Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rayo Vallecano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.4
Rayo Vallecano0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves
WWDLW
2 GF / 1 GA
Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
1 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
2
1
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
2 matches
Rayo Vallecano
1 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 2 | Goals For | 1 |
| 1 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 4 times, Rayo Vallecano won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Alaves's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Alaves 3-5-2 / Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alaves wins 4, draws 0, Rayo Vallecano wins 7
Last matches: Alaves
25.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Girona
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Eibar
1
1
D
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
17.05.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
0
W
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Alaves
Elche
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
22.03.26
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Alaves
Valencia
2
3
L
27.02.26
La
Alaves
Levante
0
2
L
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
14.02.26
La
Alaves
Sevilla
1
1
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
30.01.26
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
Last matches: Rayo Vallecano
17.07.26
Fri
Rayo Vallecano
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
27.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
23.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
1
W
17.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
2
0
W
14.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1
1
D
11.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
2
0
W
30.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
26.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
23.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
0
3
L
09.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
3
0
W
03.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
1
0
W
22.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
0
1
L
19.03.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
0
1
L
16.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
1
1
D
12.03.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
3
1
W
08.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
1
1
D
H2H: Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
23.05.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
14.01.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
26.10.25
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
L
26.10.24
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
0
L
10.03.24
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
15.09.23
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
0
L
16.04.22
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
18.12.21
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
0
L
28.01.19
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
22.09.18
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
5
W
Last matches: Alaves
18.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Eibar
1
1
D
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
25.01.26
La
Alaves
Real Betis
2
1
W
14.01.26
Cop
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
1
D
17.12.25
Cop
Alaves
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
06.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
1
0
W
22.11.25
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
02.11.25
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
20.10.25
La
Alaves
Valencia
0
0
D
05.10.25
La
Alaves
Elche
3
1
W
H2H at home: Alaves
23.05.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
14.01.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
29.03.25
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
L
10.03.24
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
16.04.22
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
28.01.19
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
Last matches: Rayo Vallecano
17.07.26
Fri
Rayo Vallecano
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
27.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
23.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
1
W
14.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
2
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
0
3
L
22.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
0
1
L
12.03.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
3
1
W
08.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
1
1
D
21.02.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
1
1
D
01.02.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
1
2
L
18.01.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
0
3
L
14.01.26
Cop
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
0
2
L
06.01.26
Cop
Rayo Vallecano
Granada CF
3
1
W
21.12.25
La
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
0
4
L
11.12.25
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
07.12.25
La
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
0
1
L
04.12.25
Cop
Rayo Vallecano
Real Ávila
2
1
W
H2H away: Rayo Vallecano
23.05.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
W
14.01.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
W
10.03.24
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
L
16.04.22
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
L
28.01.19
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
W
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Alaves
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
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Relegation