GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Holstein-Stadion
Referee: M. Burda
Holstein Kiel
Match Timeline
FC St. Pauli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
M. Kaars
FC St. Pauli
🟨
45+2'
Mathias Rasmussen
FC St. Pauli
45'
T. Hara · Assist: A. Pyrka
FC St. Pauli
🟨
47'
Timon Weiner
Holstein Kiel
🟨
47'
Guillermo Balzi
Holstein Kiel
🟨
49'
Joel Chima Fujita
FC St. Pauli
56'
P. Harres · Assist: A. Bernhardsson
Holstein Kiel
🔄
64'
J. Fujita ↔ E. Smith
FC St. Pauli
🔄
64'
T. Hara ↔ R. Jones
FC St. Pauli
🟨
72'
Kasper Davidsen
Holstein Kiel
🟨
73'
Ricky-Jade Jones
FC St. Pauli
🔄
74'
G. Balzi ↔ J. Therkelsen
Holstein Kiel
🔄
80'
B. Hrgota ↔ S. Banks
FC St. Pauli
🔄
85'
M. Kaars ↔ S. Klein
FC St. Pauli
🔄
86'
L. Parduzi ↔ F. Alidou
Holstein Kiel
88'
J. Therkelsen · Assist: P. Harres
Holstein Kiel

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.7%
Odds 2.84
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.7%
2.84
BTTS Yes
88%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
1.78
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.23
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Holstein Kiel Win 36.9%
Draw 12.4%
FC St. Pauli Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Holstein Kiel1.6
FC St. Pauli2.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
WWDLW
15 GF / 16 GA
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
WLDWL
19 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.38
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
6
6
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 matches
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 8 matches
Holstein Kiel Statistic FC St. Pauli
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 1
15 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 12
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
6 Shots On Goal 6
11 Total Shots 18
4 Corners 9
50% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Holstein Kiel won 5 times, FC St. Pauli won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:28 from Holstein Kiel's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Holstein Kiel 4-1-4-1 / FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Holstein Kiel wins 5, draws 3, FC St. Pauli wins 7
Stats
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 2
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 3
15 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
548 Total passes 295
470 Passes accurate 199
2.09 expected_goals 2.56
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Holstein Kiel
Formation
FC St. Pauli
T. Weiner
T. Weiner
H. Sekine
H. Sekine
I. Nekic
I. Nekic
D. Zec
D. Zec
L. Parduzi
L. Parduzi
J. Meffert
J. Meffert
A. Kapralik
A. Kapralik
G. Balzi
G. Balzi
K. Davidsen
K. Davidsen
A. Bernhardsson
🎯
A. Bernhardsson
P. Harres
🎯
P. Harres
B. Voll
B. Voll
D. Nemeth
D. Nemeth
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
T. Ando
T. Ando
A. Pyrka
🎯
A. Pyrka
M. Rasmussen
M. Rasmussen
J. Fujita
J. Fujita
L. Oppie
L. Oppie
B. Hrgota
B. Hrgota
M. Kaars
M. Kaars
T. Hara
T. Hara
Holstein Kiel 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
T. Weiner
🟨 47'
G
32
H. Sekine
D
13
I. Nekic
D
26
D. Zec
D
40
L. Parduzi
↓ 86'
D
28
J. Meffert
M
20
A. Kapralik
M
8
G. Balzi
↓ 74' 🟨 47'
M
15
K. Davidsen
🟨 72'
M
11
A. Bernhardsson
🎯 56'
M
19
P. Harres
⚽ 56' 🎯 88'
F
Substitutes
41
L. Rothenhagen
G
6
M. Ivezic
D
3
N. Takahashi
D
47
J. Tolkin
D
10
J. Therkelsen
⚽ 88' ↑ 74'
M
27
I. Ugoh
M
30
T. Tasdelen
M
17
F. Alidou
↑ 86'
F
22
M. Reimers
M
FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
B. Voll
G
4
D. Nemeth
D
6
M. Mathisen
D
15
T. Ando
D
11
A. Pyrka
🎯 45'
M
20
M. Rasmussen
🟨 45+2'
M
16
J. Fujita
↓ 64' 🟨 49'
M
23
L. Oppie
M
10
B. Hrgota
↓ 80'
F
19
M. Kaars
⚽ 32' ↓ 85'
F
18
T. Hara
⚽ 45' ↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
33
D. Mitov
G
25
A. Dzwigala
D
21
L. Ritzka
D
8
E. Smith
↑ 64'
M
2
R. Jansson
D
22
S. Klein
↑ 85'
M
14
E. Ahlstrand
M
17
S. Banks
↑ 80'
F
26
R. Jones
↑ 64' 🟨 73'
F
Last matches: Holstein Kiel
08.08.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
1899 Hoffenheim
1
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
FSV Mainz 05
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Swansea
2
2
D
15.07.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Sonderjyske
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
FC Fredericia
1
3
L
17.05.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
09.05.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
1
3
L
02.05.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
0
W
25.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC
1
0
W
17.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
0
W
10.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
1
W
05.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
22.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
VfL Bochum
3
2
W
14.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Nürnberg
2
3
L
07.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98
0
2
L
28.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
21.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Karlsruher SC
1
3
L
15.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
Last matches: FC St. Pauli
09.08.26
2.
