SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Metropolitano Stadium
Referee: A. Ruiz
Atletico Madrid
Match Timeline
Girona
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
A. Lookman · Assist: A. Griezmann
Atletico Madrid
🟨
23'
Robin Le Normand
Atletico Madrid
🔄
46'
G. Simeone ↔ T. Almada
Atletico Madrid
🔄
56'
B. Gil ↔ C. Stuani
Girona
🔄
56'
A. Witsel ↔ F. Beltran
Girona
🔄
61'
A. Baena ↔ A. Sorloth
Atletico Madrid
🔄
61'
O. Vargas ↔ J. Morcillo
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
A. Lookman ↔ C. Lenglet
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
J. Roca ↔ C. Echeverri
Girona
🔄
77'
A. Martinez ↔ D. Lopez
Girona
🟨
85'
Javi Morcillo
Atletico Madrid

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 69.2%
Draw 14.5%
Girona Win 16.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.74
Girona1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
110 GF / 74 GA
Girona Girona
WLDWL
42 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
34
BTTS Yes
24
35
Over 2.5
19
5.21
Shots on Goal
3.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 58 matches
Girona Girona 38 matches
Atletico Madrid Statistic Girona
31 Wins 10
10 Draws 13
17 Losses 15
110 Goals For 42
74 Goals Against 57
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
34 BTTS Yes 24
47 Over 1.5 31
35 Over 2.5 19
22 Over 3.5 7
17 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 9
5.21 Shots On Goal 3.79
13.38 Total Shots 10.76
5.88 Corners 4.05
51.9% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Atletico Madrid's more proactive style and Girona's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Girona. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Madrid arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 63 points compared to Girona in 17 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Madrid expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Girona in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Girona having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Atletico Madrid Analysis

Atletico Madrid approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 63 points from 35 matches. Their record of 19 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 58:38, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Sorloth (12 goals), J. Alvarez (8 goals), A. Griezmann (7 goals), with creative support from G. Simeone (6 assists), J. Alvarez (4 assists), Marcos Llorente (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 14 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Girona Analysis

