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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Luton
FT
2 - 1
Northampton
Kenilworth Road
Referee: J. Durkin
Luton
Match Timeline
Northampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
S. Hoskins · Assist: T. Eaves
Northampton
⚽
43'
L. Walsh · Assist: E. Lawrence
Luton
🔄
46'
J. Richards ↔ S. Morris
Luton
🟨
62'
Cameron McGeehan
Northampton
🔄
66'
N. Wells ↔ A. Al Hamadi
Luton
🔄
71'
J. Burroughs ↔ C. McCarthy
Northampton
🔄
72'
T. Fornah ↔ K. Swyer
Northampton
🔄
72'
M. Jacobs ↔ E. List
Northampton
🟨
76'
Conor McCarthy
Northampton
🟨
77'
Jon Guthrie
Northampton
🔄
82'
J. Clark ↔ D. van den Berg
Luton
🔄
82'
E. Lawrence ↔ G. Kodua
Luton
🔄
82'
S. Hoskins ↔ T. Taylor
Northampton
🔄
82'
T. Eaves ↔ J. Evans
Northampton
⚽
85'
K. Naismith
Luton
🟨
90+4'
Josh Keeley
Luton
🟨
90+1'
Nigel Cello Lonwijk
Luton
🔄
90'
L. Walsh ↔ G. Saville
Luton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Northampton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.48
Northampton1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
63 GF / 55 GA
Northampton Northampton
WLDWL
35 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
23
BTTS Yes
19
23
Over 2.5
19
3.84
Shots on Goal
2.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 43 matches
Northampton Northampton 42 matches
Luton Statistic Northampton
18 Wins 9
11 Draws 8
14 Losses 25
63 Goals For 35
55 Goals Against 63
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
23 BTTS Yes 19
32 Over 1.5 29
23 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 18
3.84 Shots On Goal 2.74
12.26 Total Shots 8.88
5.7 Corners 4.81
54.2% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 7 times, Northampton won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Luton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Luton 4-1-4-1 / Northampton 4-4-2
H2H summary: Luton wins 7, draws 0, Northampton wins 3
Stats
Luton Luton
Northampton Northampton
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
13
Blocked Shots
7
11 Corner Kicks 5
7 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
59% Ball Possession 41%
25 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 2
13 Blocked Shots 7
16 Shots insidebox 10
9 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
442 Total passes 320
368 Passes accurate 235
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Luton
Formation
Northampton
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
N. Lonwijk
N. Lonwijk
M. Andersen
M. Andersen
K. Naismith
⚽
K. Naismith
J. Johnson
J. Johnson
L. Walsh
⚽ ↓
L. Walsh
J. Richards
↓
J. Richards
J. Clark
↓
J. Clark
K. Palmer
K. Palmer
E. Lawrence
🎯 ↓
E. Lawrence
N. Wells
↓
N. Wells
L. Burge
L. Burge
J. Burroughs
↓
J. Burroughs
M. Dyche
M. Dyche
J. Guthrie
J. Guthrie
N. Guinness-Walker
N. Guinness-Walker
T. Fornah
↓
T. Fornah
C. McGeehan
C. McGeehan
D. Campbell
D. Campbell
M. Jacobs
↓
M. Jacobs
T. Eaves
🎯 ↓
T. Eaves
S. Hoskins
⚽ ↓
S. Hoskins
Luton 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
🟨 90+4'
G
17
N. Lonwijk
🟨 90+1'
D
5
M. Andersen
D
3
K. Naismith
⚽ 85'
D
38
J. Johnson
D
8
L. Walsh
⚽ 43' ↓ 90'
M
27
J. Richards
↓ 46'
M
18
J. Clark
↓ 82'
M
54
K. Palmer
M
32
E. Lawrence
🎯 43' ↓ 82'
M
21
N. Wells
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
23
G. Saville
↑ 90'
M
14
S. Morris
↑ 46'
F
6
D. van den Berg
↑ 82'
M
12
A. Al Hamadi
↑ 66'
F
30
G. Kodua
↑ 82'
F
4
S. Sandal
M
Northampton 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
L. Burge
G
2
J. Burroughs
↓ 71'
D
35
M. Dyche
D
5
J. Guthrie
🟨 77'
D
12
N. Guinness-Walker
D
14
T. Fornah
↓ 72'
M
8
C. McGeehan
🟨 62'
M
4
D. Campbell
M
17
M. Jacobs
↓ 72'
M
9
T. Eaves
🎯 31' ↓ 82'
F
7
S. Hoskins
⚽ 31' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
34
R. Fitzsimons
G
11
K. Swyer
↑ 72'
F
3
C. McCarthy
↑ 71' 🟨 76'
D
10
E. List
↑ 72'
M
27
J. Vale
F
23
T. Taylor
↑ 82'
M
15
J. Evans
↑ 82'
F
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
Last matches: Northampton
01.08.26
Fri
Northampton
Solihull Moors
4
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Cambridge United
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Southend
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Coventry
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Leicester
0
3
L
02.05.26
Lea
Northampton
Plymouth
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Barnsley
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Cardiff
1
5
L
18.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Doncaster
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Wigan
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Bradford
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Mansfield Town
1
4
L
17.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Stockport County
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Burton Albion
0
2
L
08.03.26
Lea
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Peterborough
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Port Vale
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Lincoln
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Exeter City
0
0
D
H2H: Luton vs Northampton
15.04.26
H2H
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
04.03.26
H2H
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
1
W
16.07.22
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Northampton
Luton
1
2
W
29.08.20
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
3
W
30.04.16
H2H
Northampton
Luton
2
0
L
12.12.15
H2H
Luton
Northampton
3
4
L
28.03.15
H2H
Northampton
Luton
2
1
L
25.10.14
H2H
Luton
Northampton
1
0
W
12.11.11
H2H
Luton
Northampton
1
0
W
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
29.11.25
Lea
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
H2H at home: Luton
15.04.26
H2H
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
04.03.26
H2H
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
12.12.15
H2H
Luton
Northampton
3
4
L
25.10.14
H2H
Luton
Northampton
1
0
W
12.11.11
H2H
Luton
Northampton
1
0
W
Last matches: Northampton
01.08.26
Fri
Northampton
Solihull Moors
4
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Cambridge United
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Southend
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Leicester
0
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Cardiff
1
5
L
03.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Bradford
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Mansfield Town
1
4
L
17.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Stockport County
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lea
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Lincoln
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Exeter City
0
0
D
03.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Barnsley
2
2
D
27.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Rotherham
1
2
L
24.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Blackpool
0
2
L
04.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Bolton
0
0
D
29.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Huddersfield
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Burton Albion
1
5
L
13.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Peterborough
1
2
L
29.11.25
Lea
Northampton
Plymouth
3
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Northampton
Oldham
1
3
L
H2H away: Northampton
15.04.26
H2H
Luton
Northampton
2
1
L
04.03.26
H2H
Luton
Northampton
2
1
L
12.12.15
H2H
Luton
Northampton
3
4
W
25.10.14
H2H
Luton
Northampton
1
0
L
12.11.11
H2H
Luton
Northampton
1
0
L

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Home
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton Away
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two