COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Real Cartagena
Match Timeline
Real Santander
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
A. Melendez
Real Cartagena
16'
C. Graciano
Real Cartagena
🟨
27'
Real Santander
Real Santander
38'
J. P. Gallego
Real Cartagena
42'
M. Diaz
Real Santander
58'
J. P. Gallego
Real Cartagena
🔄
59'
A. Melendez ↔ J. Aleman
Real Cartagena
🔄
59'
J. P. Gallego ↔ J. Pineda
Real Cartagena
🔄
64'
D. Pino ↔ J. Rodriguez
Real Cartagena
🔄
64'
E. Lopez ↔ J. Rios
Real Cartagena
🟨
65'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
🟨
68'
J. Ararat
Real Santander
🔄
70'
J. Hernandez ↔ B. Roman
Real Santander
🔄
70'
J. Ararat ↔ D. Misatt
Real Santander
72'
M. Manotas
Real Cartagena
🔄
83'
D. Castillo ↔ L. Taffur
Real Cartagena
🔄
90'
P. Rodriguez ↔ H. Salas
Real Santander
🔄
90'
J. P. Garcia Habib ↔ B. Moreno
Real Santander
🔄
90'
A. Segura ↔ L. Rangel
Real Santander

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Cartagena Win 87.6%
Draw 6.2%
Real Santander Win 6.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cartagena1.5
Real Santander0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WWDLW
34 GF / 25 GA
Real Santander Real Santander
WLDWL
9 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
14
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 23 matches
Real Santander Real Santander 15 matches
Real Cartagena Statistic Real Santander
11 Wins 1
7 Draws 4
5 Losses 10
34 Goals For 9
25 Goals Against 23
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
14 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Real Cartagena's more proactive style and Real Santander's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Santander having the stronger overall control. Real Santander arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Santander. Real Cartagena arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 13 points compared to Real Santander in 16 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Cartagena Analysis

Placed 1 with 13 points from 6 outings, Real Cartagena continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 8:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Real Santander Analysis

With 7 points from 15 games and a place of 16, Real Santander still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 9:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Cartagena won 7 times, Real Santander won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from Real Cartagena's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.8%)
H2H summary: Real Cartagena wins 7, draws 5, Real Santander wins 2

Lineups

Real Cartagena
Formation
Real Santander
G. E. Gomez Tovar
G. E. Gomez Tovar
C. Graciano
C. Graciano
R. Lora
R. Lora
G. Tegue
G. Tegue
C. De Las Salas
C. De Las Salas
D. Pino
D. Pino
E. Lopez
E. Lopez
D. Castillo
D. Castillo
J. P. Gallego
⚽ 2
J. P. Gallego
A. Melendez
A. Melendez
M. Manotas
M. Manotas
J. Lazaro
J. Lazaro
C. Duran
C. Duran
E. E. Chacon Bonilla
E. E. Chacon Bonilla
J. P. Garcia Habib
J. P. Garcia Habib
J. Hernandez
J. Hernandez
D. Tapia
D. Tapia
A. Segura
A. Segura
P. Rodriguez
P. Rodriguez
J. Ararat
J. Ararat
J. Holguin
J. Holguin
M. Diaz
M. Diaz
Real Cartagena 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
G. E. Gomez Tovar
26
C. Graciano
⚽ 16'
23
R. Lora
24
G. Tegue
25
C. De Las Salas
14
D. Pino
↓ 64'
88
E. Lopez
↓ 64'
99
D. Castillo
↓ 83'
18
J. P. Gallego
⚽ 38' ⚽ 58' ↓ 59'
27
A. Melendez
⚽ 11' ↓ 59'
9
M. Manotas
⚽ 72'
Substitutes
1
A. Montes
6
A. Escobar
5
J. A. Solarte Espana
21
J. Rodriguez
↑ 64'
13
J. Rios
↑ 64'
20
L. Taffur
↑ 83'
17
J. Aleman
↑ 59'
16
J. Pineda
↑ 59'
11
L. Yanes
Real Santander 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Lazaro
3
C. Duran
41
E. E. Chacon Bonilla
14
J. P. Garcia Habib
↓ 90'
16
J. Hernandez
↓ 70'
31
D. Tapia
25
A. Segura
↓ 90'
9
P. Rodriguez
↓ 90'
15
J. Ararat
↓ 70' 🟨 68'
5
J. Holguin
11
M. Diaz
⚽ 42'
Substitutes
43
A. Hurtado
13
L. Caicedo
20
H. Salas
↑ 90'
23
B. Moreno
↑ 90'
24
L. Rangel
↑ 90'
26
B. Roman
↑ 70'
42
D. Misatt
↑ 70'
Last matches: Real Cartagena
24.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
6
1
W
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
07.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
29.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
26.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
2
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
23.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
4
0
W
Last matches: Real Santander
24.08.26
Pri
Real Santander
Ind. Yumbo
1
0
W
20.08.26
Pri
Real Santander
Barranquilla
2
2
D
06.08.26
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
2
2
D
31.07.26
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Bogota FC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Leones FC
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Barranquilla
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Envigado
1
3
L
26.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Tigres FC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Orsomarso
0
2
L
10.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Popayan
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Quindio
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
24.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cundinamarca
2
1
W
04.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
0
2
L
23.01.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
27.10.25
Pri
Real Santander
Huila
2
1
W
H2H: Real Cartagena vs Real Santander
26.07.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
5
1
W
23.01.26
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
0
1
W
15.08.25
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
2
0
L
09.03.25
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
2
0
W
27.09.24
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
28.04.24
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
3
1
W
26.08.23
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
0
1
W
12.03.23
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
1
1
D
17.08.22
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
2
2
D
27.02.22
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
1
2
W
14.08.21
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
2
2
D
14.03.21
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
0
3
W
07.10.20
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
2
3
L
26.09.20
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
14.10.19
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
3
3
D
Last matches: Real Cartagena
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
07.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
2
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
2
1
W
23.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
4
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
2
3
L
13.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
4
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
W
20.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
12.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Cucuta
1
1
D
05.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
4
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
3
1
W
H2H at home: Real Cartagena
26.07.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
5
1
W
09.03.25
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
2
0
W
28.04.24
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
3
1
W
12.03.23
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
1
1
D
17.08.22
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
2
2
D
07.10.20
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
2
3
L
14.10.19
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
3
3
D
Last matches: Real Santander
06.08.26
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Leones FC
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Barranquilla
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Orsomarso
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
24.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Real Santander
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
26.09.25
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Real Santander
Orsomarso
0
1
L
07.09.25
Pri
Real Santander
Cucuta
1
2
L
25.08.25
Pri
Real Santander
Leones FC
1
1
D
11.08.25
Pri
Real Santander
Jaguares
0
1
L
26.07.25
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cundinamarca
0
2
L
13.07.25
Pri
Real Santander
Tigres FC
0
2
L
18.05.25
Pri
Real Santander
Huila
0
0
D
06.05.25
Pri
Real Santander
Cucuta
1
2
L
27.04.25
Pri
Real Santander
Quindio
2
4
L
14.04.25
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
0
2
L
H2H away: Real Santander
26.07.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
5
1
L
09.03.25
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
2
0
L
28.04.24
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
3
1
L
12.03.23
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
1
1
D
17.08.22
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
2
2
D
07.10.20
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
2
3
W
14.10.19
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
3
3
D

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)