LATVIA VIRSLIGA
20.09.2026 15:00
Skonto stadions

Auda vs Rīgas FS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.20
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.7%
1.20
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.62
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
7.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 47.3%
Draw 6.3%
Rīgas FS Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.27
Rīgas FS1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
58 GF / 40 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WLDWL
107 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
2.28
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
18
BTTS Yes
24
18
Over 2.5
27
0
Shots on Goal
1.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 38 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 47 matches
Auda Statistic Rīgas FS
22 Wins 34
8 Draws 8
8 Losses 5
58 Goals For 107
40 Goals Against 42
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 2.28
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
18 BTTS Yes 24
27 Over 1.5 37
18 Over 2.5 27
9 Over 3.5 18
16 Clean Sheets 20
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 1.29
0 Total Shots 0
0.17 Corners 1.43
12.5% Ball Possession 16%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rīgas FS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Auda expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Rīgas FS in 3-2-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Auda Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 57 points from 29 games, Auda bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 47:29, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 70 points after 28 outings. The return of 22 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 68:20, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 13 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 3 times, Rīgas FS won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:29 from Auda's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Auda 4-3-3 / Rīgas FS 3-2-4-1
H2H summary: Auda wins 3, draws 1, Rīgas FS wins 11

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 22 7 2 86:30 56 73
W W D D L
2 29 23 4 2 70:21 49 73
W D W D W
3
Auda Home
30 18 6 6 48:29 19 60
W D W D W
4 31 12 7 12 41:43 -2 43
D D D W L
5 31 10 9 12 35:35 0 39
D L D L D
6 29 10 5 14 29:39 -10 35
L W W D D
7 31 8 8 15 32:49 -17 32
L D L W W
8 30 5 10 15 20:51 -31 25
D L W L L
9 30 5 8 17 43:60 -17 23
L W L L L
10 30 3 6 21 29:76 -47 15
L D L L L