ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: Gorky Stalin Araujo Zambrano, Ecuador
Tecnico Universitario
Match Timeline
Manta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
41'
Glendys Mina
Manta FC
🟨
43'
Glendys Mina
Manta FC
🟨
45+4'
Braian Ramírez
Manta FC
🟨
45'
Walter Chávez
Manta FC
🔄
52'
J. Majao ↔ B. Delgado
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
63'
J. Caicedo ↔ F. Castillo
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
63'
S. Mena ↔ Y. Arce
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
65'
Mateo Castano
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
69'
Jean Carlos Blanco
Manta FC
70'
H. Guardia
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
74'
J. Jimenez ↔ J. Alman
Manta FC
🔄
74'
B. Ramirez ↔ A. Medina
Manta FC
🔄
79'
Johan Bocanegra ↔ M. A. Carrasco Bonilla
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
79'
H. Guardia ↔ Cordova
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
86'
G. Mina ↔ S. Burbano
Manta FC
🔄
87'
J. Verges ↔ M. Valencia
Manta FC
🟨
89'
Jostin Alman
Manta FC
🟨
89'
Jefferson Nazareno
Manta FC
🟨
90+4'
Octavio Moscarelli
Manta FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.6%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tecnico Universitario Win 86.6%
Draw 6.7%
Manta FC Win 6.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tecnico Universitario1.01
Manta FC0.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WWDLW
19 GF / 25 GA
Manta FC Manta FC
WLDWL
8 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.38
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
8
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
4
3.81
Shots on Goal
2.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 22 matches
Manta FC Manta FC 21 matches
Tecnico Universitario Statistic Manta FC
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 5
13 Losses 13
19 Goals For 8
25 Goals Against 26
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.38
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
8 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 14
3.81 Shots On Goal 2.57
11.81 Total Shots 9.86
4.67 Corners 4.95
42% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Manta FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Manta FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Manta FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

So far, Tecnico Universitario have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 23 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 19:20 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Castaño (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), J. Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from C. Castaño (2 assists), J. Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Manta FC Analysis

With 13 points from 19 games and a place of 16, Manta FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 7:24 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Blanco (2 goals), J. Jiménez (1 goals), Octavio Moscarelli (1 goals), with creative support from Braian Ramírez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 8 times, Manta FC won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Tecnico Universitario 5-4-1 / Manta FC 4-5-1
H2H summary: Tecnico Universitario wins 8, draws 2, Manta FC wins 5
Stats
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC Manta FC
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 1
18 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 0
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
403 Total passes 322
313 Passes accurate 222
1.36 expected_goals 0.37
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 7 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Tecnico Universitario
Formation
Manta FC
S. Razzeto
S. Razzeto
E. E. Mesa Mercado
E. E. Mesa Mercado
R. Chilla
R. Chilla
J. Anaya
J. Anaya
S. Mena
S. Mena
J. Caicedo
J. Caicedo
Johan Bocanegra
Johan Bocanegra
M. Castano
M. Castano
J. Majao
J. Majao
L. Estupinan
L. Estupinan
H. Guardia
H. Guardia
W. Chavez
W. Chavez
J. Troya
J. Troya
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
O. Moscarelli
O. Moscarelli
G. Mina
G. Mina
J. Verges
J. Verges
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
B. Ramirez
B. Ramirez
J. Jimenez
J. Jimenez
R. Burbano
R. Burbano
J. Blanco
J. Blanco
Tecnico Universitario 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
S. Razzeto
23
E. E. Mesa Mercado
D
53
R. Chilla
D
13
J. Anaya
D
5
S. Mena
↓ 63'
16
J. Caicedo
↓ 63'
D
10
Johan Bocanegra
↓ 79'
M
70
M. Castano
🟨 65'
M
33
J. Majao
↓ 52'
M
7
L. Estupinan
M
9
H. Guardia
⚽ 70' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Morales
G
30
K. Arce
D
67
M. A. Carrasco Bonilla
↑ 79'
M
25
B. Delgado
↑ 52'
F
11
C. Arteaga
F
15
F. Castillo
↑ 63'
4
Cordova
↑ 79'
D
19
A. Castillo
F
77
C. Garcia
M
85
Y. Arce
↑ 63'
D
Manta FC 4-5-1
Starting XI
1
W. Chavez
🟨 45'
G
27
J. Troya
4
J. Nazareno
🟨 89'
D
24
O. Moscarelli
🟨 90+4'
D
31
G. Mina
↓ 86' 🟨 43'
D
55
J. Verges
↓ 87'
M
70
J. Nazareno
M
5
B. Ramirez
↓ 74' 🟨 45+4'
M
6
J. Jimenez
↓ 74'
M
10
R. Burbano
M
9
J. Blanco
🟨 69'
F
Substitutes
12
F. Zambrano
G
19
J. Alman
↑ 74' 🟨 89'
F
8
M. Valencia
↑ 87'
F
20
J. Chala
M
23
A. Medina
↑ 74'
52
J. Rialpe
M
57
S. Burbano
↑ 86'
M
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
22.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
2
3
L
16.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
1
2
L
10.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
3
L
01.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
5
L
22.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
19.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
L
07.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
2
1
W
02.06.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
Last matches: Manta FC
22.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
5
L
15.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
2
L
11.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
1
W
01.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
23.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
19.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
0
0
D
04.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
L
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
H2H: Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC
26.07.26
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
H2H
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
W
29.11.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
3
L
19.10.25
H2H
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
L
03.08.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
3
1
W
11.04.25
H2H
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
L
19.09.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
0
0
D
09.04.21
H2H
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
W
25.10.17
H2H
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
L
31.08.17
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
3
2
W
07.06.17
H2H
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
W
12.04.17
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
3
2
W
27.11.16
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
1
2
L
30.07.16
H2H
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
W
13.07.16
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
2
D
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
22.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
2
3
L
10.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
3
L
19.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
L
02.06.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Tecnico Universitario
26.07.26
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
1
0
W
29.11.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
3
L
03.08.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
3
1
W
19.09.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
0
0
D
31.08.17
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
3
2
W
12.04.17
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
3
2
W
27.11.16
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
1
2
L
13.07.16
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
2
D
Last matches: Manta FC
22.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
5
L
11.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
1
W
19.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
04.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
L
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
0
1
L
H2H away: Manta FC
26.07.26
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
1
0
L
29.11.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
3
W
03.08.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
3
1
L
19.09.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
0
0
D
31.08.17
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
3
2
L
12.04.17
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
3
2
L
27.11.16
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
1
2
W
13.07.16
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
2
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 22 1 3 64:26 38 67
W W W W W
2 26 13 5 8 30:26 4 44
W L W W L
3 26 12 7 7 45:23 22 43
W D L W D
4 25 12 6 7 33:25 8 42
D W W W W
5 26 12 5 9 26:20 6 41
W W L W W
6 26 10 9 7 28:20 8 39
W D L D L
7 26 9 8 9 28:28 0 35
L W L D W
8 25 9 7 9 28:29 -1 34
D W W W W
9 26 8 9 9 32:34 -2 33
D D W W L
10 26 8 9 9 25:29 -4 33
W D D L D
11 26 9 5 12 22:32 -10 32
D L L L W
12 26 8 6 12 30:39 -9 30
L W D L L
13 26 8 8 10 21:31 -10 29
L W D L L
14 26 8 2 16 23:37 -14 26
L L L L W
15 26 6 6 14 17:28 -11 24
L L D L L
16 26 4 5 17 12:37 -25 17
L L W L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs