ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Whaddon Road
Referee: T. Reeves
Cheltenham
Match Timeline
Colchester
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
S. Tovide · Assist: F. Terry
Colchester
🟨
5'
Luke Young
Cheltenham
23'
A. Read · Assist: T. Bishop
Colchester
31'
H. Anderson · Assist: K. Lisbie
Colchester
55'
G. Miller · Assist: L. Young
Cheltenham
🔄
62'
J. Bickerstaff ↔ J. Martin
Cheltenham
🔄
62'
G. Miller ↔ M. Faal
Cheltenham
🔄
63'
J. Thomas ↔ R. Broom
Cheltenham
🔄
67'
K. Lisbie ↔ O. Edwards
Colchester
🔄
67'
T. Bishop ↔ F. Barbrook
Colchester
🔄
73'
G. Nurse ↔ A. Jude-Boyd
Cheltenham
🟨
74'
Owura Edwards
Colchester
🔄
76'
S. Tovide ↔ J. Williams
Colchester
🔄
76'
J. Payne ↔ R. Akachukwu
Colchester
🔄
86'
L. Young ↔ H. Ashfield
Cheltenham
🔄
90+3'
A. Read ↔ M. Jollife
Colchester
90'
F. Barbrook
Colchester

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 43.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
43.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cheltenham Win 39%
Draw 10.4%
Colchester Win 50.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cheltenham1.18
Colchester1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cheltenham Cheltenham
WWDLW
59 GF / 79 GA
Colchester Colchester
WLDWL
60 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
24
BTTS Yes
23
22
Over 2.5
16
2.91
Shots on Goal
4.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cheltenham Cheltenham 48 matches
Colchester Colchester 46 matches
Cheltenham Statistic Colchester
16 Wins 17
10 Draws 12
22 Losses 17
59 Goals For 60
79 Goals Against 51
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
24 BTTS Yes 23
38 Over 1.5 31
22 Over 2.5 16
15 Over 3.5 9
12 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 15
2.91 Shots On Goal 4.04
9.89 Total Shots 12.38
3.94 Corners 4.69
47.7% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Colchester's more proactive style and Cheltenham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Colchester in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Colchester having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Colchester.

Cheltenham Analysis

With 52 points from 45 games and a place of 17, Cheltenham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 10 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 52:75 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Miller (6 goals), J. Thomas (6 goals), J. Martin (4 goals), with creative support from J. Thomas (5 assists), Luke Young (4 assists), Jake Bickerstaff (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colchester Analysis

