Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Barcelona
51 matches
Real Madrid
50 matches
| Barcelona | Statistic | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Wins | 34 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 130 | Goals For | 108 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 2.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.16 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
| 31 | BTTS Yes | 31 |
| 48 | Over 1.5 | 43 |
| 39 | Over 2.5 | 33 |
| 20 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 7.02 | Shots On Goal | 6.94 |
| 18.39 | Total Shots | 18.02 |
| 6.78 | Corners | 6.46 |
| 68% | Ball Possession | 58.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Real Madrid in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Madrid having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Barcelona come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Madrid.
Operating from 1 place with 88 points from 34 games, Barcelona bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 29 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 89:31, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Lamine Yamal (16 goals), F. Torres (15 goals), R. Lewandowski (13 goals), with creative support from Lamine Yamal (11 assists), F. Lopez (9 assists), M. Rashford (8 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 17 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Real Madrid come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 77 points from 34 matches. The record of 24 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 70:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Mbappe (24 goals), Vinícius Júnior (15 goals), F. Valverde (5 goals), with creative support from A. Guler (9 assists), F. Valverde (8 assists), Vinícius Júnior (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona won 10 times, Real Madrid won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:26 from Barcelona's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4.13 goals per game.
Barcelona
7
1
2
6
1
1
Lineups
Barcelona
Europa Fc
Barcelona
Valencia
Barcelona
Real Betis
Barcelona
Alaves
Barcelona
Osasuna
Barcelona
Getafe
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Espanyol
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Newcastle
Barcelona
Sevilla
Barcelona
Newcastle
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Villarreal
Barcelona
Levante
Barcelona
Girona
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Oviedo
Real Madrid
Espanyol
Real Madrid
Real Betis
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Madrid
Bayern München
Real Madrid
Girona
Real Madrid
Bayern München
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Elche
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Getafe
Real Madrid
Benfica
Real Madrid
Osasuna
Real Madrid
Benfica
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Barcelona
Europa Fc
Barcelona
Real Betis
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
Espanyol
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Newcastle
Barcelona
Sevilla
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Villarreal
Barcelona
Levante
Barcelona
Mallorca
Barcelona
FC Copenhagen
Barcelona
Oviedo
Barcelona
Osasuna
Barcelona
Eintracht Frankfurt
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Alaves
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Barcelona
Elche
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Espanyol
Real Madrid
Real Betis
Real Madrid
Bayern München
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Osasuna
Real Madrid
Benfica
Real Madrid
Valencia
Real Madrid
Benfica
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Albacete
Real Madrid
CF Talavera
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Girona
Real Madrid
Olympiakos Piraeus
Real Madrid
Elche
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
Home
|
38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 2 |
Real Madrid
Away
|
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|