FC St. Pauli
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Deportivo La Coruna
2
2
D
24.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Bournemouth
1
4
L
19.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
SV Babelsberg 03
4
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Kickers Emden
3
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Altona 93
6
2
W
16.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
1
3
L
09.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
03.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
25.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
0
2
L
17.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
11.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
0
5
L
05.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
1
1
D
22.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
13.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
2
L
08.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
0
D
28.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
1
0
W
22.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
14.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
0
4
L
H2H: Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli
14.08.26
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
2
D
12.04.25
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
1
2
L
29.11.24
H2H
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
3
1
L
23.02.24
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
3
4
L
17.09.23
H2H
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
5
1
L
19.05.23
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
3
4
L
08.11.22
H2H
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
0
0
D
25.06.22
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
0
W
17.12.21
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
3
0
W
25.07.21
H2H
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
3
0
L
07.05.21
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
4
0
W
09.01.21
H2H
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
1
1
D
15.08.20
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
10.02.20
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
26.08.19
H2H
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
2
1
L
Last matches: Holstein Kiel
15.07.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Sonderjyske
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
FC Fredericia
1
3
L
09.05.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
1
3
L
02.05.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
0
W
17.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
0
W
05.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
14.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Nürnberg
2
3
L
28.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
15.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
31.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
2
L
18.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
2
0
W
07.01.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Servette FC
1
1
D
20.12.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
29.11.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC
0
1
L
09.11.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
0
W
25.10.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
04.10.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98
1
1
D
21.09.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Karlsruher SC
3
0
W
30.08.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hannover 96
1
2
L
H2H at home: Holstein Kiel
14.08.26
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
2
D
12.04.25
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
1
2
L
23.02.24
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
3
4
L
19.05.23
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
3
4
L
25.06.22
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
0
W
17.12.21
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
3
0
W
07.05.21
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
4
0
W
15.08.20
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
10.02.20
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
Last matches: FC St. Pauli
24.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Bournemouth
1
4
L
11.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
SV Babelsberg 03
4
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Kickers Emden
3
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Altona 93
6
2
W
09.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
25.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
0
2
L
05.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
1
1
D
13.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
2
L
28.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
1
0
W
14.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
0
4
L
31.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
17.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
2
3
L
14.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
L
21.12.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
0
0
D
06.12.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
29.11.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
1
3
L
09.11.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
25.10.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
2
L
04.10.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
0
1
L
19.09.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
0
2
L
H2H away: FC St. Pauli
14.08.26
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
2
D
12.04.25
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
1
2
W
23.02.24
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
3
4
W
19.05.23
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
3
4
W
25.06.22
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
0
L
17.12.21
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
3
0
L
07.05.21
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
4
0
L
15.08.20
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
1
L
10.02.20
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.84
Draw 3.66
Home 2.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.51
Draw 2.36
Home 3.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.25 1.57
Over 2.5 1.78
Over 2.75 2.00
Over 3.0 2.32
Over 3.25 2.64
Over 3.5 2.93
Over 4.5 5.55
Under 1.5 4.21
Under 2.25 2.49
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.65
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 4.5 1.16
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 3.40
Home 2.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.25
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.50
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.46
Home 2.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.42
Draw 2.18
Home 2.91
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.02
Draw 2.55
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.10
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 1.75 1.26
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.55
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 2.75 1.93
Over 3.0 2.18
Over 3.25 2.44
Over 3.5 2.72
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.25
Over 4.25 4.56
Over 4.5 4.90
Over 5.0 8.30
Over 5.5 8.90
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 12.50
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.70
Under 1.25 5.05
Under 1.5 3.72
Under 1.75 3.38
Under 2.0 3.00
Under 2.25 2.39
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.44
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 3.75 1.26
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.45
Home 2.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 2.23
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 2.63
Home 2.63
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.48
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 1.82
Over 3.0 2.10
Over 3.25 2.38
Over 3.5 2.63
Over 3.75 3.15
Over 4.0 4.00
Over 4.25 4.35
Over 4.5 4.60
Over 4.75 5.60
Over 5.0 8.00
Over 5.25 8.00
Over 5.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.90
Under 2.0 3.15
Under 2.25 2.43
Under 2.5 2.06
Under 2.75 1.85
Under 3.0 1.63
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.41
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.0 1.19
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.05
Under 5.25 1.05
Under 5.5 1.04

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 7:2 5 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
3 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
4 2 1 1 0 1:0 1 4
W D
5 2 1 0 1 6:2 4 3
L W
6 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
W L
7 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
W L
8 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 5:7 -2 3
L W
10 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
W L
11 2 1 0 1 1:3 -2 3
W L
12 2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
13 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
14 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
D D
15 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
16 2 0 1 1 3:5 -2 1
L D
17 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
L L
18 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation