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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Oxford United
FT
1 - 0
Derby
Kassam Stadium
Referee: James Bell, England
Oxford United
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
S. Mills · Assist: B. De Keersmaecker
Oxford United
🟨
43'
Jack Currie
Oxford United
🔄
46'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ B. Clark
Derby
🟨
55'
Will Vaulks
Oxford United
🟨
59'
Matthew Clarke
Derby
🔄
61'
A. Weimann ↔ P. Agyemang
Derby
🔄
71'
S. Mills ↔ P. Placheta
Oxford United
🔄
71'
D. Ozoh ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
🟨
72'
Cameron Brannagan
Oxford United
🔄
84'
C. Forsyth ↔ C. Elder
Derby
🔄
85'
R. Brewster ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🟨
86'
Ciaron Brown
Oxford United
🔄
89'
N. Prelec ↔ M. Harris
Oxford United
🔄
89'
S. Dembele ↔ B. Davies
Oxford United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Oxford United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oxford United1.33
Derby1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oxford United Oxford United
WWDLW
10 GF / 13 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
11 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
5
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
3
3.33
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oxford United Oxford United 9 matches
Derby Derby 9 matches
Oxford United Statistic Derby
1 Wins 1
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 3
10 Goals For 11
13 Goals Against 15
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
5 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 1
3.33 Shots On Goal 2.67
13.78 Total Shots 8.22
3.22 Corners 3.33
42.7% Ball Possession 42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Oxford United won 2 times, Derby won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Oxford United's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Oxford United 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-4-2
H2H summary: Oxford United wins 2, draws 2, Derby wins 4
Stats
Oxford United Oxford United
Derby Derby
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 12
19 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 3
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Goal 1
8 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 3
13 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
341 Total passes 336
267 Passes accurate 250
2.17 expected_goals 0.25
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Oxford United
Formation
Derby
J. Cumming
J. Cumming
B. Spencer
B. Spencer
M. Helik
M. Helik
C. Brown
C. Brown
J. Currie
J. Currie
B. De Keersmaecker
🎯
B. De Keersmaecker
W. Vaulks
W. Vaulks
S. Mills
⚽ ↓
S. Mills
C. Brannagan
C. Brannagan
S. Dembele
↓
S. Dembele
N. Prelec
↓
N. Prelec
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
M. Johnston
M. Johnston
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
C. Forsyth
↓
C. Forsyth
A. Weimann
↓
A. Weimann
D. Ozoh
↓
D. Ozoh
E. Adams
E. Adams
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
R. Brewster
↓
R. Brewster
C. Morris
C. Morris
Oxford United 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Cumming
G
15
B. Spencer
D
6
M. Helik
D
3
C. Brown
🟨 86'
D
26
J. Currie
🟨 43'
D
14
B. De Keersmaecker
🎯 24'
M
4
W. Vaulks
🟨 55'
M
17
S. Mills
⚽ 24' ↓ 71'
M
8
C. Brannagan
🟨 72'
M
23
S. Dembele
↓ 89'
M
16
N. Prelec
↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
21
M. Ingram
G
2
S. Long
D
7
P. Placheta
↑ 71'
M
9
M. Harris
↑ 89'
F
19
T. Goodrham
F
22
G. Leigh
D
27
W. Lankshear
F
29
B. Davies
↑ 89'
D
50
F. Krastev
M
Derby 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
22
M. Johnston
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
🟨 59'
D
3
C. Forsyth
↓ 84'
D
14
A. Weimann
↓ 61'
M
18
D. Ozoh
↓ 71'
M
32
E. Adams
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 46'
M
10
R. Brewster
↓ 85'
F
9
C. Morris
F
Substitutes
31
J. Vickers
G
4
D. Batth
D
6
S. Langas
D
7
P. Agyemang
↑ 61'
F
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
↑ 71'
F
15
L. Salvesen
↑ 85'
F
19
K. Jackson
F
20
C. Elder
↑ 84'
D
42
B. Clark
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Oxford United
15.08.26
Lea
Oxford United
Milton Keynes Dons
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Oxford United
Ipswich
2
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Oxford United
Crawley Town
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Oxford United
Barnet
2
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Oxford United
Aldershot Town
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Oxford United
Millwall
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Oxford United
Sheffield Wednesday
4
1
W
21.04.26
Cha
Oxford United
Wrexham
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cha
Oxford United
Derby
0
1
L
11.04.26
Cha
Oxford United
Watford
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Oxford United
Portsmouth
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Oxford United
Hull City
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Oxford United
Southampton
0
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Oxford United
Charlton
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Oxford United
Blackburn
1
0
W
06.03.26
Cha
Oxford United
Preston
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Oxford United
West Brom
2
1
W
25.02.26
Cha
Oxford United
Stoke City
1
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
15.02.26
FA
Oxford United
Sunderland
0
1
L
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
H2H: Oxford United vs Derby
18.04.26
H2H
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
1
0
W
11.02.25
H2H
Derby
Oxford United
0
0
D
22.10.24
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
1
1
D
29.12.23
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
2
3
L
15.08.23
H2H
Derby
Oxford United
1
2
W
11.03.23
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
2
3
L
30.07.22
H2H
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
L
Last matches: Oxford United
15.08.26
Lea
Oxford United
Milton Keynes Dons
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Oxford United
Ipswich
2
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Oxford United
Crawley Town
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Oxford United
Sheffield Wednesday
4
1
W
21.04.26
Cha
Oxford United
Wrexham
0
1
L
11.04.26
Cha
Oxford United
Watford
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Oxford United
Hull City
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Oxford United
Charlton
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Oxford United
Blackburn
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Oxford United
West Brom
2
1
W
15.02.26
FA
Oxford United
Sunderland
0
1
L
10.02.26
Cha
Oxford United
Norwich
0
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
Oxford United
Birmingham
0
2
L
20.01.26
Cha
Oxford United
QPR
0
0
D
17.01.26
Cha
Oxford United
Bristol City
0
0
D
29.12.25
Cha
Oxford United
Swansea
0
1
L
26.12.25
Cha
Oxford United
Southampton
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Oxford United
Preston
1
2
L
28.11.25
Cha
Oxford United
Ipswich
2
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
H2H at home: Oxford United
18.10.25
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
1
0
W
22.10.24
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
1
1
D
29.12.23
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
2
3
L
11.03.23
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
2
3
L
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
H2H away: Derby
18.10.25
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
1
0
L
22.10.24
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
1
1
D
29.12.23
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
2
3
W
11.03.23
H2H
Oxford United
Derby
2
3
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United Home
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation