Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
58.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.9%
|
- |
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Crawley Town
44 matches
Shrewsbury
46 matches
| Crawley Town | Statistic | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 15 |
| 13 | Draws | 8 |
| 23 | Losses | 23 |
| 41 | Goals For | 46 |
| 68 | Goals Against | 74 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.12 | Shots On Goal | 3.28 |
| 13.28 | Total Shots | 11.67 |
| 5.56 | Corners | 3.87 |
| 57% | Ball Possession | 43.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shrewsbury. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crawley Town expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Shrewsbury in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shrewsbury having the stronger overall control.
Crawley Town approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 37 points from 43 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 13 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 41:65 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Tshimanga (14 goals), Harry McKirdy (8 goals), H. Forster (3 goals), with creative support from H. Forster (5 assists), D. Pereira (5 assists), Harry McKirdy (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Shrewsbury sit 19 with 47 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 40:66, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through George Lloyd (4 goals), Luca Hoole (4 goals), William Boyle (4 goals), with creative support from Sam Clucas (5 assists), William Boyle (3 assists), Anthony Scully (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Crawley Town won 2 times, Shrewsbury won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Crawley Town's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.
Crawley Town
5
0
4
4
4
3
Lineups
Crawley Town
Salford City
Crawley Town
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
Grimsby
Crawley Town
Newport County
Crawley Town
Gillingham
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
Crawley Town
Barnet
Crawley Town
Colchester
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
Oldham
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
Crawley Town
Milton Keynes Dons
Crawley Town
Tranmere
Crawley Town
Cambridge United
Crawley Town
Crewe
Crawley Town
Harrogate Town
Crawley Town
Walsall
Crawley Town
Barrow
Crawley Town
Notts County
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
Fleetwood Town
Shrewsbury
Oldham
Shrewsbury
Bromley
Shrewsbury
Tranmere
Shrewsbury
Newport County
Shrewsbury
Crewe
Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
Chesterfield
Shrewsbury
Walsall
Shrewsbury
Salford City
Shrewsbury
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
Notts County
Shrewsbury
Swindon Town
Shrewsbury
Barrow
Shrewsbury
Colchester
Shrewsbury
Barnet
Shrewsbury
Cambridge United
Shrewsbury
Milton Keynes Dons
Crawley Town
Salford City
Crawley Town
Grimsby
Crawley Town
Gillingham
Crawley Town
Barnet
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
Crawley Town
Cambridge United
Crawley Town
Crewe
Crawley Town
Harrogate Town
Crawley Town
Notts County
Crawley Town
Bromley
Crawley Town
Colchester
Crawley Town
Oldham
Crawley Town
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
Crawley Town
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
Walsall
Crawley Town
Barrow
Crawley Town
Cheltenham
Crawley Town
Tranmere
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
Bromley
Shrewsbury
Newport County
Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
Chesterfield
Shrewsbury
Salford City
Shrewsbury
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
Colchester
Shrewsbury
Cambridge United
Shrewsbury
Milton Keynes Dons
Shrewsbury
Wolves
Shrewsbury
Grimsby
Shrewsbury
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
Walsall
Shrewsbury
Sutton Utd
Shrewsbury
Fleetwood Town
Shrewsbury
Crewe
Shrewsbury
South Shields
Shrewsbury
Oldham
Shrewsbury
Barrow
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 |
Shrewsbury
Away
|
46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 |
Crawley Town
Home
|
46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|