Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arouca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional0.87
Arouca0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
5 GF / 8 GA
Arouca
WLDWL
1 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.33
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
3
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
5 matches
Arouca
3 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 0 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 5 | Goals For | 1 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 2 times, Arouca won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:23 from Nacional's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
H2H summary: Nacional wins 2, draws 5, Arouca wins 7
Last matches: Nacional
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
Last matches: Arouca
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Arouca
AVS
1
0
W
H2H: Nacional vs Arouca
21.02.26
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
L
20.09.25
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
01.02.25
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
25.08.24
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
1
0
L
06.05.18
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
0
1
W
22.12.17
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
2
D
28.01.17
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
1
D
21.08.16
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
2
0
L
01.05.16
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
L
02.01.16
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
2
D
08.02.15
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
3
D
31.08.14
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
0
W
16.02.14
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
1
1
D
15.09.13
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
0
1
L
Last matches: Nacional
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
11.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
15.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
29.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
20.09.25
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
H2H at home: Nacional
20.09.25
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
01.02.25
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
22.12.17
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
2
D
28.01.17
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
1
D
02.01.16
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
2
D
31.08.14
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
0
W
15.09.13
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
0
1
L
Last matches: Arouca
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Arouca
AVS
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
3
L
07.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
4
L
25.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
0
5
L
20.09.25
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
1
D
17.08.25
Pri
Arouca
Sporting CP
0
6
L
H2H away: Arouca
20.09.25
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
W
01.02.25
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
W
22.12.17
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
2
D
28.01.17
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
1
D
02.01.16
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
2
D
31.08.14
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
0
L
15.09.13
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
0
1
W
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Nacional
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 14 |
Arouca
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2