GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
14.08.2026 16:30
Holstein-Stadion
Referee: Max Burda, Germany
Holstein Kiel
Match Timeline
FC St. Pauli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
M. Kaars
FC St. Pauli
🟨
45+2'
Mathias Rasmussen
FC St. Pauli
45'
T. Hara · Assist: A. Pyrka
FC St. Pauli
🟨
47'
Timon Weiner
Holstein Kiel
🟨
47'
Guillermo Balzi
Holstein Kiel
🟨
49'
Joel Chima Fujita
FC St. Pauli
56'
P. Harres · Assist: A. Bernhardsson
Holstein Kiel
🔄
64'
J. Fujita ↔ E. Smith
FC St. Pauli
🔄
64'
T. Hara ↔ R. Jones
FC St. Pauli
🟨
72'
Kasper Davidsen
Holstein Kiel
🟨
73'
Ricky-Jade Jones
FC St. Pauli
🔄
74'
G. Balzi ↔ J. Therkelsen
Holstein Kiel
🔄
80'
B. Hrgota ↔ S. Banks
FC St. Pauli
🔄
85'
M. Kaars ↔ S. Klein
FC St. Pauli
🔄
86'
L. Parduzi ↔ F. Alidou
Holstein Kiel
88'
J. Therkelsen · Assist: P. Harres
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.7%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Holstein Kiel Win 36.9%
Draw 12.4%
FC St. Pauli Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Holstein Kiel1.6
FC St. Pauli2.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
WWDLW
15 GF / 16 GA
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
WLDWL
19 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.38
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
6
6
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 matches
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 8 matches
Holstein Kiel Statistic FC St. Pauli
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 1
15 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 12
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
6 Shots On Goal 6
11 Total Shots 18
4 Corners 9
50% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Holstein Kiel won 5 times, FC St. Pauli won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:28 from Holstein Kiel's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Holstein Kiel 4-1-4-1 / FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Holstein Kiel wins 5, draws 3, FC St. Pauli wins 7

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 15:6 9 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:6 9 13
W D W W W
3 5 4 0 1 12:10 2 12
W W W L W
4 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L W W L
5 5 2 2 1 10:7 3 8
L D W W D
6 5 2 2 1 5:4 1 8
L W W D D
7 5 2 1 2 13:12 1 7
W D L L W
8 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
D W L W L
9 5 1 3 1 7:7 0 6
W D L D D
10 5 2 0 3 8:11 -3 6
L W W L L
11 5 1 2 2 8:10 -2 5
D L W L D
12 5 1 2 2 6:11 -5 5
L D L D W
13 5 1 1 3 12:12 0 4
D L L L W
14 5 1 1 3 8:10 -2 4
L D L W L
15 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
L D W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:8 -4 4
W L L L D
17 5 1 1 3 7:12 -5 4
D L L W L
18 5 0 3 2 6:9 -3 3
L D L D D
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