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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Stoke City
FT
1 - 3
Portsmouth
Bet365 Stadium
Referee: D. Webb
Stoke City
Match Timeline
Portsmouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
J. Bursik ↔ B. Killip
Portsmouth
⚽
32'
A. Segecic · Assist: H. Blair
Portsmouth
🔄
46'
E. Bocat ↔ B. Gibson
Stoke City
🔄
46'
S. Gallagher ↔ J. Rak-Sakyi
Stoke City
⚽
48'
L. Cisse · Assist: S. Thomas
Stoke City
🟨
60'
Hayden Matthews
Portsmouth
🔄
61'
H. Matthews ↔ I. Bowat
Portsmouth
🔄
62'
H. Blair ↔ J. Murphy
Portsmouth
🔄
63'
S. Agina ↔ J. Tchamadeu
Stoke City
⚽
66'
A. Segecic · Assist: J. Murphy
Portsmouth
🔄
71'
B. Pearson ↔ S. N'Zonzi
Stoke City
🔄
78'
J. Swift ↔ J. Brown
Portsmouth
🔄
79'
R. Otegbayo ↔ M. Manhoef
Stoke City
🔄
79'
C. Bishop ↔ T. Waddingham
Portsmouth
🟨
82'
Adrian Segečić
Portsmouth
⚽
82'
A. Segecic
Portsmouth

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
66%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.8%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stoke City Win 72.3%
Draw 0%
Portsmouth Win 27.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stoke City1.27
Portsmouth1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stoke City Stoke City
WWDLW
52 GF / 53 GA
Portsmouth Portsmouth
WLDWL
46 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.02
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
20
BTTS Yes
24
20
Over 2.5
20
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City Stoke City 46 matches
Portsmouth Portsmouth 45 matches
Stoke City Statistic Portsmouth
16 Wins 13
10 Draws 12
20 Losses 20
52 Goals For 46
53 Goals Against 66
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.02
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
20 BTTS Yes 24
31 Over 1.5 30
20 Over 2.5 20
8 Over 3.5 11
14 Clean Sheets 10
16 Failed To Score 13
3.8 Shots On Goal 3.71
11.09 Total Shots 12.27
5.65 Corners 5.8
51.2% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 3 times, Portsmouth won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Stoke City's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Stoke City 4-4-2 / Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Stoke City 9, Portsmouth 7
H2H summary: Stoke City wins 3, draws 0, Portsmouth wins 2
Stats
Stoke City Stoke City
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 1
9 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
312 Total passes 362
221 Passes accurate 282
1.51 expected_goals 1.61
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Stoke City
Formation
Portsmouth
T. Simkin
T. Simkin
S. Agina
↓
S. Agina
A. Phillips
A. Phillips
R. Otegbayo
↓
R. Otegbayo
E. Bocat
↓
E. Bocat
S. Gallagher
↓
S. Gallagher
T. Seko
T. Seko
B. Pearson
↓
B. Pearson
S. Thomas
🎯
S. Thomas
R. Bozenik
R. Bozenik
L. Cisse
⚽
L. Cisse
J. Bursik
↓
J. Bursik
J. Williams
J. Williams
H. Matthews
↓
H. Matthews
M. Dia
M. Dia
C. Ogilvie
C. Ogilvie
A. Dozzell
A. Dozzell
L. Le Roux
L. Le Roux
A. Segecic
⚽ 3
A. Segecic
J. Swift
↓
J. Swift
H. Blair
🎯 ↓
H. Blair
C. Bishop
↓
C. Bishop
Stoke City 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
T. Simkin
G
50
S. Agina
↓ 63'
D
26
A. Phillips
D
54
R. Otegbayo
↓ 79'
D
17
E. Bocat
↓ 46'
D
20
S. Gallagher
↓ 46'
M
12
T. Seko
M
4
B. Pearson
↓ 71'
M
7
S. Thomas
🎯 48'
M
11
R. Bozenik
F
29
L. Cisse
⚽ 48'
F
Substitutes
34
F. Fielding
G
15
S. N'Zonzi
↑ 71'
M
8
L. Baker
M
42
M. Manhoef
↑ 79'
F
22
J. Tchamadeu
↑ 63'
D
49
M. Smit
F
23
B. Gibson
↑ 46'
D
21
J. Rak-Sakyi
↑ 46'
F
10
J. Bae
M
Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
J. Bursik
↓ 4'
G
2
J. Williams
D
14
H. Matthews
↓ 61' 🟨 60'
D
55
M. Dia
D
3
C. Ogilvie
D
21
A. Dozzell
M
16
L. Le Roux
M
10
A. Segecic
⚽ 32' ⚽ 66' ⚽ 82' 🟨 82'
M
8
J. Swift
↓ 78'
M
29
H. Blair
🎯 32' ↓ 62'
M
9
C. Bishop
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
30
B. Killip
↑ 4'
G
5
R. Poole
D
38
E. Adams
M
23
J. Murphy
🎯 66' ↑ 62'
M
36
C. Chaplin
F
40
J. Brown
↑ 78'
F
27
M. Alli
F
17
I. Bowat
↑ 61'
D
20
T. Waddingham
↑ 79'
F
Last matches: Stoke City
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
24.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
Last matches: Portsmouth
25.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Wycombe
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Aldershot Town
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Woking
2
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Birmingham
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Coventry
1
5
L
18.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Leicester
1
0
W
14.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Ipswich
2
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Oxford United
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Norwich
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
QPR
1
6
L
16.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Derby
0
1
L
10.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Swansea
1
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Blackburn
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Hull City
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Wrexham
1
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Millwall
3
1
W
17.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Charlton
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Sheffield Utd
0
1
L
H2H: Stoke City vs Portsmouth
25.04.26
H2H
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
25.10.25
H2H
Portsmouth
Stoke City
0
1
W
22.01.25
H2H
Portsmouth
Stoke City
3
1
L
02.10.24
H2H
Stoke City
Portsmouth
6
1
W
27.08.14
H2H
Stoke City
Portsmouth
3
0
W
Last matches: Stoke City
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
QPR
0
0
D
10.01.26
FA
Stoke City
Coventry
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
2
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
3
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
0
1
L
01.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
5
1
W
H2H at home: Stoke City
25.04.26
H2H
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
02.10.24
H2H
Stoke City
Portsmouth
6
1
W
27.08.14
H2H
Stoke City
Portsmouth
3
0
W
Last matches: Portsmouth
25.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Wycombe
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Aldershot Town
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Woking
2
1
W
21.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Coventry
1
5
L
11.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Norwich
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
QPR
1
6
L
07.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Blackburn
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Wrexham
1
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Millwall
3
1
W
17.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Charlton
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Preston
0
1
L
21.01.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Watford
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Bristol City
0
5
L
20.12.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Derby
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Swansea
0
1
L
26.11.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Sheffield Utd
0
3
L
08.11.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Hull City
2
3
L
H2H away: Portsmouth
25.04.26
H2H
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
W
02.10.24
H2H
Stoke City
Portsmouth
6
1
L
27.08.14
H2H
Stoke City
Portsmouth
3
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City Home
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth Away
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Stoke City 9 missing
-
A. Ampah
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. Cresswell
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
V. Johansson
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
B. Wilmot
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
M. Talovierov
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
J. Tchamadeu
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
T. Rigo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
B. Gibson
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
B. Lawal
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Portsmouth 7 missing
-
A. Alese
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
K. Anderson
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Kosznovszky
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
F. Umeh
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Z. Swanson
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
T. Devlin
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
G. Caballero
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT