SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Camp Nou
Referee: A. Hernandez
Barcelona
Match Timeline
Real Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
M. Rashford
Barcelona
18'
F. Torres · Assist: D. Olmo
Barcelona
🟨
40'
Eduardo Camavinga
Real Madrid
🟨
52'
Dani Olmo
Barcelona
🟨
52'
Raúl Asencio
Real Madrid
🟨
55'
Jude Bellingham
Real Madrid
🔄
64'
D. Olmo ↔ F. de Jong
Barcelona
🔄
64'
M. Rashford ↔ Raphinha
Barcelona
🔄
70'
E. Camavinga ↔ T. Pitarch
Real Madrid
🔄
77'
F. Torres ↔ R. Lewandowski
Barcelona
🔄
77'
Gavi ↔ M. Bernal
Barcelona
🔄
79'
B. Diaz ↔ F. Mastantuono
Real Madrid
🔄
79'
G. Garcia ↔ C. Palacios
Real Madrid
🟨
81'
Raphinha
Barcelona
🟨
81'
Trent Alexander-Arnold
Real Madrid
🔄
88'
Fermín ↔ A. Balde
Barcelona

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barcelona Win 67.4%
Draw 0%
Real Madrid Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona1.98
Real Madrid1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona Barcelona
WWDLW
130 GF / 56 GA
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WLDWL
108 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
2.55
Average Goals Scored
2.16
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
31
BTTS Yes
31
39
Over 2.5
33
7.02
Shots on Goal
6.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona Barcelona 51 matches
Real Madrid Real Madrid 50 matches
Barcelona Statistic Real Madrid
40 Wins 34
3 Draws 5
8 Losses 11
130 Goals For 108
56 Goals Against 56
2.55 Avg Goals Scored 2.16
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
31 BTTS Yes 31
48 Over 1.5 43
39 Over 2.5 33
20 Over 3.5 16
17 Clean Sheets 16
3 Failed To Score 4
7.02 Shots On Goal 6.94
18.39 Total Shots 18.02
6.78 Corners 6.46
68% Ball Possession 58.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Real Madrid in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Madrid having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Barcelona come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Madrid.

Barcelona Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 88 points from 34 games, Barcelona bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 29 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 89:31, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Lamine Yamal (16 goals), F. Torres (15 goals), R. Lewandowski (13 goals), with creative support from Lamine Yamal (11 assists), F. Lopez (9 assists), M. Rashford (8 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 17 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Real Madrid Analysis

