Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Madrid
58 matches
Girona
38 matches
| Atletico Madrid | Statistic | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Wins | 10 |
| 10 | Draws | 13 |
| 17 | Losses | 15 |
| 110 | Goals For | 42 |
| 74 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 34 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 47 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 35 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 22 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 5.21 | Shots On Goal | 3.79 |
| 13.38 | Total Shots | 10.76 |
| 5.88 | Corners | 4.05 |
| 51.9% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Atletico Madrid's more proactive style and Girona's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Girona. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Madrid arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 63 points compared to Girona in 17 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Madrid expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Girona in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Girona having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Atletico Madrid approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 63 points from 35 matches. Their record of 19 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 58:38, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Sorloth (12 goals), J. Alvarez (8 goals), A. Griezmann (7 goals), with creative support from G. Simeone (6 assists), J. Alvarez (4 assists), Marcos Llorente (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 14 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Girona sit 17 with 39 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 37:52, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through V. Vanat (9 goals), V. Tsygankov (6 goals), Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Tsygankov (5 assists), Bryan Gil (3 assists), Álex Moreno (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 8 times, Girona won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:14 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.
Atletico Madrid
4
11
10
7
3
7
Lineups
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
Girona
Elche
Girona
Real Sociedad
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Mallorca
Girona
Valencia
Girona
Real Betis
Girona
Real Madrid
Girona
Villarreal
Girona
Osasuna
Girona
Athletic Club
Girona
Levante
Girona
Celta Vigo
Girona
Alaves
Girona
Barcelona
Girona
Sevilla
Girona
Oviedo
Girona
Getafe
Girona
Espanyol
Girona
Osasuna
Girona
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
Atletico Madrid
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Atletico Madrid
Bodo/Glimt
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
Inter
Atletico Madrid
Levante
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Valencia
Girona
Real Madrid
Girona
Osasuna
Girona
Levante
Girona
Alaves
Girona
Sevilla
Girona
Oviedo
Girona
Espanyol
Girona
Mallorca
Girona
Real Sociedad
Girona
Elche
Girona
Ourense CF
Girona
Real Betis
Girona
Getafe
Girona
Constància
Girona
Barcelona
Girona
Athletic Club
Girona
Celta Vigo
Girona
Villarreal
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Home
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 |
Girona
Away
|
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|