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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Blackburn
FT
1 - 2
Derby
Ewood Park
Referee: Thomas Kirk, England
Blackburn
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
D. Ozoh ↔ E. Adams
Derby
🟨
14'
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
Blackburn
⚽
19'
C. Morris · Assist: C. Elder
Derby
⚽
45'
P. Agyemang · Assist: J. Ward
Derby
🔄
46'
T. Gardner-Hickman ↔ K. Montgomery
Blackburn
⚽
66'
Y. Ohashi
Blackburn
🟨
69'
Bobby Clark
Derby
🔄
71'
P. Agyemang ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
72'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
79'
A. Henriksson ↔ A. Forshaw
Blackburn
🔄
79'
R. Morishita ↔ M. Gueye
Blackburn
🟨
87'
Ebou Adams
Derby
🟨
90+3'
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Derby
🔄
90+1'
J. Ward ↔ D. Batth
Derby
🔄
90+1'
C. Morris ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Blackburn Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackburn1.12
Derby1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackburn Blackburn
WWDLW
13 GF / 17 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
18 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
5
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
5
3.77
Shots on Goal
2.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackburn Blackburn 13 matches
Derby Derby 14 matches
Blackburn Statistic Derby
5 Wins 5
1 Draws 5
7 Losses 4
13 Goals For 18
17 Goals Against 18
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
5 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
3.77 Shots On Goal 2.79
12.77 Total Shots 8.64
4.85 Corners 4.43
48.6% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn won 9 times, Derby won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Blackburn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Blackburn 3-4-1-2 / Derby 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Blackburn wins 9, draws 1, Derby wins 5
Stats
Blackburn Blackburn
Derby Derby
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
0
13 Corner Kicks 3
6 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 0
6 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
447 Total passes 255
340 Passes accurate 171
1.09 expected_goals 0.95
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Blackburn
Formation
Derby
A. Pears
A. Pears
L. Miller
L. Miller
S. McLoughlin
S. McLoughlin
R. Hedges
R. Hedges
R. Alebiosu
R. Alebiosu
A. Henriksson
↓
A. Henriksson
T. Gardner-Hickman
↓
T. Gardner-Hickman
D. De Neve
D. De Neve
R. Morishita
↓
R. Morishita
Y. Ohashi
⚽
Y. Ohashi
A. Gudjohnsen
A. Gudjohnsen
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
S. Langas
S. Langas
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
J. Ward
🎯 ↓
J. Ward
B. Clark
B. Clark
D. Ozoh
↓
D. Ozoh
C. Elder
🎯
C. Elder
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
P. Agyemang
⚽ ↓
P. Agyemang
C. Morris
⚽ ↓
C. Morris
Blackburn 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
A. Pears
G
12
L. Miller
D
15
S. McLoughlin
D
19
R. Hedges
D
2
R. Alebiosu
M
18
A. Henriksson
↓ 79'
M
5
T. Gardner-Hickman
↓ 46' 🟨 14'
M
14
D. De Neve
M
25
R. Morishita
↓ 79'
F
23
Y. Ohashi
⚽ 66'
F
11
A. Gudjohnsen
F
Substitutes
35
N. Michalski
G
17
H. Carter
D
4
Y. Ribeiro
D
3
H. Pickering
D
43
G. Pratt
D
28
A. Forshaw
↑ 79'
M
31
K. Montgomery
↑ 46'
M
8
S. Tavares
M
9
M. Gueye
↑ 79'
F
Derby 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
6
S. Langas
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
D
23
J. Ward
🎯 45' ↓ 90+1'
M
42
B. Clark
🟨 69'
M
18
D. Ozoh
↓ 10'
M
20
C. Elder
🎯 19'
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 72'
F
7
P. Agyemang
⚽ 45' ↓ 71'
F
9
C. Morris
⚽ 19' ↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Vickers
G
4
D. Batth
↑ 90+1'
D
3
C. Forsyth
D
32
E. Adams
↑ 10' 🟨 87'
M
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
F
10
R. Brewster
↑ 71'
F
19
K. Jackson
F
14
A. Weimann
↑ 72'
F
15
L. Salvesen
↑ 90+1' 🟨 90+3'
F
Last matches: Blackburn
14.08.26
Cha
Blackburn
Wolves
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Blackburn
Huddersfield
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Strasbourg
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Barnsley
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Accrington ST
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Blackburn
Leicester
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
17.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Coventry
1
1
D
14.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Southampton
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Stoke City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Birmingham
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Millwall
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Oxford United
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Portsmouth
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Derby
1
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Bristol City
1
2
L
20.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Preston
1
0
W
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
H2H: Blackburn vs Derby
28.02.26
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
L
08.11.25
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
2
L
08.03.25
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
L
09.08.24
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
4
2
W
15.03.22
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
3
1
W
30.10.21
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
2
W
16.04.21
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
2
1
W
26.09.20
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
0
4
W
08.03.20
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
3
0
L
07.12.19
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
0
W
09.04.19
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
2
0
W
18.09.18
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
0
0
D
28.02.17
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
0
W
24.09.16
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
2
W
24.02.16
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
0
L
Last matches: Blackburn
18.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Barnsley
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Blackburn
Leicester
0
1
L
17.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Coventry
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
West Brom
0
0
D
21.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
07.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Portsmouth
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Bristol City
1
2
L
20.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Preston
1
0
W
03.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Hull City
0
1
L
24.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Watford
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Charlton
2
2
D
01.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Wrexham
0
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Millwall
2
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Oxford United
1
1
D
02.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Ipswich
1
1
D
26.11.25
Cha
Blackburn
QPR
0
1
L
25.10.25
Cha
Blackburn
Southampton
2
1
W
21.10.25
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
1
3
L
04.10.25
Cha
Blackburn
Stoke City
1
1
D
H2H at home: Blackburn
08.11.25
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
2
L
09.08.24
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
4
2
W
15.03.22
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
3
1
W
16.04.21
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
2
1
W
07.12.19
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
0
W
09.04.19
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
2
0
W
28.02.17
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
0
W
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
H2H away: Derby
08.11.25
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
2
W
09.08.24
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
4
2
L
15.03.22
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
3
1
L
16.04.21
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
2
1
L
07.12.19
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
0
L
09.04.19
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
2
0
L
28.02.17
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn Home
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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