Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Guimaraes Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional0.88
Guimaraes2.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
5 GF / 6 GA
Guimaraes
WLDWL
10 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
3.33
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
3
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
4 matches
Guimaraes
3 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 5 | Goals For | 10 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 1 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.33 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 6 times, Guimaraes won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Nacional's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
H2H summary: Nacional wins 6, draws 3, Guimaraes wins 6
Last matches: Nacional
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
Last matches: Guimaraes
18.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Academica
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Penafiel
5
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Felgueiras 1932
3
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
0
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
5
L
25.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
AVS
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Tondela
5
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Benfica
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Famalicao
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Alverca
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
SC Braga
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estrela
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
2
3
L
30.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estoril
2
4
L
18.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0
1
L
H2H: Nacional vs Guimaraes
16.05.26
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
02.01.26
H2H
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
2
L
23.12.24
H2H
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
2
D
26.04.21
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
0
W
21.01.21
H2H
Guimaraes
Nacional
3
1
L
05.05.19
H2H
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
2
D
02.01.19
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
0
W
31.03.17
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
2
L
04.11.16
H2H
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
1
L
20.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
3
2
W
07.11.15
H2H
Guimaraes
Nacional
0
1
W
11.05.15
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
2
D
04.01.15
H2H
Guimaraes
Nacional
4
0
L
03.02.14
H2H
Guimaraes
Nacional
1
2
W
Last matches: Nacional
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
11.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
15.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
29.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
20.09.25
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
H2H at home: Nacional
16.05.26
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
2
L
26.04.21
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
0
W
02.01.19
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
0
W
31.03.17
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
2
L
20.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
3
2
W
11.05.15
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
2
D
Last matches: Guimaraes
16.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
0
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
5
L
18.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
AVS
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Benfica
0
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
SC Braga
2
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
2
3
L
24.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estoril
2
4
L
28.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Tondela
1
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Famalicao
0
2
L
28.09.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Alverca
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Estrela
2
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Moreirense
0
2
L
11.08.25
Pri
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0
3
L
H2H away: Guimaraes
16.05.26
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
L
03.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
2
W
26.04.21
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
0
L
02.01.19
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
0
L
31.03.17
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
2
W
20.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
3
2
L
11.05.15
H2H
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
2
D
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 |
Guimaraes
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Nacional
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2