Girona sit 17 with 39 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 37:52, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through V. Vanat (9 goals), V. Tsygankov (6 goals), Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Tsygankov (5 assists), Bryan Gil (3 assists), Álex Moreno (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 8 times, Girona won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:14 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Girona 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Atletico Madrid 8, Girona 5
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 8, draws 5, Girona wins 1
Stats
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Girona Girona
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
11
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
7
9 Corner Kicks 8
7 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Goal 11
10 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 7
11 Shots insidebox 14
6 Shots outsidebox 11
11 Goalkeeper Saves 3
425 Total passes 482
358 Passes accurate 429
1.97 expected_goals 2.17
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atletico Madrid
Formation
Girona
J. Oblak
J. Oblak
M. Pubill
M. Pubill
R. Le Normand
R. Le Normand
D. Hancko
D. Hancko
M. Ruggeri
M. Ruggeri
A. Baena
A. Baena
Koke
Koke
O. Vargas
O. Vargas
G. Simeone
G. Simeone
A. Griezmann
🎯
A. Griezmann
A. Lookman
A. Lookman
P. Gazzaniga
P. Gazzaniga
A. Martinez
A. Martinez
A. Frances
A. Frances
Vitor Reis
Vitor Reis
A. Moreno
A. Moreno
A. Witsel
A. Witsel
I. Martin
I. Martin
B. Gil
B. Gil
A. Ounahi
A. Ounahi
J. Roca
J. Roca
V. Tsygankov
V. Tsygankov
Atletico Madrid 4-3-3
Starting XI
13
J. Oblak
G
18
M. Pubill
D
24
R. Le Normand
🟨 23'
D
17
D. Hancko
D
3
M. Ruggeri
D
10
A. Baena
↓ 61'
M
6
Koke
M
21
O. Vargas
↓ 61'
M
20
G. Simeone
↓ 46'
F
7
A. Griezmann
🎯 21'
F
22
A. Lookman
⚽ 21' ↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
31
S. Esquivel
G
1
J. Musso
G
9
A. Sorloth
↑ 61'
F
32
J. Bonar
D
29
R. Belaid
F
40
A. Puric
D
47
J. Morcillo
↑ 61' 🟨 85'
M
15
C. Lenglet
↑ 63'
D
11
T. Almada
↑ 46'
M
34
J. Diaz
M
37
I. Luque
F
61
M. Cubo
F
Girona 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
P. Gazzaniga
G
4
A. Martinez
↓ 77'
D
16
A. Frances
D
12
Vitor Reis
D
24
A. Moreno
D
20
A. Witsel
↓ 56'
M
23
I. Martin
M
21
B. Gil
↓ 56'
M
18
A. Ounahi
M
3
J. Roca
↓ 63'
M
15
V. Tsygankov
F
Substitutes
25
V. Krapyvtsov
G
1
R. Blanco
G
7
C. Stuani
↑ 56'
F
17
D. Blind
D
11
T. Lemar
M
6
D. van de Beek
M
8
F. Beltran
↑ 56'
M
14
C. Echeverri
↑ 63'
M
5
D. Lopez
↑ 77'
D
36
R. Artero
M
2
H. Rincon
D
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
14.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
5
2
W
07.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
3
2
W
03.03.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
1
0
W
Last matches: Girona
23.05.26
La
Girona
Elche
1
1
D
14.05.26
La
Girona
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
11.05.26
La
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
01.05.26
La
Girona
Mallorca
0
1
L
25.04.26
La
Girona
Valencia
1
2
L
21.04.26
La
Girona
Real Betis
2
3
L
10.04.26
La
Girona
Real Madrid
1
1
D
06.04.26
La
Girona
Villarreal
1
0
W
21.03.26
La
Girona
Osasuna
0
1
L
14.03.26
La
Girona
Athletic Club
3
0
W
07.03.26
La
Girona
Levante
1
1
D
01.03.26
La
Girona
Celta Vigo
1
2
L
23.02.26
La
Girona
Alaves
2
2
D
16.02.26
La
Girona
Barcelona
2
1
W
08.02.26
La
Girona
Sevilla
1
1
D
31.01.26
La
Girona
Oviedo
0
1
L
26.01.26
La
Girona
Getafe
1
1
D
16.01.26
La
Girona
Espanyol
2
0
W
10.01.26
La
Girona
Osasuna
1
0
W
04.01.26
La
Girona
Mallorca
2
1
W
H2H: Atletico Madrid vs Girona
17.05.26
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
21.12.25
H2H
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0
3
W
25.05.25
H2H
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0
4
W
25.08.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
1
W
03.01.24
H2H
Girona
Atletico Madrid
4
3
L
13.03.23
H2H
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0
1
W
08.10.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
2
1
W
02.04.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
2
0
W
16.01.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
3
D
09.01.19
H2H
Girona
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
02.12.18
H2H
Girona
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
20.01.18
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
19.08.17
H2H
Girona
Atletico Madrid
2
2
D
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
14.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
5
2
W
07.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
3
2
W
24.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
4
1
W
21.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Espanyol
4
2
W
12.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
4
0
W
08.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
0
1
L
28.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
25.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
3
0
W
18.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
1
0
W
13.12.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
1
W
29.11.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Inter
2
1
W
08.11.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Levante
3
1
W
H2H at home: Atletico Madrid
17.05.26
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
25.08.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
1
W
08.10.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
2
1
W
02.04.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
2
0
W
16.01.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
3
D
20.01.18
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
Last matches: Girona
11.05.26
La
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Girona
Valencia
1
2
L
10.04.26
La
Girona
Real Madrid
1
1
D
21.03.26
La
Girona
Osasuna
0
1
L
07.03.26
La
Girona
Levante
1
1
D
23.02.26
La
Girona
Alaves
2
2
D
08.02.26
La
Girona
Sevilla
1
1
D
31.01.26
La
Girona
Oviedo
0
1
L
16.01.26
La
Girona
Espanyol
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Girona
Mallorca
2
1
W
12.12.25
La
Girona
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
07.12.25
La
Girona
Elche
0
3
L
03.12.25
Cop
Girona
Ourense CF
1
2
L
23.11.25
La
Girona
Real Betis
1
1
D
31.10.25
La
Girona
Getafe
1
2
L
28.10.25
Cop
Girona
Constància
3
2
W
18.10.25
La
Girona
Barcelona
1
2
L
23.09.25
La
Girona
Athletic Club
1
1
D
14.09.25
La
Girona
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
24.08.25
La
Girona
Villarreal
0
5
L
H2H away: Girona
17.05.26
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
1
L
08.10.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
2
1
L
02.04.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
2
0
L
16.01.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
3
D
20.01.18
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
1
D

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Atletico Madrid 8 missing
-
P. Barrios
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Cardoso
Missing Fixture Contusion
OUT
-
M. Llorente
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
R. Mendoza
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. M. Gimenez
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
N. Gonzalez
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
N. Molina
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Alvarez
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
Girona 5 missing
-
Juan Carlos
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Portu
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. ter Stegen
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
V. Vanat
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Ruiz
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT