17
W W L W W
7 10 4 3 3 17:18 -1 15
L D L D D
8 10 2 6 2 12:12 0 12
L D D W D
9 11 3 3 5 13:19 -6 12
L W L W L
10 11 2 5 4 18:20 -2 11
D L D D L
11 11 3 2 6 16:18 -2 11
D L W L W
12 10 3 2 5 8:11 -3 11
W D L L L
13 11 3 2 6 14:18 -4 11
L L W L D
14 11 3 2 6 15:20 -5 11
W L L W D
15 10 3 2 5 10:16 -6 11
W L D L W
16 10 3 2 5 13:21 -8 11
W L W L L
17 11 2 3 6 9:21 -12 9
L D D L W
18 11 1 5 5 11:14 -3 8
L L W D L
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