Colchester are currently 13 in the standings with 63 points from 45 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 12 draws, and 16 losses, while the 58:48 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Payne (13 goals), K. Lisbie (11 goals), Harry Anderson (10 goals), with creative support from J. Payne (6 assists), S. Tovide (5 assists), K. Lisbie (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Ben Perry unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 6 times, Colchester won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Cheltenham's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: Cheltenham 4-3-3 / Colchester 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Cheltenham 0, Colchester 1
H2H summary: Cheltenham wins 6, draws 3, Colchester wins 6
Stats
Cheltenham Cheltenham
Colchester Colchester
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
0
9 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 8
5 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 0
14 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
410 Total passes 394
341 Passes accurate 303
1.73 expected_goals 1.29
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cheltenham
Formation
Colchester
J. Day
J. Day
J. Tomkinson
J. Tomkinson
S. Sherring
S. Sherring
J. Wilson
J. Wilson
G. Nurse
G. Nurse
B. Stevenson
B. Stevenson
J. Thomas
J. Thomas
L. Young
🎯
L. Young
I. Hutchinson
I. Hutchinson
J. Bickerstaff
J. Bickerstaff
G. Miller
G. Miller
M. Macey
M. Macey
R. Hunt
R. Hunt
S. Kuffour
S. Kuffour
J. Tucker
J. Tucker
F. Terry
🎯
F. Terry
A. Read
A. Read
T. Bishop
🎯
T. Bishop
K. Lisbie
🎯
K. Lisbie
J. Payne
J. Payne
H. Anderson
H. Anderson
S. Tovide
S. Tovide
Cheltenham 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
J. Day
G
27
J. Tomkinson
D
24
S. Sherring
D
5
J. Wilson
D
21
G. Nurse
↓ 73'
D
26
B. Stevenson
M
11
J. Thomas
↓ 63'
M
8
L. Young
🎯 55' ↓ 86' 🟨 5'
M
23
I. Hutchinson
M
20
J. Bickerstaff
↓ 62'
M
10
G. Miller
⚽ 55' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
41
M. Diallo
14
R. Broom
↑ 63'
M
16
J. Martin
↑ 62'
F
2
A. Jude-Boyd
↑ 73'
D
9
J. Davison
F
4
H. Ashfield
↑ 86'
M
22
M. Faal
↑ 62'
F
Colchester 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Macey
G
2
R. Hunt
D
44
S. Kuffour
D
5
J. Tucker
D
40
F. Terry
🎯 3'
D
16
A. Read
⚽ 23' ↓ 90+3'
M
8
T. Bishop
🎯 23' ↓ 67'
M
14
K. Lisbie
🎯 31' ↓ 67'
10
J. Payne
↓ 76'
M
7
H. Anderson
⚽ 31'
M
9
S. Tovide
⚽ 3' ↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
46
H. Chamberlain
21
O. Edwards
↑ 67' 🟨 74'
M
17
J. Williams
↑ 76'
F
41
M. Jollife
↑ 90+3'
27
R. Akachukwu
↑ 76'
M
25
F. Barbrook
⚽ 90' ↑ 67'
M
47
R. Harvey
M
Last matches: Cheltenham
25.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
0
4
L
21.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Tranmere
1
3
L
18.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Newport County
1
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Gillingham
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Walsall
4
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Cambridge United
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Chesterfield
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Notts County
2
5
L
17.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Crewe
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
06.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Barrow
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Salford City
3
2
W
17.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Bromley
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Barnet
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Milton Keynes Dons
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Accrington ST
1
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Grimsby
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Oldham
1
2
L
Last matches: Colchester
25.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Notts County
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Harrogate Town
0
1
L
14.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Accrington ST
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Swindon Town
3
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Tranmere
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Oldham
1
3
L
28.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Walsall
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Bromley
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons
0
1
L
13.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Crawley Town
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Newport County
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Chesterfield
0
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Salford City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Barnet
4
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Cambridge United
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Barrow
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Crewe
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Grimsby
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Fleetwood Town
2
1
W
H2H: Cheltenham vs Colchester
02.05.26
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
4
L
29.11.25
H2H
Colchester
Cheltenham
2
0
L
08.03.25
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
0
1
L
14.01.25
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
2
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Colchester
Cheltenham
1
2
W
24.04.21
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
0
W
29.12.20
H2H
Colchester
Cheltenham
0
0
D
29.02.20
H2H
Colchester
Cheltenham
0
2
W
23.11.19
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
1
D
09.02.19
H2H
Colchester
Cheltenham
3
0
L
01.09.18
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
3
L
14.08.18
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
2
2
D
06.01.18
H2H
Colchester
Cheltenham
1
4
W
16.09.17
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
3
1
W
02.01.17
H2H
Colchester
Cheltenham
2
0
L
Last matches: Cheltenham
21.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Tranmere
1
3
L
18.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Newport County
1
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Gillingham
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Cambridge United
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Crewe
1
1
D
06.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Barrow
2
2
D
21.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Salford City
3
2
W
07.02.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Milton Keynes Dons
2
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Grimsby
0
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Cheltenham
Leicester
0
2
L
04.01.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Crawley Town
3
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Swindon Town
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
3
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Cheltenham
Buxton
6
2
W
22.11.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1
0
W
10.11.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Notts County
1
2
L
01.11.25
FA
Cheltenham
Bradford
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Walsall
1
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
2
0
W
H2H at home: Cheltenham
02.05.26
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
4
L
08.03.25
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
0
1
L
14.01.25
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
2
1
W
24.04.21
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
0
W
23.11.19
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
1
D
01.09.18
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
3
L
14.08.18
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
2
2
D
16.09.17
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
3
1
W
Last matches: Colchester
18.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Harrogate Town
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Tranmere
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Bromley
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Newport County
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Chesterfield
0
3
L
17.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Cambridge United
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Barrow
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Crewe
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Bristol Rovers
1
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Colchester
Gillingham
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Colchester
Crawley Town
1
1
D
13.12.25
Lea
Colchester
Salford City
3
4
L
22.11.25
Lea
Colchester
Notts County
3
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Colchester
Walsall
2
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Colchester
Swindon Town
0
0
D
11.10.25
Lea
Colchester
Grimsby
2
1
W
27.09.25
Lea
Colchester
Fleetwood Town
2
4
L
13.09.25
Lea
Colchester
Accrington ST
0
1
L
30.08.25
Lea
Colchester
Barnet
1
1
D
H2H away: Colchester
02.05.26
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
4
W
08.03.25
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
0
1
W
14.01.25
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
2
1
L
24.04.21
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
0
L
23.11.19
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
1
D
01.09.18
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
1
3
W
14.08.18
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
2
2
D
16.09.17
H2H
Cheltenham
Colchester
3
1
L

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Cheltenham 0 missing
No missing players data
Colchester 1 missing
-
Ben Perry
Missing Fixture Jumpers knee
OUT