ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Vicarage Road
Referee: J. Smith
Watford
Match Timeline
Leicester
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Formose Mendy
Watford
🟨
17'
Stephy Mavididi
Leicester
🟨
42'
Jordan James
Leicester
🔄
46'
F. Mendy ↔ K. Keben
Watford
🟨
54'
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
Leicester
🔄
61'
S. Mavididi ↔ B. De Cordova-Reid
Leicester
🔄
61'
J. James ↔ D. Mukasa
Leicester
🔄
66'
G. Chakvetadze ↔ E. Bove
Watford
🔄
67'
I. Louza ↔ N. Mendy
Watford
🔄
76'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ M. Doumbia
Watford
🔄
80'
O. Skipp ↔ J. Aribo
Leicester
🔄
80'
J. Lascelles ↔ B. Nelson
Leicester
🔄
87'
P. Ekwah ↔ V. Semedo
Watford
🔄
89'
P. Daka ↔ J. Ayew
Leicester
🟨
90+2'
Egil Selvik
Watford
🟨
90+1'
Mamadou Doumbia
Watford
🟨
90+2'
Bobby Decordova-Reid
Leicester

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leicester Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.41
Leicester1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
51 GF / 51 GA
Leicester Leicester
WLDWL
54 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
25
BTTS Yes
30
19
Over 2.5
24
4.46
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 39 matches
Leicester Leicester 40 matches
Watford Statistic Leicester
14 Wins 12
13 Draws 11
12 Losses 17
51 Goals For 54
51 Goals Against 62
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
25 BTTS Yes 30
31 Over 1.5 37
19 Over 2.5 24
10 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 6
4.46 Shots On Goal 3.7
13.92 Total Shots 11.8
4.72 Corners 4.9
51.1% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 4 times, Leicester won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:31 from Watford's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-4-2 / Leicester 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 4, draws 2, Leicester wins 9
Stats
Watford Watford
Leicester Leicester
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 4
3 Shots insidebox 11
3 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
334 Total passes 408
250 Passes accurate 325
0.25 expected_goals 2.22
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Watford
Formation
Leicester
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Abankwah
J. Abankwah
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
F. Mendy
F. Mendy
M. Bola
M. Bola
N. Irankunda
N. Irankunda
I. Louza
I. Louza
P. Ekwah
P. Ekwah
G. Chakvetadze
G. Chakvetadze
L. Kjerrumgaard
L. Kjerrumgaard
E. Kayembe
E. Kayembe
J. Stolarczyk
J. Stolarczyk
R. Pereira
R. Pereira
C. Okoli
C. Okoli
J. Lascelles
J. Lascelles
L. Thomas
L. Thomas
O. Skipp
O. Skipp
H. Winks
H. Winks
I. Fatawu
I. Fatawu
J. James
J. James
S. Mavididi
S. Mavididi
P. Daka
P. Daka
Watford 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
🟨 90+2'
G
25
J. Abankwah
D
6
M. Pollock
D
27
F. Mendy
↓ 46' 🟨 12'
D
16
M. Bola
D
66
N. Irankunda
M
10
I. Louza
↓ 67'
M
17
P. Ekwah
↓ 87'
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
↓ 66'
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓ 76'
F
39
E. Kayembe
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
23
N. Mendy
↑ 67'
M
7
T. Ince
M
15
E. Bove
↑ 66'
M
4
K. Keben
↑ 46'
D
20
M. Doumbia
↑ 76' 🟨 90+1'
F
18
V. Semedo
↑ 87'
F
56
A. Eames
53
A. Nabizada
F
Leicester 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Stolarczyk
G
21
R. Pereira
D
5
C. Okoli
D
24
J. Lascelles
↓ 80'
D
33
L. Thomas
D
22
O. Skipp
↓ 80'
M
8
H. Winks
M
7
I. Fatawu
🟨 54'
M
6
J. James
↓ 61' 🟨 42'
M
10
S. Mavididi
↓ 61' 🟨 17'
M
20
P. Daka
↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
13
F. Vieites
G
9
J. Ayew
↑ 89'
F
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
↑ 61' 🟨 90+2'
F
18
J. Aribo
↑ 80'
M
12
D. Richards
F
28
J. Monga
M
17
H. Choudhury
M
4
B. Nelson
↑ 80'
D
29
D. Mukasa
↑ 61'
M
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
Last matches: Leicester
01.08.26
Fri
Leicester
Genoa
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Malaga
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Cadiz
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Burton Albion
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
1
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
0
1
L
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
2
D
14.02.26
FA
Leicester
Southampton
1
2
L
H2H: Watford vs Leicester
21.03.26
H2H
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
26.12.25
H2H
Leicester
Watford
1
2
W
10.02.24
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
2
L
25.11.23
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
L
15.05.22
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
5
L
08.01.22
H2H
Leicester
Watford
4
1
L
28.11.21
H2H
Leicester
Watford
4
2
L
20.06.20
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
1
D
04.12.19
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
L
03.03.19
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
01.12.18
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
L
20.01.18
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
L
26.12.17
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
06.05.17
H2H
Leicester
Watford
3
0
L
19.11.16
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Watford
Portsmouth
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
3
2
W
25.11.25
Cha
Watford
Preston
1
1
D
07.11.25
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
22.10.25
Cha
Watford
West Brom
2
1
W
04.10.25
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
2
1
W
H2H at home: Watford
21.03.26
H2H
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
10.02.24
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
2
L
15.05.22
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
5
L
20.06.20
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
1
D
03.03.19
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
26.12.17
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
19.11.16
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
Last matches: Leicester
25.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Malaga
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Cadiz
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Burton Albion
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
2
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
1
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
2
D
14.02.26
FA
Leicester
Southampton
1
2
L
07.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Birmingham
1
2
L
20.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Wrexham
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Coventry
1
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Leicester
Cheltenham
2
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Utd
1
3
L
20.12.25
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
4
L
10.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
2
D
06.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Derby
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Southampton
0
3
L
H2H away: Leicester
21.03.26
H2H
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
10.02.24
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
2
W
15.05.22
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
5
W
20.06.20
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
1
D
03.03.19
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
L
26.12.17
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
L
19.11.16
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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