Real Madrid come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 77 points from 34 matches. The record of 24 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 70:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Mbappe (24 goals), Vinícius Júnior (15 goals), F. Valverde (5 goals), with creative support from A. Guler (9 assists), F. Valverde (8 assists), Vinícius Júnior (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona won 10 times, Real Madrid won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:26 from Barcelona's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona 4-2-3-1 / Real Madrid 4-4-2
Missing players: Barcelona 2, Real Madrid 8
H2H summary: Barcelona wins 10, draws 0, Real Madrid wins 5
Stats
Barcelona Barcelona
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 8
18 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 7
1 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
529 Total passes 394
486 Passes accurate 341
1.01 expected_goals 0.85
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Barcelona
Formation
Real Madrid
J. Garcia
J. Garcia
E. Garcia
E. Garcia
P. Cubarsi
P. Cubarsi
G. Martin
G. Martin
J. Cancelo
J. Cancelo
Gavi
Gavi
Pedri
Pedri
M. Rashford
M. Rashford
D. Olmo
🎯
D. Olmo
Fermín
Fermín
F. Torres
F. Torres
T. Courtois
T. Courtois
T. Alexander-Arnold
T. Alexander-Arnold
R. Asencio
R. Asencio
A. Rudiger
A. Rudiger
F. Garcia
F. Garcia
E. Camavinga
E. Camavinga
A. Tchouameni
A. Tchouameni
B. Diaz
B. Diaz
J. Bellingham
J. Bellingham
Vinicius Junior
Vinicius Junior
G. Garcia
G. Garcia
Barcelona 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
J. Garcia
G
24
E. Garcia
D
5
P. Cubarsi
D
18
G. Martin
D
2
J. Cancelo
D
6
Gavi
↓ 77'
M
8
Pedri
M
14
M. Rashford
⚽ 9' ↓ 64'
M
20
D. Olmo
🎯 18' ↓ 64' 🟨 52'
M
16
Fermín
↓ 88'
M
7
F. Torres
⚽ 18' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
25
W. Szczesny
G
33
E. Aller
G
9
R. Lewandowski
↑ 77'
F
21
F. de Jong
↑ 64'
M
11
Raphinha
↑ 64' 🟨 81'
F
23
J. Kounde
D
4
R. Araujo
D
19
R. Bardghji
F
22
M. Bernal
↑ 77'
M
3
A. Balde
↑ 88'
D
17
M. Casado
M
42
X. Espart
D
Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Courtois
G
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
🟨 81'
D
17
R. Asencio
🟨 52'
D
22
A. Rudiger
D
20
F. Garcia
D
6
E. Camavinga
↓ 70' 🟨 40'
M
14
A. Tchouameni
M
21
B. Diaz
↓ 79'
M
5
J. Bellingham
🟨 55'
M
7
Vinicius Junior
M
16
G. Garcia
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Lunin
G
43
S. Mestre
G
4
D. Alaba
D
18
A. Carreras
D
24
D. Huijsen
D
35
D. Jimenez
D
30
F. Mastantuono
↑ 79'
F
38
C. Palacios
↑ 79'
M
45
T. Pitarch
↑ 70'
M
28
J. Cestero Sancho
M
Last matches: Barcelona
24.07.26
Fri
Barcelona
Europa Fc
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Barcelona
Valencia
1
3
L
17.05.26
La
Barcelona
Real Betis
3
1
W
13.05.26
La
Barcelona
Alaves
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Barcelona
Osasuna
2
1
W
25.04.26
La
Barcelona
Getafe
2
0
W
22.04.26
La
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
14.04.26
UEF
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
11.04.26
La
Barcelona
Espanyol
4
1
W
08.04.26
UEF
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
04.04.26
La
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
22.03.26
La
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Barcelona
Newcastle
7
2
W
15.03.26
La
Barcelona
Sevilla
5
2
W
10.03.26
UEF
Barcelona
Newcastle
1
1
D
07.03.26
La
Barcelona
Athletic Club
1
0
W
03.03.26
Cop
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
3
0
W
28.02.26
La
Barcelona
Villarreal
4
1
W
22.02.26
La
Barcelona
Levante
3
0
W
16.02.26
La
Barcelona
Girona
1
2
L
Last matches: Real Madrid
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
21.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Osasuna
1
2
L
17.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
1
0
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
H2H: Barcelona vs Real Madrid
10.05.26
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
0
W
11.01.26
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
3
2
W
26.10.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Barcelona
2
1
L
11.05.25
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
4
3
W
26.04.25
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
3
2
W
12.01.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Barcelona
2
5
W
26.10.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
4
W
03.08.24
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
1
W
21.04.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Barcelona
3
2
L
14.01.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Barcelona
4
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
1
2
L
29.07.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
3
0
W
29.07.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
W
05.04.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
0
4
L
19.03.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
1
W
Last matches: Barcelona
24.07.26
Fri
Barcelona
Europa Fc
4
1
W
17.05.26
La
Barcelona
Real Betis
3
1
W
22.04.26
La
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
11.04.26
La
Barcelona
Espanyol
4
1
W
08.04.26
UEF
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
22.03.26
La
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Barcelona
Newcastle
7
2
W
15.03.26
La
Barcelona
Sevilla
5
2
W
03.03.26
Cop
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
3
0
W
28.02.26
La
Barcelona
Villarreal
4
1
W
22.02.26
La
Barcelona
Levante
3
0
W
07.02.26
La
Barcelona
Mallorca
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Barcelona
FC Copenhagen
4
1
W
25.01.26
La
Barcelona
Oviedo
3
0
W
13.12.25
La
Barcelona
Osasuna
2
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Barcelona
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
1
W
02.12.25
La
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
29.11.25
La
Barcelona
Alaves
3
1
W
22.11.25
La
Barcelona
Athletic Club
4
0
W
02.11.25
La
Barcelona
Elche
3
1
W
H2H at home: Barcelona
10.05.26
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
0
W
11.01.26
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
3
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
4
3
W
26.04.25
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
3
2
W
03.08.24
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
1
W
28.10.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
1
2
L
29.07.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
3
0
W
05.04.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
0
4
L
19.03.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
1
W
Last matches: Real Madrid
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
21.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Osasuna
1
2
L
17.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
1
0
W
08.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
4
L
24.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Villarreal
2
0
W
14.01.26
Cop
Real Madrid
Albacete
2
3
L
17.12.25
Cop
Real Madrid
CF Talavera
3
2
W
14.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
03.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
3
0
W
30.11.25
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
26.11.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Olympiakos Piraeus
4
3
W
23.11.25
La
Real Madrid
Elche
2
2
D
09.11.25
La
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
0
D
H2H away: Real Madrid
10.05.26
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
0
L
11.01.26
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
3
2
L
11.05.25
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
4
3
L
26.04.25
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
3
2
L
03.08.24
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
1
2
W
29.07.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
3
0
L
05.04.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
0
4
W
19.03.23
H2H
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
1
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Barcelona 2 missing
-
A. Christensen
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Lamine Yamal
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
Real Madrid 8 missing
-
Rodrygo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
F. Valverde
Missing Fixture Head Injury
OUT
-
D. Ceballos
Missing Fixture Coach's decision
OUT
-
Eder Militao
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
F. Mendy
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Guler
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Carvajal
Missing Fixture Toe Injury
OUT
-
K. Mbappe
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT