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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
QPR
FT
2 - 1
Birmingham
Loftus Road
Referee: James Bell, England
QPR
Match Timeline
Birmingham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Amadou Salif Mbengue
QPR
⚽
40'
J. Dunne · Assist: K. Saito
QPR
🔄
46'
B. Osayi-Samuel ↔ T. Doyle
Birmingham
🔄
46'
M. Ducksch ↔ K. Furuhashi
Birmingham
🔄
67'
P. Smyth ↔ K. Dembele
QPR
🔄
68'
J. Robinson ↔ E. Cashin
Birmingham
🔄
68'
J. Stansfield ↔ L. Dykes
Birmingham
🔄
79'
K. Saito ↔ K. Poku
QPR
🟨
80'
Seung-Ho Paik
Birmingham
🔄
82'
P. Neumann ↔ K. Anderson
Birmingham
🔄
86'
A. S. Mbengue ↔ K. Morgan
QPR
🟨
90+7'
Kieran Morgan
QPR
⚽
90'
P. Roberts · Assist: D. Gray
Birmingham
⚽
90'
K. Morgan · Assist: J. Varane
QPR

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 0%
Draw 0%
Birmingham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR1.28
Birmingham1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
WWDLW
25 GF / 29 GA
Birmingham Birmingham
WLDWL
28 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
13
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
10
4
Shots on Goal
3.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 19 matches
Birmingham Birmingham 19 matches
QPR Statistic Birmingham
8 Wins 8
4 Draws 4
7 Losses 7
25 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 23
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
13 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 3.79
13.37 Total Shots 14.16
5.05 Corners 5.26
47.9% Ball Possession 55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 6 times, Birmingham won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from QPR's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: QPR 4-4-2 / Birmingham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: QPR wins 6, draws 4, Birmingham wins 5
Stats
QPR QPR
Birmingham Birmingham
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 0
6 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
256 Total passes 450
189 Passes accurate 360
1.51 expected_goals 0.31
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

QPR
Formation
Birmingham
P. Nardi
P. Nardi
A. S. Mbengue
↓
A. S. Mbengue
J. Dunne
⚽
J. Dunne
S. Cook
S. Cook
R. Norrington-Davies
R. Norrington-Davies
P. Smyth
↓
P. Smyth
J. Varane
🎯
J. Varane
N. Madsen
N. Madsen
K. Saito
🎯 ↓
K. Saito
R. Kone
R. Kone
R. Burrell
R. Burrell
J. Beadle
J. Beadle
B. Osayi-Samuel
↓
B. Osayi-Samuel
P. Neumann
↓
P. Neumann
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
J. Robinson
↓
J. Robinson
T. Iwata
T. Iwata
Paik Seung-Ho
Paik Seung-Ho
P. Roberts
⚽
P. Roberts
J. Stansfield
↓
J. Stansfield
D. Gray
🎯
D. Gray
M. Ducksch
↓
M. Ducksch
QPR 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
P. Nardi
G
27
A. S. Mbengue
↓ 86' 🟨 -5'
D
3
J. Dunne
⚽ 40'
D
5
S. Cook
D
18
R. Norrington-Davies
D
11
P. Smyth
↓ 67'
M
40
J. Varane
🎯 90'
M
24
N. Madsen
M
14
K. Saito
🎯 40' ↓ 79'
M
22
R. Kone
F
16
R. Burrell
F
Substitutes
29
B. Hamer
G
4
L. Morrison
D
28
Esquerdinha
D
23
D. Bennie
F
15
I. Hayden
M
21
K. Morgan
⚽ 90' ↑ 86' 🟨 90+7'
D
7
K. Dembele
↑ 67'
M
17
K. Poku
↑ 79'
M
12
M. Frey
F
Birmingham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Beadle
G
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
↓ 46'
D
5
P. Neumann
↓ 82'
D
4
C. Klarer
D
6
J. Robinson
↓ 68'
D
24
T. Iwata
M
8
Paik Seung-Ho
🟨 80'
M
16
P. Roberts
⚽ 90'
M
28
J. Stansfield
↓ 68'
M
10
D. Gray
🎯 90'
M
33
M. Ducksch
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
21
R. Allsop
G
23
A. Sampsted
D
41
E. Cashin
↑ 68'
D
7
T. Doyle
↑ 46'
M
12
M. Leonard
M
14
K. Anderson
↑ 82'
M
30
L. Koumas
F
17
L. Dykes
↑ 68'
F
9
K. Furuhashi
↑ 46'
F
Last matches: QPR
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
21.02.26
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
1
W
Last matches: Birmingham
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
H2H: QPR vs Birmingham
11.03.26
H2H
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
L
09.12.25
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
29.03.24
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
22.09.23
H2H
Birmingham
QPR
0
0
D
18.03.23
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
28.10.22
H2H
Birmingham
QPR
2
0
L
02.01.22
H2H
Birmingham
QPR
1
2
W
28.09.21
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
0
W
27.02.21
H2H
Birmingham
QPR
2
1
L
24.10.20
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
0
0
D
29.02.20
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
2
D
11.12.19
H2H
Birmingham
QPR
0
2
W
09.02.19
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
3
4
L
01.09.18
H2H
Birmingham
QPR
0
0
D
28.04.18
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
3
1
W
Last matches: QPR
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
QPR
Coventry
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
QPR
Wrexham
2
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
QPR
Leicester
4
1
W
06.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
2
W
05.11.25
Cha
QPR
Southampton
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
1
4
L
18.10.25
Cha
QPR
Millwall
1
2
L
H2H at home: QPR
09.12.25
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
29.03.24
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
18.03.23
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
28.09.21
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
0
W
24.10.20
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
0
0
D
29.02.20
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
2
D
09.02.19
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
3
4
L
28.04.18
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
3
1
W
Last matches: Birmingham
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Oxford United
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Swansea
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Birmingham
Cambridge United
3
2
W
01.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
0
3
L
20.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
3
L
06.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
3
L
26.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
1
1
D
08.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.10.25
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
1
L
H2H away: Birmingham
09.12.25
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
L
29.03.24
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
L
18.03.23
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
W
28.09.21
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
0
L
24.10.20
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
0
0
D
29.02.20
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
2
2
D
09.02.19
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
3
4
W
28.04.18
H2H
QPR
Birmingham
3
1
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham Away
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR Home
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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