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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Derby
FT
2 - 0
Stoke City
Pride Park
Referee: E. Bell
Derby
Match Timeline
Stoke City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Sydney Agina
Stoke City
🔄
35'
T. Rigo ↔ J. Bae
Stoke City
🔄
41'
P. Agyemang ↔ J. Banel
Derby
🔄
46'
L. Cisse ↔ S. Gallagher
Stoke City
⚽
54'
J. Banel · Assist: C. Morris
Derby
🔄
63'
S. N'Zonzi ↔ L. Baker
Stoke City
🔄
63'
S. Agina ↔ M. Manhoef
Stoke City
🟨
69'
Lewis Travis
Derby
🔄
78'
↔ M. Smit
Stoke City
🔄
80'
D. Ozoh ↔ O. Fraulo
Derby
🟨
85'
Jaydon Banel
Derby
⚽
89'
C. Morris · Assist: B. Clark
Derby
🔄
90+2'
C. Morris ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
90+3'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ M. Johnston
Derby
🔄
90+2'
B. Clark ↔ C. Allen
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Stoke City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.29
Stoke City1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
59 GF / 54 GA
Stoke City Stoke City
WLDWL
50 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
27
BTTS Yes
18
21
Over 2.5
19
3.44
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 41 matches
Stoke City Stoke City 42 matches
Derby Statistic Stoke City
17 Wins 16
9 Draws 9
15 Losses 17
59 Goals For 50
54 Goals Against 45
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
27 BTTS Yes 18
31 Over 1.5 27
21 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 14
4 Failed To Score 14
3.44 Shots On Goal 4
10.44 Total Shots 11.31
4.49 Corners 5.62
43.5% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Stoke City won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Derby's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Derby 7, Stoke City 6
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 4, Stoke City wins 5
Stats
Derby Derby
Stoke City Stoke City
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 3
18 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Goal 0
8 Shots off Goal 6
9 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
376 Total passes 352
296 Passes accurate 266
2.39 expected_goals 0.30
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Derby
Formation
Stoke City
R. O'Donnell
R. O'Donnell
J. Ward
J. Ward
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
D. Murkin
D. Ozoh
↓
D. Ozoh
L. Travis
L. Travis
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
B. Clark
🎯 ↓
B. Clark
P. Agyemang
↓
P. Agyemang
C. Morris
⚽ 🎯 ↓
C. Morris
G. Bazunu
G. Bazunu
S. Agina
↓
S. Agina
A. Phillips
A. Phillips
B. Lawal
B. Lawal
S. Thomas
S. Thomas
S. N'Zonzi
↓
S. N'Zonzi
T. Seko
T. Seko
E. Bocat
E. Bocat
T. Rigo
↓
T. Rigo
J. Rak-Sakyi
J. Rak-Sakyi
L. Cisse
↓
L. Cisse
Derby 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
R. O'Donnell
G
23
J. Ward
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
D
2
D. Murkin
D
18
D. Ozoh
↓ 80'
M
27
L. Travis
🟨 69'
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 90+3'
M
42
B. Clark
🎯 89' ↓ 90+2'
M
7
P. Agyemang
↓ 41'
M
9
C. Morris
⚽ 89' 🎯 54' ↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
52
J. Thompson
G
16
L. Thompson
M
34
J. Banel
⚽ 54' ↑ 41' 🟨 85'
M
3
C. Forsyth
D
15
L. Salvesen
↑ 90+2'
F
29
O. Fraulo
↑ 80'
M
6
S. Langas
D
22
M. Johnston
↑ 90+3'
D
54
C. Allen
↑ 90+2'
Stoke City 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
G. Bazunu
G
50
S. Agina
↓ 63' 🟨 3'
D
26
A. Phillips
D
18
B. Lawal
7
S. Thomas
M
15
S. N'Zonzi
↓ 63'
M
12
T. Seko
M
17
E. Bocat
M
19
T. Rigo
↓ 35'
F
21
J. Rak-Sakyi
F
29
L. Cisse
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
25
T. Simkin
G
8
L. Baker
↑ 63'
M
4
B. Pearson
M
42
M. Manhoef
↑ 63'
F
49
M. Smit
↑ 78'
F
23
B. Gibson
D
3
A. Cresswell
D
20
S. Gallagher
↑ 46'
F
10
J. Bae
↑ 35'
M
Last matches: Derby
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
Last matches: Stoke City
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
24.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
21.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
QPR
0
0
D
H2H: Derby vs Stoke City
06.04.26
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
09.08.25
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
3
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
02.11.24
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
2
1
L
22.07.23
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
3
0
W
30.12.21
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
1
2
W
18.09.21
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
1
W
20.03.21
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
1
0
L
12.12.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
31.01.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
4
0
W
17.08.19
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
2
2
D
13.03.19
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
28.11.18
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
2
1
L
28.01.12
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
2
L
Last matches: Derby
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
30.09.25
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
06.04.26
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
22.07.23
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
3
0
W
18.09.21
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
1
W
12.12.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
31.01.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
4
0
W
13.03.19
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
28.01.12
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
2
L
Last matches: Stoke City
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Norwich
2
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
0
1
L
10.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
0
1
L
06.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
0
4
L
22.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
1
2
L
04.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
3
0
W
25.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
0
2
L
04.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
30.09.25
Cha
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
20.09.25
Cha
Stoke City
QPR
0
1
L
H2H away: Stoke City
06.04.26
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
L
03.05.25
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
22.07.23
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
3
0
L
18.09.21
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
1
L
12.12.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
31.01.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
4
0
L
13.03.19
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
28.01.12
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
2
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City Away
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Derby 7 missing
-
C. Elder
Questionable Toe Injury
OUT
-
M. Johnston
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
S. Langas
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
L. Salvesen
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Vickers
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Widell Zetterstrom
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
S. Szmodics
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Stoke City 6 missing
-
A. Ampah
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
R. Bozenik
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
V. Johansson
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
B. Wilmot
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
M. Talovierov
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
J. Tchamadeu
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT